** WTSR20 WSSS 210600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU05 APRF 211300 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:19S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1258UTC 21 JANUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 25 nautical miles of Latitude nineteen decimal nine south [19.9S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal nine east [115.9E] Recent movement: west southwest 6 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 978 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 65 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 40/50 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 65 nautical miles of the centre: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 22 January: Within 45 nautical miles of 20.5 south 114.9 east Central pressure 978 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 22 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 21.4 south 113.9 east Central pressure 978 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 21 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 211300 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:19S116E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1258UTC 21 JANUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 25 nautical miles of Latitude nineteen decimal nine south [19.9S] Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal nine east [115.9E] Recent movement: west southwest 6 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 978 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 65 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 40/50 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 65 nautical miles of the centre: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 22 January: Within 45 nautical miles of 20.5 south 114.9 east Central pressure 978 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 22 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 21.4 south 113.9 east Central pressure 978 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 21 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 211500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DARYL) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z --- NEAR 20.0S 114.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S 114.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 20.6S 113.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 21.1S 112.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 22.0S 111.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 23.2S 110.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 26.3S 110.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z POSITION NEAR 20.2S 114.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DARYL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW CONVECTION CONTINUING TO DECREASE OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A 211028Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES THE REMAINING CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. TC 08S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 36 BEFORE TURNING POLEWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE CAUSED BY A TRANSIENT MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TC 08S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100z, 220300Z, 220900z AND 221500Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 211200 *** T T T WARNING 03 AT 1200 JANUARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETERS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 221200 ONE ONE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT ONE EAST AT 231200 ONE ONE POINT EIGHT NORTH ONE TWO FOUR POINT THREE EAST AND AT 241200 ONE TWO POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT ONE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION ARE ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPLL 211200 *** TTT WARNING 03 AT 1200 21 JANUARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 09.8 NORTH 128.0 EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT 03 MPS MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 13 MPS NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 221200 11.0 NORTH 126.1 EAST AT 231200 11.8 NORTH 124.3 EAST AND AT 241200 12.2 NORTH 122.1 EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HRLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA