** WTIO24 FMEE 061206 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 046/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 06/02/2006 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 37.7S / 58.6E (THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 34 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER MAINLY EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 400 NM OF THE CENTER. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 190 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/07 AT 00 UTC: 42.2S / 68.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/02/07 AT 12 UTC: 45.7S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW IS FILLING UP AS IT IS EVACUATING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARDS, TOWARDS THE POLAR TROUGH WITH WHICH IT SHOULD MERGE NORTH OF KERGUELEN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION IS ASYMETRIC, ELONGATED ALONG THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH. STRONG WINDS PERSIST FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE OWN SPEED OF THE LOW. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THAT SYSTEM, WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED IN THE ACK BULLETIN (FQIO20FMEE). . ** WTIO21 FMEE 061206 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 06/02/2006 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 046/08 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 06/02/2006 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 994 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 37.7S / 58.6E (TRENTE-SEPT DEGRES SEPT SUD ET CINQUANTE-HUIT DEGRES SIX EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 34 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS PRINCIPALEMENT LOCALISE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD JUSQU'A 400 MN DU CENTRE. TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 70 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 110 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 130 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 140 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 190 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/02/2006 A 00 UTC: 42.2S / 68.0E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 07/02/2006 A 12 UTC: 45.7S / 77.5E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE MINIMUM S'EVACUE RAPIDEMENT VERS LE SUD-EST EN SE COMBLANT, EN DIRECTION DU THALWEG POLAIRE AVEC LEQUEL IL DEVRAIT FUSIONNER AU NORD DE KERGUELEN AU COURS DES PROCHAINES 24 H. LA CIRCULATION SE DEFORME ET S'ETIRE DANS L'AXE DU THALWEG. LES VENTS FORTS SOUFFLENT LOIN DU CENTRE, PRINCIPALEMENT AU NORD-EST, DU FAIT DU DEPLACEMENT PROPRE DU SYSTEME. CE BULLETIN EST LE DERNIER EMIS SUR CE SYSTEME, QUI SERA DESORMAIS SUIVI PAR LE BULLETIN ACK (FQIO21FMEE) . ** WTIO30 FMEE 061211 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 53/8/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/02/06 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 37.7S / 58.6E (THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 130 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/07 00 UTC: 42.2S/68.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/02/07 12 UTC: 45.7S/77.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/02/08 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW IS FILLING UP AS IT IS EVACUATING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER COOL WATER (20AOC) IN A BAROCLINC ENVIRONMENT STRONGLY SHEARED, TOWARDS THE POLAR TROUGH WITH WHICH IT SHOULD MERGE NORTH OF KERGUELEN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION OF THIS EXTRTROPICAL LOW IS ASYMETRIC, ELONGATED ALONG THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH. STRONG WINDS PERSIST FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE OWN SPEED OF THE LOW. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THAT SYSTEM, WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED IN THE ACK BULLETIN (FQIO20FMEE).ING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 061211 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 53/8/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/02/06 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 37.7S / 58.6E (THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 130 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/07 00 UTC: 42.2S/68.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/02/07 12 UTC: 45.7S/77.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/02/08 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW IS FILLING UP AS IT IS EVACUATING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER COOL WATER (20AOC) IN A BAROCLINC ENVIRONMENT STRONGLY SHEARED, TOWARDS THE POLAR TROUGH WITH WHICH IT SHOULD MERGE NORTH OF KERGUELEN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION OF THIS EXTRTROPICAL LOW IS ASYMETRIC, ELONGATED ALONG THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH. STRONG WINDS PERSIST FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE OWN SPEED OF THE LOW. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THAT SYSTEM, WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED IN THE ACK BULLETIN (FQIO20FMEE).ING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 061211 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 53/8/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/02/06 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 37.7S / 58.6E (THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 130 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/07 00 UTC: 42.2S/68.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/02/07 12 UTC: 45.7S/77.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/02/08 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW IS FILLING UP AS IT IS EVACUATING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER COOL WATER (20AOC) IN A BAROCLINC ENVIRONMENT STRONGLY SHEARED, TOWARDS THE POLAR TROUGH WITH WHICH IT SHOULD MERGE NORTH OF KERGUELEN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION OF THIS EXTRTROPICAL LOW IS ASYMETRIC, ELONGATED ALONG THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH. STRONG WINDS PERSIST FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE OWN SPEED OF THE LOW. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THAT SYSTEM, WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED IN THE ACK BULLETIN (FQIO20FMEE).ING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 061211 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 53/8/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/02/06 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 37.7S / 58.6E (THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 300 50 KT NE: 130 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/07 00 UTC: 42.2S/68.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/02/07 12 UTC: 45.7S/77.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/02/08 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW IS FILLING UP AS IT IS EVACUATING RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER COOL WATER (20AoC) IN A BAROCLINC ENVIRONMENT STRONGLY SHEARED, TOWARDS THE POLAR TROUGH WITH WHICH IT SHOULD MERGE NORTH OF KERGUELEN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION OF THIS EXTRTROPICAL LOW IS ASYMETRIC, ELONGATED ALONG THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH. STRONG WINDS PERSIST FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE OWN SPEED OF THE LOW. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THAT SYSTEM, WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED IN THE ACK BULLETIN (FQIO20FMEE).ING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. .