** WTPS01 NFFN 141800 CCA *** Storm Warning 026 issued from RSMC NADI Feb 14/1919 UTC 2006 UTC. ***CORRECTION*** Tropical Cyclone VAIANU [975hPa] centre was located near 24.6 South 173.6 West at 141800 UTC. Position poor. Repeat position 24.6S 173.6W at 141800 UTC. Cyclone is moving southeast at about 10 knots. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 60 knots close to the centre, decreasing to 50 knots in the next 12 to 18 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 150 miles of centre in sectors from north through east to southwest and within 100 miles elsewhere. Forecast position near 25.9S 171.5W at 150600 UTC and near 27.2S 169.6W at 151800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 025. FURTHER WARNINGS ON VAIANU WILL BE ISSUED BY WELLINGTON. ** WTPS01 NFFN 141800 CCA *** Storm Warning 026 issued from RSMC NADI Feb 14/1919 UTC 2006 UTC. ***CORRECTION*** Tropical Cyclone VAIANU [975hPa] centre was located near 24.6 South 173.6 West at 141800 UTC. Position poor. Repeat position 24.6S 173.6W at 141800 UTC. Cyclone is moving southeast at about 10 knots. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 60 knots close to the centre, decreasing to 50 knots in the next 12 to 18 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 150 miles of centre in sectors from north through east to southwest and within 100 miles elsewhere. Forecast position near 25.9S 171.5W at 150600 UTC and near 27.2S 169.6W at 151800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 025. FURTHER WARNINGS ON VAIANU WILL BE ISSUED BY WELLINGTON. ** WTPS31 PGTW 142100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (VAIANU) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z --- NEAR 24.7S 173.6W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.7S 173.6W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 26.2S 171.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 27.8S 168.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 29.5S 166.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 31.4S 163.1W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 142100Z POSITION NEAR 25.1S 173.1W. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11P (VAIANU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595 NM SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE SOUTH- EAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERA- TURES WILL RESULT IN DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM BY TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z AND 152100Z.// ** WTPS11 NFFN 141800 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A19 issued from RSMC NADI Feb 14/2023 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone VAIANU [975hPa] centre was located near 24.6 South 173.6 West at 141800 UTC. Position poor based on MTSAT EIR imagery with animation. Cyclone moving southeast about 10 knots. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 60 knots close to the centre decreasing to 50 knots in the next 12 to 18 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre, over 33 knots within 150 miles of centre in sectors from north through east to southwest and within 100 miles elsewhere. Vaianu is moving into increased shear and cooler SSTs. The cyclone remains in a diffluent region close to the 250 hPa subtropical ridge and has maintained central convection sofar. Outlow remains fair from southwest to east but is restricted elsewhere. Dvorak analysis based on a 0.85 log10 spiral gives DT=PT=MET=3.5, yielding T3.5/4.0/W1.0/24hrs. Cyclone is being steered southeast by a mid level ridge to the northeast and by a broad 250 hPa trough to the west. Global models agree on a southeast track with gradual weakening. FORECAST: 12hrs valid at 150600 UTC near 25.9S 171.5W mov SE at 12kt with 55 kt close to the centre. 24hrs valid at 151800 UTC near 27.2S 169.6W mov SE at 10kt with 45 kt close to the centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid at 160600 UTC near 28.5S 168.8W mov SE at 10kt with 40kt close to the centre. 48hrs valid at 161800 UTC near 29.8S 16.1W mov SE at 10kt with 40kt close to the centre. This is the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on Tropical Cyclone Vaianu unless the cyclone recurves into Nadi's warning area. ** WTPS11 NFFN 141800 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A19 issued from RSMC NADI Feb 14/2023 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone VAIANU [975hPa] centre was located near 24.6 South 173.6 West at 141800 UTC. Position poor based on MTSAT EIR imagery with animation. Cyclone moving southeast about 10 knots. