** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CCENTEER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 E. THE 06/02/111 00000 UUTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CCENTEER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 E. THE 06/002/111 00000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTIO30 FMEE 311809 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/8/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 8 (BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/01/31 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S / 38.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/01 06 UTC: 20.8S/37.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 24H: 2006/02/01 18 UTC: 21.8S/37.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/02/02 06 UTC: 23.0S/38.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/02/02 18 UTC: 23.9S/39.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/02/03 06 UTC: 24.9S/41.2E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/02/03 18 UTC: 25.6S/43.2E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ THE SYSTEM REINTENSIFIES REGULARLY OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, THANKS TO A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT ; IN THE UPPER LEVELS, WINDSHEAR IS WEAK AND DIVERGENCE IS GOOD (HELPED POLEWARDS BY WESTERLY WINDS PRESENT SOUTH OF 25S), AND SSTS ARE BEYOND 27C. MONSOON AND TRADES WINDS ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN O VER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. INCREASING CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON INTENSIFYING, AND TRACK SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS, UNDER THE STEERING OF THE MID-LEVEL HIGH BUILDING OVER THE MASCARENES ISLANDS.= ** WTIO24 FMEE 311809 *** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2006 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 31/01/2006 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 8 (BOLOETSE) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S / 38.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2006/02/01 AT 06 UTC: 20.8S / 37.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. 24H, VALID 2006/02/01 AT 18 UTC: 21.8S / 37.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM REINTENSIFIES REGULARLY OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, THANKS TO A FAVOURABLE ENVRONMENT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON INTENSIFYING AND TRACK SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 12 TO 24 HOURS. . ** WTIO21 FMEE 311809 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 31/01/2006 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 023/08 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 31/01/2006 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 8 (BOLOETSE) 995 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.1S / 38.5E (VINGTS DEGRES UN SUD ET TRENTE-HUIT DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 7 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 80 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE NORD. COUP DE VENT 35KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 45 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/02/2006 A 06 UTC: 20.8S / 37.8E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. A 24H POUR LE 01/02/2006 A 18 UTC: 21.8S / 37.6E, VENT MAX = 50 KT, FORTE TEMP. TROP.. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME SE REINTENSIFIE REGULIEREMENT SUR LE CANAL DU MOZAMBIQUE, GRACE A UN ENVIRONNEMENT FAVORABLE. IL DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE SON INTENSIFICATION ET ADOPTER UNE TRAJECTOIRE VERS LE SUD AU DELA DES 12 A 24 HEURES. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 311809 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/8/20052006 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 8 (BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/01/31 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S / 38.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/02/01 06 UTC: 20.8S/37.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 24H: 2006/02/01 18 UTC: 21.8S/37.6E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 36H: 2006/02/02 06 UTC: 23.0S/38.2E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 48H: 2006/02/02 18 UTC: 23.9S/39.5E, MAX WIND=065KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 60H: 2006/02/03 06 UTC: 24.9S/41.2E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 72H: 2006/02/03 18 UTC: 25.6S/43.2E, MAX WIND=070KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ THE SYSTEM REINTENSIFIES REGULARLY OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, THANKS TO A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT ; IN THE UPPER LEVELS, WINDSHEAR IS WEAK AND DIVERGENCE IS GOOD (HELPED POLEWARDS BY WESTERLY WINDS PRESENT SOUTH OF 25S), AND SSTS ARE BEYOND 27C. MONSOON AND TRADES WINDS ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN O VER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. INCREASING CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON INTENSIFYING, AND TRACK SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS, UNDER THE STEERING OF THE MID-LEVEL HIGH BUILDING OVER THE MASCARENES ISLANDS. . ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MIILES OF CCENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 E. THEE 06/002/111 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MIILES OF CCENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 E. THEE 06/002/111 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MIILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 E. THEE 06/002/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MIILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 E. THEE 06/002/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTIICAL MIILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 EE. THEE 06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTIICAL MIILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 171,6 EE. THEE 06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NNAUTIICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 1711,6 EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NNAUTIICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 S 1711,6 EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NNAUTIICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 SS 1711,6 EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NNAUTIICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 23,8 SS 1711,6 EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NNAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 223,8 SS 1711,6EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NNAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UTC : 223,8 SS 1711,6EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTNC02 NWBB 310711 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 007. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 06:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 21,5 S 169,0 E AT 310600. - POSITION FAIR. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 975 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 22 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 KT (GUSTS 90 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL ES OF TER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEENN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST DURING TTE NEXT NIGHT AND IT'S INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE. F: FOOOORECAS : HHEEEE 001/3 UTC : 22,6 S 170,4 E. THE 06/01/31 1800 UUTC : 223,8 SS1711,6EE. THEE06/02/11 0000 UTC : 25,0 S 172,4 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 26,3 S 133,1EE. THEE06//2//01 1200 UTC : 27,8 S 173,6 E. THE 06/02/0 1800 UCC : 29,3 S 17336666. NEETWAAAARNG WILISSUED THE 311400OI ** WTPS01 NFFN 311800 *** Storm Warning 031 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/1917 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was located near 23.9 South 170.8 East at 311800 UTC. Position poor. Repeat position 23.9S 170.8E at 311800 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening rapidly. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.4S 172.7W at 010600 UTC and near 28.3S 173.2W at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 030. ** WTPS01 NFFN 311800 *** Storm Warning 031 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/1917 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was located near 23.9 South 170.8 East at 311800 UTC. Position poor. Repeat position 23.9S 170.8E at 311800 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening rapidly. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.4S 172.7W at 010600 UTC and near 28.3S 173.2W at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 030. ** WTPS11 NFFN 311800 *** Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A8 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2007 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was located near 23.9 South 170.8 East at 311800 UTC. Position poor based on MTSAT EIR imagery with animation and peripheral surface reports. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Maximum 10-minute average winds near the centre estimated at about 55 knots, decreasing to 45 knots in the next 6 to 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 nautical miles of the centre and over 33 knots within 120 nautical miles of the centre. Dvorak analysis based on shear pattern yields a DT=2.5, PT=2.5 and MET =3.5. FT based on MET yielding T2.5/3.5/W1.5/24hrs. System has sheared off significantly with LLCC interpolated to the northwest of major convection. CIMMS also indicates system is running into increased environment. Cooler SSTs around the area should further aid in weakening the system. Mid level subtropical ridge ibuilding to the south is is expected to slow down Jim significantly and eventually curve it westwards as a weak system. FORECAST: 12hrs valid at 010600 UTC near 26.5S 172.5E mov SSE at 14kt with 45kt close to the centre 24hrs valid at 011800 UTC near 28.3S 173.2E mov SSE at 10kt with 35kt close to the centre OUTLOOK: 36hrs valid at 020600 UTC near 29.2S 173.3E mov S at 07kt with 30kt close to the centre 48hrs valid at 021800 UTC near 29.5S 172.3E mov WSW at 05kt with 20kt close to the centre The next Tropical Disturbance Advisory on Tropical Cyclone JIM will be issued around 010200 UTC. ** WTPS11 NFFN 311800 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A8 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI JAN 31/2007 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE JIM [980HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9 SOUTH 170.8 EAST AT 311800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS AND EXPECTED TO DECELERATE FURTHER. