** WTAU05 APRF 201912 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S117E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1905UTC 20 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude nineteen decimal zero south [19.0S] Longitude one hundred and seventeen decimal seven east [117.7E] Recent movement: west southwest 13 knots. Maximum winds: 65 knots. Central pressure: 965 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 64/70 knot clockwise winds with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: 45/63 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles of the centre: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 21 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 20.4 south 115.9 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 21 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.8 south 114.5 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 21 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 201912 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S117E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1905UTC 20 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude nineteen decimal zero south [19.0S] Longitude one hundred and seventeen decimal seven east [117.7E] Recent movement: west southwest 13 knots. Maximum winds: 65 knots. Central pressure: 965 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 64/70 knot clockwise winds with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: 45/63 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles of the centre: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 21 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 20.4 south 115.9 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 21 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.8 south 114.5 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100UTC 21 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 202100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DARYL) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 18.9S 117.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S 117.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 19.8S 115.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 20.7S 113.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 21.5S 112.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 22.5S 111.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 24.3S 110.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 19.1S 117.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DARYL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND LAND-BASED RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION WHICH IS LIMITED TO THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN QUADRANTS OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS ENHANCED CONVECTION IS ATTRIBUTED TO A SMALL UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE SUPERIMPOSED ON THE SYSTEM, WHICH IS OVERCOMING THE SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AS THE MIDLATITUDE TROUGH LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM LIFTS OUT, THE STEERING INFLUENCE WILL TRANSITION TO A MIDLATITUDE RIDGE THAT WILL BUILD EAST INTO WESTERN AUSTRALIA. THE SYSTEM WILL NEAR THE AXIS OF THIS RIDGE NEAR TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.//