** WTSR20 WSSS 281800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU01 ABRF 290026 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0025 UTC 29 January 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Jim with a central pressure of 982 hectopascals located at 290000UTC near 16.6 south 154.4 east and moving east northeast at 10 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the cyclone centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 35/45 knots within 100 nm of centre. Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre gradually increasing to 65 knots over the next 24 hours. Very rough seas rising very high to phenomenal during the next 24 hours. Moderate to heavy swells. Forecast position at 291200UTC 16.4 south and 156.0 east with central pressure 975 hPa and maximum winds to 60 knots. Forecast position at 300000UTC 17.1 south and 158.7 east with central pressure 965 hPa and maximum winds to 70 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTAU01 ABRF 290026 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0025 UTC 29 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION TROPICAL CYCLONE JIM WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 982 HECTOPASCALS LOCATED AT 290000UTC NEAR 16.6 SOUTH 154.4 EAST AND MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. AREA AFFECTED WITHIN 100 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE CYCLONE CENTRE. FORECAST CLOCKWISE WINDS 35/45 KNOTS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTRE. MAXIMUM WINDS TO 50 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTRE GRADUALLY INCREASING TO 65 KNOTS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. VERY ROUGH SEAS RISING VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SWELLS. FORECAST POSITION AT 291200UTC 16.4 SOUTH AND 156.0 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AT 300000UTC 17.1 SOUTH AND 158.7 EAST WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HPA AND MAXIMUM WINDS TO 70 KNOTS. REMARKS ALL SHIPS IN THE AREA PLEASE SEND WEATHER REPORTS EVERY THREE HOURS. REGULAR WEATHER OBSERVING SHIPS USE NORMAL CHANNELS. OTHER SHIPS PLEASE USE EITHER EMAIL TO MARWXQLD@BOM.GOV.AU OR FAX TO +61732398776 OR SATELLITE TO SAC 41 THROUGH LAND EARTH STATION PERTH 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTIO30 FMEE 290026 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/8/20052006 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/01/29 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 48.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 100 SO: NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/01/29 12 UTC: 20.7S/47.0E OVERLAND. 24H: 2006/01/30 00 UTC: 21.1S/45.7E DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/01/30 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW HAS MADE LANDFALL LIGHLY NORTH OF MANANJARY. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, GENERATING THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALLS, HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE CENTER ALL THE NIGHT, IT IS IMPORTANT OVER A WIDE CENTRAL AREA OF MADAGASCAR. ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE RATHER WEAK, BUT STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS MAY BE OBSERVED OVER SEAS AND DURING THE LANDSCAPE. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION SHOULD DESORGANISED DUNRING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTOMS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN IMPORTANT.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 290026 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/8/20052006 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 8 (EX-BOLOETSE) 2.A POSITION 2006/01/29 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 48.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 100 SO: NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2006/01/29 12 UTC: 20.7S/47.0E OVERLAND. 24H: 2006/01/30 00 UTC: 21.1S/45.7E DISSIPATING. 36H: 2006/01/30 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW HAS MADE LANDFALL LIGHLY NORTH OF MANANJARY. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, GENERATING THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALLS, HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE CENTER ALL THE NIGHT, IT IS IMPORTANT OVER A WIDE CENTRAL AREA OF MADAGASCAR. ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE RATHER WEAK, BUT STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS MAY BE OBSERVED OVER SEAS AND DURING THE LANDSCAPE. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION SHOULD DESORGANISED DUNRING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT HEAVY RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTOMS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN IMPORTANT. . ** WTAU01 ABRF 290026 *** IDQ20008 PAN PAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, BRISBANE 0025 UTC 29 January 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH EASTERN AREA SITUATION Tropical cyclone Jim with a central pressure of 982 hectopascals located at 290000UTC near 16.6 south 154.4 east and moving east northeast at 10 knots. Position fair. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the cyclone centre. FORECAST Clockwise winds 35/45 knots within 100 nm of centre. Maximum winds to 50 knots near the centre gradually increasing to 65 knots over the next 24 hours. Very rough seas rising very high to phenomenal during the next 24 hours. Moderate to heavy swells. Forecast position at 291200UTC 16.4 south and 156.0 east with central pressure 975 hPa and maximum winds to 60 knots. Forecast position at 300000UTC 17.1 south and 158.7 east with central pressure 965 hPa and maximum winds to 70 knots. REMARKS All ships in the area please send weather reports every three hours. Regular weather observing ships use normal channels. Other ships please use either email to marwxqld@bom.gov.au or fax to +61732398776 or satellite to SAC 41 through Land Earth Station Perth 222. WEATHER BRISBANE ** WTXS31 PGTW 290300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (BOLOETSE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z --- NEAR 20.7S 48.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S 48.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 20.4S 47.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 20.4S 46.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 290300Z POSITION NEAR 20.6S 48.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (BOLOETSE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. A RECENT 282228Z AMSR-E PASS DEPICTS A LANDFALLING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS BEGINNING TO ELONGATE COASTALLY. A BUILDING LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF LA REUNION WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM TRACKING INLAND UNTIL DISSIPATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// ** WTPS31 PGTW 290300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/281352ZJAN2006// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (JIM) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z --- NEAR 16.6S 154.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 154.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 16.5S 156.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 16.9S 158.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 17.9S 161.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 19.2S 164.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 22.0S 169.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 290300Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 154.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (JIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 485 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED OVER THE SYSTEM, RESULTING IN FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND CONSOLIDATION OF CONVECTION AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 10P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD INITIALLY, BUT BEGIN TO CURVE TOWARD THE EAST- SOUTHEAST BEYOND 24 HOURS AS THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE REORIENTS. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.// ** WTIN20 DEMS 290605 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 29-01-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONNECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, COMORIN ANDMALDIVES SOUTH WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE INDIAN REGION(.) ** WTIN20 DEMS 290605 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 29-01-2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONNECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, COMORIN ANDMALDIVES SOUTH WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE INDIAN REGION(.)