** WTIO22 FMEE 201809 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 06 UTC: 19.2S / 56.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 18 UTC: 19.5S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 201809 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 20/02/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 007/09 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 20/02/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 9 1001 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (DIX-NEUF DEGRES DEUX SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES HUIT EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-NORD-OUEST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 25 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 06 UTC: 19.2S / 56.9E, VENT MAX = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 18 UTC: 19.5S / 55.8E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LA CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE DE BASSES COUCHES EST MAINTENANT TOTALEMENT EXPOSEE A 80 MN A L'OUEST DE LA CONVECTION PRINCIPALE. LE SYSTEME CONTINUE DE S'AFFAIBLIR ET EST MAINTENANT PASSE SOUS L'INFLUENCE DU FLUX DIRECTEUR DE BASSES COUCHES. BLOQUE PAR LA DORSALE AU SUD-EST, LE VORTEX RESIDUEL A STOPPE PUIS REBROUSSE CHEMIN VERS L'OUEST. IL EST PREVU CONTINUER SUR CETTE TRAJECTOIRE GLOBALEMENT VERS L'OUEST PUIS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST ET SE DISSIPER D'ICI 36 A 48 HEURES. A LA FAVEUR DU CYCLE NOCTURE ON POURRAIT RETROUVER TEMPORAIREMENT DES GRAINS ORAGEUX PROCHE DU CENTRE. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 201809 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 06 UTC: 19.2S / 56.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 18 UTC: 19.5S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 201809 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 06 UTC: 19.2S / 56.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 18 UTC: 19.5S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 201809 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 20/02/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 007/09 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 20/02/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 9 1001 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (DIX-NEUF DEGRES DEUX SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES HUIT EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-NORD-OUEST 4 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 25 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 06 UTC: 19.2S / 56.9E, VENT MAX = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 18 UTC: 19.5S / 55.8E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LA CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE DE BASSES COUCHES EST MAINTENANT TOTALEMENT EXPOSEE A 80 MN A L'OUEST DE LA CONVECTION PRINCIPALE. LE SYSTEME CONTINUE DE S'AFFAIBLIR ET EST MAINTENANT PASSE SOUS L'INFLUENCE DU FLUX DIRECTEUR DE BASSES COUCHES. BLOQUE PAR LA DORSALE AU SUD-EST, LE VORTEX RESIDUEL A STOPPE PUIS REBROUSSE CHEMIN VERS L'OUEST. IL EST PREVU CONTINUER SUR CETTE TRAJECTOIRE GLOBALEMENT VERS L'OUEST PUIS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST ET SE DISSIPER D'ICI 36 A 48 HEURES. A LA FAVEUR DU CYCLE NOCTURE ON POURRAIT RETROUVER TEMPORAIREMENT DES GRAINS ORAGEUX PROCHE DU CENTRE. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 201809 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 06 UTC: 19.2S / 56.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 18 UTC: 19.5S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 201811 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/9/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 030 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/21 06 UTC: 19.2S/56.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/02/21 18 UTC: 19.5S/55.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/02/22 06 UTC: 19.8S/54.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2006/02/22 18 UTC: 20.2S/53.4E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0 AND CI=2.5- DUE TO THE VERY SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM, MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS HIGHER THAN USUAL SCALE. UNDERGOING THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 201811 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/9/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 030 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/21 06 UTC: 19.2S/56.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/02/21 18 UTC: 19.5S/55.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/02/22 06 UTC: 19.8S/54.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2006/02/22 18 UTC: 20.2S/53.4E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0 AND CI=2.5- DUE TO THE VERY SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM, MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS HIGHER THAN USUAL SCALE. UNDERGOING THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 201811 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/9/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.2S / 57.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 040 SO: 030 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/21 06 UTC: 19.2S/56.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/02/21 18 UTC: 19.5S/55.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/02/22 06 UTC: 19.8S/54.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2006/02/22 18 UTC: 20.2S/53.4E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0 AND CI=2.5- DUE TO THE VERY SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM, MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS HIGHER THAN USUAL SCALE. UNDERGOING THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED AT ABOUT 80 NM WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IS UNDERGOING THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING. BLOCKED BY THE RIDGE IN THE SOUTH-EAST, RESIDUAL VORTEX HAS STOPPED AND TURNED BACK WESTWARDS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND DISSIPATE BEYOND 36 TO 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE NIGHT CYCLE, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOUD EXIST TEMPORARILY NEAR THE CENTER.= ** WTXS31 PGTW 202100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 19.2S 57.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 57.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 19.0S 57.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 19.1S 56.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 19.1S 57.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AS THE STEERING FLOW TRANSITIONS FROM A RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF TC 12S TO A BUILDING LOW-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THIS SOUTHERN STEERING RIDGE SHOULD TURN THE SHALLOW SYSTEM WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOREOVER, THE CYCLONE HAS WEAKENED BELOW WARNING-LEVEL CRITERIA DUE TO AN UNFAVORABLE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THAT HAS SEPARATED THE REMAINING CONVECTION NEARLY 90 NM FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR THE REGENERATION OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 11 FEET.//