** WTIO21 FMEE 051815 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 05/02/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 043/08 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: DIMANCHE 05/02/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION EXTRATROPICALE 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 982 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 32.2S / 49.9E (TRENTE-DEUX DEGRES DEUX SUD ET QUARANTE-NEUF DEGRES NEUF EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-EST 24 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 350 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. TEMPETE 50/55 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 70 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 110 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 130 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 140 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 190 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 06/02/2006 A 06 UTC: 34.3S / 54.4E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 06/02/2006 A 18 UTC: 36.5S / 59.4E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME A EFFECTUE SA TRANSITION EXTRATROPICAL. LES VENTS LES PLUS FORTS SE TROUVENT LOIN DU CENTRE PARTICULIEREMENT DANS LE NORD-EST DU SYSTEME, DU FAIT DE SA VITESSE PROPRE. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 051815 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 043/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 05/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 982 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.2S / 49.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 24 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 190 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/06 AT 06 UTC: 34.3S / 54.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/02/06 AT 18 UTC: 36.5S / 59.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS MADE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. STRONGEST WINDS EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO ITS OWN SPEED. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 051816 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 50/8/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/02/05 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.2S / 49.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 210 SO: 260 NO: 260 50 KT NE: 130 SE: 090 SO: 130 NO: 110 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/06 06 UTC: 34.3S/54.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/02/06 18 UTC: 36.5S/59.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/02/07 06 UTC: 38.3S/64.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/02/07 18 UTC: 39.6S/69.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/02/08 06 UTC: 40.5S/75.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/02/08 18 UTC: 40.6S/81.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS MADE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. STRONGEST WINDS EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO ITS OWN SPEED (CF LAST QUIKSCAT SWAT AT 1428UTC ). LOCATED BETWEEN A HIGH CENTRED OVER MASCARENES ISLANDS AND A POLAR TROUGH , THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND EVACUATES TOWARDS EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES. . ** WTIO24 FMEE 051815 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 043/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 05/02/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 982 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.2S / 49.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 24 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 190 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/06 AT 06 UTC: 34.3S / 54.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2006/02/06 AT 18 UTC: 36.5S / 59.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS MADE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. STRONGEST WINDS EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO ITS OWN SPEED. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 051816 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 50/8/20052006 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/02/05 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.2S / 49.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 350 SE: 210 SO: 260 NO: 260 50 KT NE: 130 SE: 090 SO: 130 NO: 110 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/06 06 UTC: 34.3S/54.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2006/02/06 18 UTC: 36.5S/59.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2006/02/07 06 UTC: 38.3S/64.3E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2006/02/07 18 UTC: 39.6S/69.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2006/02/08 06 UTC: 40.5S/75.3E, MAX WIND=035KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2006/02/08 18 UTC: 40.6S/81.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS MADE ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. STRONGEST WINDS EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO ITS OWN SPEED (CF LAST QUIKSCAT SWAT AT 1428UTC ). LOCATED BETWEEN A HIGH CENTRED OVER MASCARENES ISLANDS AND A POLAR TROUGH , THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED SOUTHEASTWARDS AND EVACUATES TOWARDS EXTRATROPICAL LATITUDES.= ** WTXS31 PGTW 052100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (BOLOETSE) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z --- NEAR 31.6S 48.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 31.6S 48.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z --- 35.0S 53.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 052100Z POSITION NEAR 32.4S 50.0E. TC 09S IS RAPIDLY TRACKING TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER INCREASING INFLUENCE OF THE MIDLATITUDE FLOW. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE BY TAU 12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z IS 14 FEET.//