** WTAU05 APRF 091302 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:20S117E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1301UTC 9 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude 20.4 south Longitude 116.5 east Recent movement: south southwest at 9 knots. Maximum winds: 75 knots. Central pressure: 960 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained clockwise winds to 75 knots with very high to phenomenal with a heavy swell. Winds easing to below 65 knots during early Tuesday. Within 40 nautical miles of centre: 45/60 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Winds easing to below 45 knots later on Tuesday. Within 100 nautical miles of centre: clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 10 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 22.0 south 115.9 east Central pressure 980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 10 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 23.7 south 115.5 east [over land] Central pressure 990 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 09 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 091302 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:20S117E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1301UTC 9 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude 20.4 south Longitude 116.5 east Recent movement: south southwest at 9 knots. Maximum winds: 75 knots. Central pressure: 960 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 20 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained clockwise winds to 75 knots with very high to phenomenal with a heavy swell. Winds easing to below 65 knots during early Tuesday. Within 40 nautical miles of centre: 45/60 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Winds easing to below 45 knots later on Tuesday. Within 100 nautical miles of centre: clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 10 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 22.0 south 115.9 east Central pressure 980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 10 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 23.7 south 115.5 east [over land] Central pressure 990 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 09 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 091500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z --- NEAR 20.1S 116.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S 116.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 21.6S 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 23.0S 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 24.4S 114.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 25.7S 113.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 27.9S 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z POSITION NEAR 20.5S 116.1E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR TAU 12. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOLLOWING LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.//