** WTSR20 WSSS 200600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU05 APRF 201250 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:18S120E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1246UTC 20 JANUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude 18.5 south Longitude 119.9 east Recent movement: southwest 8 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 975 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 45/55 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre extending to 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants: Clockwise winds above 33 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 21 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 19.9 south 118.4 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 21 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.7 south 117.4 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 20 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 201250 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:18S120E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1246UTC 20 JANUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude 18.5 south Longitude 119.9 east Recent movement: southwest 8 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 975 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: 45/55 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre extending to 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants: Clockwise winds above 33 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 21 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 19.9 south 118.4 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 21 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.7 south 117.4 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 20 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 201500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DARYL) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 18.4S 119.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S 119.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.3S 118.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 20.0S 117.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 20.4S 116.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 21.0S 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 23.1S 112.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION NEAR 18.6S 119.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DARYL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. EARLIER ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTED A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION DISPLACED WEST OF THE CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT TC 08S REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE CYCLONE WILL TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM MAY SLOW BETWEEN 24 AND 48 HOURS AS A TRANSIENT MIDLATITUDE TROUGH TEMPORARILY WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA. DESPITE A RECENT FLARE OF CONVECTION, TC 08S WILL REMAIN IN AN UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS SHEAR SHOULD INHIBIT ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IN THE SHORT TERM AND THE STORM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT PARALLELS THE COASTLINE AND INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z, 210900Z AND 211500Z.// ** WTAU05 APRF 201627 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:18S120E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1625UTC 20 JANUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1500UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was relocated within 30 nautical miles of Latitude 18.7 south Longitude 118.3 east Recent movement: west southwest 12 knots. Maximum winds: 60 knots. Central pressure: 970 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants. FORECAST Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: 45/60 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre extending to 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants: Clockwise winds above 33 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0300UTC 21 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 19.6 south 117.0 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 1500UTC 21 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.7 south 115.7 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 20 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 201627 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:18S120E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1625UTC 20 JANUARY 2006 STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1500UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was relocated within 30 nautical miles of Latitude 18.7 south Longitude 118.3 east Recent movement: west southwest 12 knots. Maximum winds: 60 knots. Central pressure: 970 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre, extending to within 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants. FORECAST Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: 45/60 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 55 nautical miles northeast of the centre extending to 90 nautical miles in the southwest quadrants: Clockwise winds above 33 knots with very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0300UTC 21 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 19.6 south 117.0 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 1500UTC 21 January: Within 90 nautical miles of 20.7 south 115.7 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 20 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH