** WTSR20 WSSS 200600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO22 FMEE 201205 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 1000 HPA POSITION: 19.4S / 58.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 00 UTC: 19.6S / 58.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 12 UTC: 20.1S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: UNDERGOING THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, THE SYSTEM HAS BLUNTLY WEAKENED OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION, LOCATED FAR IN THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. RESIDUAL VORTEX SHOULD BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING, AND TRACK WESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATE QUICKLY.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 201205 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 20/02/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 006/09 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 20/02/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 9 1000 HPA POSITION: 19.4S / 58.1E (DIX-NEUF DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET CINQUANTE-HUIT DEGRES UN EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASI-STATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 00 UTC: 19.6S / 58.4E, VENT MAX = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 12 UTC: 20.1S / 57.1E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: SOUS L'INFLUENCE DU FORT CISAILLEMENT D'OUEST, LE SYSTEME S'EST BRUTALEMENT AFFAIBLI AU COURS DES DERNIERES HEURES. LA CIRCULATION DE BASSES COUCHES EST MAINTENANT COMPLETEMENT EXPOSEE DANS L'OUEST DE LA CONVECTION RESIDUELLE, REJETEE LOIN DANS L'EST DU SYSTEME. LE VORTEX RESIDUEL DEVRAIT PASSER SOUS L'INFLUENCE DU FLUX DIRECTEUR DE BASSES COUCHES ET ADOPTER DANS LES PROCHAINES 12 HEURES UNE TRAJECTOIRE VERS L'OUEST, PUIS SE DISSIPER RAPIDEMENT. . ** WTIO22 FMEE 201205 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 20/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 1000 HPA POSITION: 19.4S / 58.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 00 UTC: 19.6S / 58.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 12 UTC: 20.1S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, PERTURB. TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: UNDERGOING THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, THE SYSTEM HAS BLUNTLY WEAKENED OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION, LOCATED FAR IN THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. RESIDUAL VORTEX SHOULD BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVELS STEERING, AND TRACK WESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATE QUICKLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 201226 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/9/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 1200 UTC : 19.4S / 58.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 040 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/21 00 UTC: 19.6S/58.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/02/21 12 UTC: 20.1S/57.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/02/22 00 UTC: 20.3S/55.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2006/02/22 12 UTC: 20.5S/53.5E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE VERY SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM, THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE IS BARELY AVAILABLE. DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, THE SYSTEM HAS BRUTALLY WEAKENED OVER THE LAST HOURS ; THE VERY SMALL LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION, LOCATED FAR IN THE EAST OF THE CENTRE. THE RESIDUAL VORTEX SHOULD BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL STEERING AND TRACK WESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 201226 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/9/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 1200 UTC : 19.4S / 58.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 040 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/21 00 UTC: 19.6S/58.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H: 2006/02/21 12 UTC: 20.1S/57.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 36H: 2006/02/22 00 UTC: 20.3S/55.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2006/02/22 12 UTC: 20.5S/53.5E DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DUE TO THE VERY SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM, THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE IS BARELY AVAILABLE. DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR, THE SYSTEM HAS BRUTALLY WEAKENED OVER THE LAST HOURS ; THE VERY SMALL LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION, LOCATED FAR IN THE EAST OF THE CENTRE. THE RESIDUAL VORTEX SHOULD BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL STEERING AND TRACK WESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATE. .