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 60 knots close to the centre decreasing to 50 knots in the next 12 to 18 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 40 miles of centre, over 33 knots within 150 miles of centre in sectors from north through east to southwest and within 100 miles elsewhere. Vaianu is moving into increased shear and cooler SSTs. The cyclone remains in a diffluent region close to the 250 hPa subtropical ridge and has maintained central convection sofar. Outlow remains fair from southwest to east but is restricted elsewhere. Dvorak analysis based on a 0.85 log10 spiral gives DT=PT=MET=3.5, yielding T3.5/4.0/W1.0/24hrs. Cyclone is being steered southeast by a mid level ridge to the northeast and by a broad 250 hPa trough to the west. Global models agree on a southeast track with gradual weakening. FORECAST: 12hrs valid at 150600 UTC near 25.9S 171.5W mov SE at 12kt with 55 kt close to the centre. 24hrs valid at 151800 UTC near 27.2S 169.6W mov SE at 10kt with 45 kt close to the centre. OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid at 160600 UTC near 28.5S 168.8W mov SE at 10kt with 40kt close to the centre. 48hrs valid at 161800 UTC near 29.8S 16.1W mov SE at 10kt with 40kt close to the centre. This is the final Tropical Disturbance Advisory on Tropical Cyclone Vaianu unless the cyclone recurves into Nadi's warning area. ** WTPS11 NFFN 141800 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A19 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI FEB 14/2023 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE VAIANU [975HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6 SOUTH 173.6 WEST AT 141800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 10 KNOTS. CYCLONE WEAKENING. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE DECREASING TO 50 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 40 MILES OF CENTRE, OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF CENTRE IN SECTORS FROM NORTH THROUGH EAST TO SOUTHWEST AND WITHIN 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. VAIANU IS MOVING INTO INCREASED SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS. THE CYCLONE REMAINS IN A DIFFLUENT REGION CLOSE TO THE 250 HPA SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND HAS MAINTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION SOFAR. OUTLOW REMAINS FAIR FROM SOUTHWEST TO EAST BUT IS RESTRICTED ELSEWHERE. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON A 0.85 LOG10 SPIRAL GIVES DT=PT=MET= END PART 01 ** WTPS11 NFFN 141800 *** PART 02 3.5, YIELDING T3.5/4.0/W1.0/24HRS. CYCLONE IS BEING STEERED SOUTHEAST BY A MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND BY A BROAD 250 HPA TROUGH TO THE WEST. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A SOUTHEAST TRACK WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 150600 UTC NEAR 25.9S 171.5W MOV SE AT 12KT WITH 55 KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. 24HRS VALID AT 151800 UTC NEAR 27.2S 169.6W MOV SE AT 10KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 160600 UTC NEAR 28.5S 168.8W MOV SE AT 10KT WITH 40KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. 48HRS VALID AT 161800 UTC NEAR 29.8S 16.1W MOV SE AT 10KT WITH 40KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE VAIANU UNLESS THE CYCLONE RECURVES INTO NADI'S WARNING AREA. END PART 02 OF 02 ** WTPS11 NFFN 141800 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A19 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI FEB 14/2023 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE VAIANU [975HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6 SOUTH 173.6 WEST AT 141800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 10 KNOTS. CYCLONE WEAKENING. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE DECREASING TO 50 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 40 MILES OF CENTRE, OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF CENTRE IN SECTORS FROM NORTH THROUGH EAST TO SOUTHWEST AND WITHIN 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. VAIANU IS MOVING INTO INCREASED SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS. THE CYCLONE REMAINS IN A DIFFLUENT REGION CLOSE TO THE 250 HPA SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND HAS MAINTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION SOFAR. OUTLOW REMAINS FAIR FROM SOUTHWEST TO EAST BUT IS RESTRICTED ELSEWHERE. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON A 0.85 LOG10 SPIRAL GIVES DT=PT=MET= END PART 01 ** WTPS11 NFFN 141800 *** PART 02 3.5, YIELDING T3.5/4.0/W1.0/24HRS. CYCLONE IS BEING STEERED SOUTHEAST BY A MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND BY A BROAD 250 HPA TROUGH TO THE WEST. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON A SOUTHEAST TRACK WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 150600 UTC NEAR 25.9S 171.5W MOV SE AT 12KT WITH 55 KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. 24HRS VALID AT 151800 UTC NEAR 27.2S 169.6W MOV SE AT 10KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 160600 UTC NEAR 28.5S 168.8W MOV SE AT 10KT WITH 40KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. 48HRS VALID AT 161800 UTC NEAR 29.8S 16.1W MOV SE AT 10KT WITH 40KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE VAIANU UNLESS THE CYCLONE RECURVES INTO NADI'S WARNING AREA. END PART 02 OF 02