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 55 KNOTS, DECREASING TO 45 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE AND OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON SHEAR PATTERN YIELDS A DT=2.5, PT=2.5 AND MET =3.5. FT BASED ON MET YIELDING T2.5/3.5/W1.5/24HRS. SYSTEM HAS SHEARED OFF SIGNIFICANTLY WITH LLCC INTERPOLATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF MAJOR CONVECTION. CIMMS ALSO INDICATES SYSTEM IS RUNNING INTO INCREASED ENVIRONMENT. COOLER SSTS AROUND THE AREA SHOULD FURTHER AID IN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IBUILDING TO THE SOUTH IS IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN JIM SIGNIFICANTLY AND EVENTUALLY CURVE IT WESTWARDS AS A WEAK SYSTEM. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 010600 UTC NEAR 26.5S 172.5E MOV SSE AT 14KT WITH 45KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE 24HRS VALID AT 011800 UTC NEAR 28.3S 173.2E MOV SSE AT 10KT WITH 35KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 020600 UTC NEAR 29.2S 173.3E MOV S AT 07KT WITH 30KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE END PART 01 ** WTPS11 NFFN 311800 *** PART 02 48HRS VALID AT 021800 UTC NEAR 29.5S 172.3E MOV WSW AT 05KT WITH 20KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE JIM WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 010200 UTC. END PART 02 OF 02 ** WTPS11 NFFN 311800 *** PART 02 48HRS VALID AT 021800 UTC NEAR 29.5S 172.3E MOV WSW AT 05KT WITH 20KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE JIM WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 010200 UTC. END PART 02 OF 02 ** WTPS11 NFFN 311800 *** PART 01 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A8 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI JAN 31/2007 UTC 2006 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE JIM [980HPA] CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9 SOUTH 170.8 EAST AT 311800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS AND EXPECTED TO DECELERATE FURTHER. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 55 KNOTS, DECREASING TO 45 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE AND OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CENTRE. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON SHEAR PATTERN YIELDS A DT=2.5, PT=2.5 AND MET =3.5. FT BASED ON MET YIELDING T2.5/3.5/W1.5/24HRS. SYSTEM HAS SHEARED OFF SIGNIFICANTLY WITH LLCC INTERPOLATED TO THE NORTHWEST OF MAJOR CONVECTION. CIMMS ALSO INDICATES SYSTEM IS RUNNING INTO INCREASED ENVIRONMENT. COOLER SSTS AROUND THE AREA SHOULD FURTHER AID IN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IBUILDING TO THE SOUTH IS IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN JIM SIGNIFICANTLY AND EVENTUALLY CURVE IT WESTWARDS AS A WEAK SYSTEM. FORECAST: 12HRS VALID AT 010600 UTC NEAR 26.5S 172.5E MOV SSE AT 14KT WITH 45KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE 24HRS VALID AT 011800 UTC NEAR 28.3S 173.2E MOV SSE AT 10KT WITH 35KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE OUTLOOK: 36HRS VALID AT 020600 UTC NEAR 29.2S 173.3E MOV S AT 07KT WITH 30KT CLOSE TO THE CENTRE END PART 01 ** WTNC01 NWBB 312054 *** A: BULLETIN METEOROLOGIQUE SPECIAL MARINE NUMERO 009. B: AVIS DE TEMPETE REDIGE LE 31/01/06 A 20:50 UTC. C: A 18:00 UTC LE 31/01/06, DEPRESSION TROPICALE FORTE "JIM" : - CENTREE PAR 24,7 SUD 171,3 EST. - PRESSION AU CENTRE ESTIMEE A 980 HPA. - DEPLACEMENT SUD-SUD-EST 21 NOEUDS. D: VENTS MOYENS ESTIMES A 55 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 82,5 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 20 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 46 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 69 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 30 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 33 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 50 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON ENTRE 30 ET 60 NAUTIQUES DU CENTRE, MER GROSSE. E: "JIM" POURSUIT SA TRAJECTOIRE SUD-SUD-EST EN S'AFFAIBLISSANT LENTEMENT. F: POSITIONS PREVUES : LE 01/02/06 A 0000 UTC : 26,1 SUD 172,1 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 0600 UTC : 28,0 SUD 172,7 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 1200 UTC : 30,0 SUD 173,2 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 1800 UTC : 31,0 SUD 173,0 EST. LE 02/02/06 A 0000 UTC : 30,8 SUD 171,8 EST. LE 02/02/06 A 0600 UTC : 29,8 SUD 170,9 EST. PROCHAIN BULLETIN SPECIAL MARINE LE 01/02/06 A 02:00 UTC.