** WTSR20 WSSS 191800 ***
NO STORM WARNING=




** WTIO22 FMEE 200009 ***
SECURITE

GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)

ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006

AT

0000 UTC.

WARNING NUMBER: 004/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)

(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)

(INDICATIVE FIGURE).



GALE WARNING

BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY    20/02/2006 AT 0000 UTC.



PHENOMENON:        MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 995 HPA

POSITION:           19.1S / 57.3E

(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE

DEGREES

 EAST) AT 0000 UTC

MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-EAST 6 KT



THREAT AREAS:

SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING

UP TO

 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.



GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM

RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM

RADIUS OF THE CENTER.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.



FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

12H, VALID 2006/02/20 AT 12 UTC:

19.8S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP..

24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 00 UTC:

20.6S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.



OTHER INFORMATIONS:

SYSTEM SHOWS A  MIDGET STRUCTURE WITH A VERY SMALL SIZE BUT STRONG

WINDS

NEAR THE CENTER.

IT SHOULD INTENSIFY A LITTLE MORE, THEN WEAKEN UNDERGOING UPPER LEVEL

CONSTRAINT.

IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN, THEN VEER SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE REBUILDING HIGH PRESSURES IN THE

SOUTHWEST.=




** WTIO21 FMEE 200009 ***
METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BMS MARINE LE 20/02/2006 A 0000 UTC.
NUMERO: 004/09 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN)

VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT)
(LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT
MOYEN).
PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(VALEUR INDICATIVE).

AVIS DE COUP DE VENT
DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 20/02/2006 A 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENE:         TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 9 995 HPA 
POSITION:           19.1S / 57.3E 
(DIX-NEUF DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-SEPT DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0000 UTC
DEPLACEMENT:       SUD-EST 6 KT
 
ZONES MENACEES:
TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 70 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A
 120 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST.

COUP DE VENT 35/40 KT  ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE  DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN
AUTOUR DU CENTRE.
GRAND FRAIS 30KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE  30 MN AUTOUR
 DU CENTRE.
FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS.

PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES:
A 12H POUR LE 20/02/2006 A 12 UTC: 
19.8S / 57.9E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP..
A 24H POUR LE 21/02/2006 A 00 UTC: 
20.6S / 57.9E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.

INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES:
CE SYSTEME EST UN SYSTEME DE TYPE MIDGET AVEC UNE TRES PETITE TAILLE MAIS
 DES VENTS ASSEZ FORTS PRES DU CENTRE.
IL EST PREVU S'INTENSIFIER ENCORE LEGEREMENT, PUIS FAIBLIR SOUS L'EFFET D
'UNE CONTRAINTE D'ALTITUDE. 
IL EST PREVU RALENTIR, PUIS VIRER VERS LE SUD PUIS LE SUD-OUEST SOUS
L'INFLUENCE DES HAUTES PRESSIONS QUI SE RECONSTITUENT PAR LE SUD-OUEST.


.




** WTIO22 FMEE 200009 ***
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/02/2006 AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 004/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY    20/02/2006 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9 995 HPA 
POSITION:           19.1S / 57.3E 
(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
 EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-EAST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO
 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM
RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2006/02/20 AT 12 UTC: 
19.8S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP..
24H, VALID 2006/02/21 AT 00 UTC: 
20.6S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM SHOWS A  MIDGET STRUCTURE WITH A VERY SMALL SIZE BUT STRONG WINDS
NEAR THE CENTER.
IT SHOULD INTENSIFY A LITTLE MORE, THEN WEAKEN UNDERGOING UPPER LEVEL
CONSTRAINT.
IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN, THEN VEER SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS 
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE REBUILDING HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHWEST.


.




** WTIO30 FMEE 200012 ***


RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 4/9/20052006

1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9



2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 0000 UTC :

19.1S / 57.3E

(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE

DEGREES

 EAST)



3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /D

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 995 HPA

5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT



6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

30 KT       NE: 050   SE: 050   SO: 060   NO: 050



7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM

8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP



1.B FORECASTS:

12H: 2006/02/20 12 UTC: 19.8S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP.

STORM.

24H: 2006/02/21 00 UTC: 20.6S/57.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP.

STORM

.

36H: 2006/02/21 12 UTC: 21.2S/57.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP.

STORM

.

48H: 2006/02/22 00 UTC: 21.8S/56.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP.

STORM

.

60H: 2006/02/22 12 UTC: 22.1S/53.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP.

DEPRESSION.

72H: 2006/02/23 00 UTC: 22.6S/51.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP.

DEPRESSION.



2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:

SYSTEM SHOWS A  MIDGET STRUCTURE WITH A VERY SMALL SIZE BUT STRONG

WINDS

NEAR THE CENTER.

IT SHOULD INTENSIFY A LITTLE MORE, THEN WEAKEN UNDERGOING UPPER LEVEL

CONSTRAINT.

IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN, VEER SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS

UNDER

THE INFLUENCE OF THE REBUILDING HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHWEST.=




** WTIO30 FMEE 200012 ***
 
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 4/9/20052006
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9

2.A POSITION 2006/02/20 AT 0000 UTC :
19.1S / 57.3E 
(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
 EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 050   SE: 050   SO: 060   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2006/02/20 12 UTC: 19.8S/57.9E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H: 2006/02/21 00 UTC: 20.6S/57.9E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
..
36H: 2006/02/21 12 UTC: 21.2S/57.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
..
48H: 2006/02/22 00 UTC: 21.8S/56.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
..
60H: 2006/02/22 12 UTC: 22.1S/53.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
72H: 2006/02/23 00 UTC: 22.6S/51.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM SHOWS A  MIDGET STRUCTURE WITH A VERY SMALL SIZE BUT STRONG WINDS
NEAR THE CENTER.
IT SHOULD INTENSIFY A LITTLE MORE, THEN WEAKEN UNDERGOING UPPER LEVEL
CONSTRAINT.
IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN, VEER SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS  UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF THE REBUILDING HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHWEST.


.