** WTSR20 WSSS 190600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU05 APRF 191256 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:16S123E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1253UTC 19 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude 16.8 south Longitude 121.9 east Recent movement: west southwest 7 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 976 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 120 nautical miles in northern quadrants. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: winds increasing to 65 knots by 0600UTC 20 January and to 70 knots by 1200UTC 20 January with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: 48/63 knot winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 120 nautical miles in northern quadrants: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 20 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 17.8 south 120.8 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 20 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 19.0 south 119.5 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 19 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 191256 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:16S123E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1253UTC 19 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Daryl was located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude 16.8 south Longitude 121.9 east Recent movement: west southwest 7 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 976 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 120 nautical miles in northern quadrants. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: winds increasing to 65 knots by 0600UTC 20 January and to 70 knots by 1200UTC 20 January with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles of the centre: 48/63 knot winds with high to very high seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 120 nautical miles in northern quadrants: Clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas, moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 20 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 17.8 south 120.8 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 20 January: Within 70 nautical miles of 19.0 south 119.5 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900UTC 19 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 191500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DARYL) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z --- NEAR 16.8S 121.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S 121.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 17.5S 120.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 18.3S 119.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.2S 118.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 20.1S 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z POSITION NEAR 17.0S 121.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DARYL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF YAMPI SOUND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE CURRENT STEERING FLOW IS RATHER WEAK, AS THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY LARGE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC ENVIRONMENT. NONETHELESS, TC 08S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AS IT REMAINS ON THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A STEERING RIDGE LOCATED OVER SOUTH AUSTRALIA. ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONE HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND AND SUSTAINED MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z AND 201500Z.//