** WTIN20 DEMS 180526 ***


            TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

            ------------------------

DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 18-01-2006 (.) 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE 

BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS 

ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.)



ISOLATED CONVECTIVE CLOUDS OVER SOUTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL(.)



RIDGE LINE PASSES OVER 200 HPA LEVEL AT 13 DEG. NORTH (.)






** WTAU05 APRF 180645 ***
IDW23100
40:3:1:24:15S124E999:11:00
SECURITE

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0644UTC 18 JANUARY 2006
 
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600UTC a developing tropical low was located near Kuri Bay on the west
Kimberley coast within 30 nautical miles of
 Latitude  15.5 south 
 Longitude 124.4 east
Recent movement:  almost stationary.
Maximum winds:    30 knots.
Central pressure: 992 hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.


FORECAST
The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 24 hours causing
30/45 knot clockwise winds.  Rough to very rough seas, moderate swell.  

At 1800UTC 18 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.9 south  123.8 east  
                       Central pressure 985 hPa. 
                       Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 19 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 16.4 south 123.0 east
                       Central pressure 982 hPa.
                       Winds to 45 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1300UTC 18 January 2006.

WEATHER PERTH




** WTAU05 APRF 180645 ***
IDW23100

40:3:1:24:15S124E999:11:00

SECURITE



HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE

AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

CENTRE PERTH AT 0644UTC 18 JANUARY 2006

 

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA



Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the

averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.



SITUATION

At 0600UTC a developing tropical low was located near Kuri Bay on the west

Kimberley coast within 30 nautical miles of

 Latitude  15.5 south 

 Longitude 124.4 east

Recent movement:  almost stationary.

Maximum winds:    30 knots.

Central pressure: 992 hPa.





AREA AFFECTED

Within 90 nautical miles of the centre.





FORECAST

The low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 12 to 24 hours causing

30/45 knot clockwise winds.  Rough to very rough seas, moderate swell.  



At 1800UTC 18 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 15.9 south  123.8 east  

                       Central pressure 985 hPa. 

                       Winds to 40 knots near centre.

At 0600UTC 19 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 16.4 south 123.0 east

                       Central pressure 982 hPa.

                       Winds to 45 knots near centre.



Next warning issued by 1300UTC 18 January 2006.



WEATHER PERTH