** WTSR20 WSSS 201800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU05 APRF 210059 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S116E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0043UTC 21 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude nineteen decimal five south [19.5S] Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal six east [116.6E] Recent movement: west southwest 12 knots. Maximum winds: 65 knots. Central pressure: 965 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 65 nautical miles of the centre in southern quadrants extending to within 95 nautical miles in northern quadrants. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 64/70 knot clockwise winds with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 25 nautical miles of the centre in southern quadrants, extending to within 35 nautical miles of the centre in northern quadrants: 45/63 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 65 nautical miles of the centre in southern quadrants extending to within 95 nautical miles in northern quadrants: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 1200UTC 21 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 20.4 south 115.4 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 22 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.8 south 114.4 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700UTC 21 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 210059 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S116E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0043UTC 21 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude nineteen decimal five south [19.5S] Longitude one hundred and sixteen decimal six east [116.6E] Recent movement: west southwest 12 knots. Maximum winds: 65 knots. Central pressure: 965 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 65 nautical miles of the centre in southern quadrants extending to within 95 nautical miles in northern quadrants. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 64/70 knot clockwise winds with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 25 nautical miles of the centre in southern quadrants, extending to within 35 nautical miles of the centre in northern quadrants: 45/63 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 65 nautical miles of the centre in southern quadrants extending to within 95 nautical miles in northern quadrants: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 1200UTC 21 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 20.4 south 115.4 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 22 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.8 south 114.4 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700UTC 21 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 210300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DARYL) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z --- NEAR 19.3S 116.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 116.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 20.2S 114.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 21.0S 112.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 21.7S 111.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 22.5S 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 24.9S 110.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 210300Z POSITION NEAR 19.5S 115.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DARYL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND LAND-BASED RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A MIDLATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY OFF THE SOUTH- WEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA WILL FILL AND PROGRESS TO THE EAST. THIS WILL ALLOW THE WEAKNESS CREATED IN THE MIDLEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO FILL AND KEEP TC 08S ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. BY TAU 72, A SECOND TRANSIENT MIDLATITUDE TROUGH WILL CAUSE A WEAKNESS TO FORM IN THE RIDGE ONCE AGAIN AND RESULT IN A TURN TO THE SOUTH FOR THE TC. THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 36 AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TURNS POLEWARD AND ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 210000 *** TTT WARNING 01 AT 0000 21 JANUARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 220000 ONE ZERO POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 230000 ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO EAST AND AT 240000 ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPH RPMM 210000 *** TTT WARNING 01 AT 0000 21 JANUARY PTRO DEP WAS ESTMD BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ZERO EIGH POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTMD CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO FOUR HECTOPASCALSMAX WNDS ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITIONAS AT 220000 ONE ZERO POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 230000 ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO EAST AND AT 240000 ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD=