** WTIN20 DEMS 100610 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 10TH JANUARY 2006 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND PARTS OF SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) THE RIDGE LINE OVER INDIAN REGION PASSES THROUGH 8 DEG LONGITUDE AT 200 HPA OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ????????? ** WTXS31 PGTW 100900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z --- NEAR 22.5S 116.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S 116.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 23.9S 115.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 25.1S 115.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100900Z POSITION NEAR 22.8S 116.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, TC 05S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD AND WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS OVER LAND AND MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.//