= ** WTNC01 NWBB 312054 *** A: BULLETIN METEOROLOGIQUE SPECIAL MARINE NUMERO 009. B: AVIS DE TEMPETE REDIGE LE 31/01/06 A 20:50 UTC. C: A 18:00 UTC LE 31/01/06, DEPRESSION TROPICALE FORTE "JIM" : - CENTREE PAR 24,7 SUD 171,3 EST. - PRESSION AU CENTRE ESTIMEE A 980 HPA. - DEPLACEMENT SUD-SUD-EST 21 NOEUDS. D: VENTS MOYENS ESTIMES A 55 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 82,5 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 20 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 46 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 69 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 30 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 33 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 50 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON ENTRE 30 ET 60 NAUTIQUES DU CENTRE, MER GROSSE. E: "JIM" POURSUIT SA TRAJECTOIRE SUD-SUD-EST EN S'AFFAIBLISSANT LENTEMENT. F: POSITIONS PREVUES : LE 01/02/06 A 0000 UTC : 26,1 SUD 172,1 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 0600 UTC : 28,0 SUD 172,7 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 1200 UTC : 30,0 SUD 173,2 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 1800 UTC : 31,0 SUD 173,0 EST. LE 02/02/06 A 0000 UTC : 30,8 SUD 171,8 EST. LE 02/02/06 A 0600 UTC : 29,8 SUD 170,9 EST. PROCHAIN BULLETIN SPECIAL MARINE LE 01/02/06 A 02:00 UTC.= ** WTNC01 NWBB 312054 *** A: BULLETIN METEOROLOGIQUE SPECIAL MARINE NUMERO 009. B: AVIS DE TEMPETE REDIGE LE 31/01/06 A 20:50 UTC. C: A 18:00 UTC LE 31/01/06, DEPRESSION TROPICALE FORTE "JIM" : - CENTREE PAR 24,7 SUD 171,3 EST. - PRESSION AU CENTRE ESTIMEE A 980 HPA. - DEPLACEMENT SUD-SUD-EST 21 NOEUDS. D: VENTS MOYENS ESTIMES A 55 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 82,5 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 20 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 46 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 69 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 30 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 33 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 50 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON ENTRE 30 ET 60 NAUTIQUES DU CENTRE, MER GROSSE. E: "JIM" POURSUIT SA TRAJECTOIRE SUD-SUD-EST EN S'AFFAIBLISSANT LENTEMENT. F: POSITIONS PREVUES : LE 01/02/06 A 0000 UTC : 26,1 SUD 172,1 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 0600 UTC : 28,0 SUD 172,7 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 1200 UTC : 30,0 SUD 173,2 EST. LE 01/02/06 A 1800 UTC : 31,0 SUD 173,0 EST. LE 02/02/06 A 0000 UTC : 30,8 SUD 171,8 EST. LE 02/02/06 A 0600 UTC : 29,8 SUD 170,9 EST. PROCHAIN BULLETIN SPECIAL MARINE LE 01/02/06 A 02:00 UTC.= ** WTNC02 NWBB 312055 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 009. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 20:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 24,7 S 171,3 E AT 311800. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 980 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 21 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 KT (GUSTS 82,5 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : "JIM" IS TRACKING SOUTH SOUTHEAST, SLOWLY WEAKENING. F: FORECAST : THE 06/02/01 0000 UTC : 26,1 S 172,1 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 28,0 S 172,7 E. THE 06/02/01 1200 UTC : 30,0 S 173,2 E. THE 06/02/01 1800 UTC : 31,0 S 173,0 E. THE 06/02/02 0000 UTC : 30,8 S 171,8 E. THE 06/02/02 0600 UTC : 29,8 S 170,9 E. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED THE 010200 UTC.= ** WTNC02 NWBB 312055 *** A: SPECIAL MARINE WEATHER ADVISORY NUMBER 009. B: STORM WARNING ISSUED THE 06/01/31 20:50 UTC. C: TROPICAL CYCLONE "JIM" LOCATED 24,7 S 171,3 E AT 311800. - CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 980 HPA. - TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 21 KT. D: EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 KT (GUSTS 82,5 KT) WITHIN 20 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 46 KT (GUSTS 69 KT) WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. WINDS ABOVE UP TO 33 KT (GUSTS 50 KT) BETWEEN 30 AND 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTER. TEXTE DU BMS : "JIM" IS TRACKING SOUTH SOUTHEAST, SLOWLY WEAKENING. F: FORECAST : THE 06/02/01 0000 UTC : 26,1 S 172,1 E. THE 06/02/01 0600 UTC : 28,0 S 172,7 E. THE 06/02/01 1200 UTC : 30,0 S 173,2 E. THE 06/02/01 1800 UTC : 31,0 S 173,0 E. THE 06/02/02 0000 UTC : 30,8 S 171,8 E. THE 06/02/02 0600 UTC : 29,8 S 170,9 E. NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED THE 010200 UTC.= ** WTXS21 PGTW 312100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/302021ZJAN2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (BOLOETSE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z --- NEAR 20.0S 38.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S 38.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 20.5S 37.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 20.9S 36.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 21.3S 36.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 21.8S 36.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 23.9S 37.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 312100Z POSITION NEAR 20.1S 38.6E. TC 09S (BOLOETSE) HAS REGENERATED TO WARNING CRITERIA AFTER REEMERGING IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A BROAD 700 MB RIDGE TO THE SOUTH- EAST OF THE STORM. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REORIENT MERIDIONALLY, RESULTING IN A SLOW TURN TO THE SOUTH- EAST. THE STORM IS BENEFITING FROM A LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A DEVELOPING OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW EAST OF MADAGASCAR WHICH WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 302021ZJAN2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ** WTXS31 PGTW 312100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/302021ZJAN2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (BOLOETSE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z --- NEAR 20.0S 38.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S 38.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 20.5S 37.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 20.9S 36.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 21.3S 36.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 21.8S 36.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 23.9S 37.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 312100Z POSITION NEAR 20.1S 38.6E. TC 09S (BOLOETSE) HAS REGENERATED TO WARNING CRITERIA AFTER REEMERGING IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE SYSTEM IS BEING STEERED BY A BROAD 700 MB RIDGE TO THE SOUTH- EAST OF THE STORM. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REORIENT MERIDIONALLY, RESULTING IN A SLOW TURN TO THE SOUTH- EAST. THE STORM IS BENEFITING FROM A LOW TO MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A DEVELOPING OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW EAST OF MADAGASCAR WHICH WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIG- NIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 302021ZJAN2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ** WTPS01 NFFN 312100 *** Storm Warning 032 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2155 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was relocated near 24.5 South 172.3 East at 312100 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 24.5S 172.3E at 312100 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.3S 172.7W at 010600 UTC and near 28.1S 173.7W at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 031. ** WTPS01 NFFN 312100 *** Storm Warning 032 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2155 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was relocated near 24.5 South 172.3 East at 312100 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 24.5S 172.3E at 312100 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.3S 172.7W at 010600 UTC and near 28.1S 173.7W at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 031. ** WTPS01 NFFN 312100 *** Storm Warning 032 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2155 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was relocated near 24.5 South 172.3 East at 312100 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 24.5S 172.3E at 312100 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.3S 172.7W at 010600 UTC and near 28.1S 173.7W at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 031. ** WTPS01 NFFN 312100 *** Storm Warning 032 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2155 UTC 2006 UTC. Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was relocated near 24.5 South 172.3 East at 312100 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 24.5S 172.3E at 312100 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.3S 172.7W at 010600 UTC and near 28.1S 173.7W at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 031. ** WTPS01 NFFN 312100 *** Storm Warning 032 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2209 UTC 2006 UTC. **CORRECTION FORE FOPRECAST POSITIONS** Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was relocated near 24.5 South 172.3 East at 312100 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 24.5S 172.3E at 312100 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.3S 172.7E at 010600 UTC and near 28.1S 173.7E at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 031. ** WTPS01 NFFN 312100 *** Storm Warning 032 issued from RSMC NADI Jan 31/2209 UTC 2006 UTC. **CORRECTION FORE FOPRECAST POSITIONS** Tropical Cyclone JIM [980hPa] centre was relocated near 24.5 South 172.3 East at 312100 UTC. Position fair. Repeat position 24.5S 172.3E at 312100 UTC. Cyclone moving southeast at about 15 knots and expected to decelerate further. Cyclone weakening. Expect sustained winds of 55 knots close to the centre decreasing to 45 knots in the next 12 hours. Expect winds over 47 knots within 50 miles of centre and over 33 knots within 130 miles of centre. Forecast position near 26.3S 172.7E at 010600 UTC and near 28.1S 173.7E at 011800 UTC. All vessels within 300 nautical miles of the centre are requested to send reports every three hours to RSMC NADI and TCWC Wellington. For RSMC Nadi: VOS reporting ships use normal channels. Other vessels fax plus 679 6720190 or email naditcc at met dot gov dot fj. This warning cancels and replaces warning 031.