** WTAU05 APRF 090047 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S117E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0037UTC 9 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude 18.8 south Longitude 117.7 east Recent movement: southwest at 8 knots. Maximum winds: 75 knots. Central pressure: 960 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained clockwise winds to 75 knots increasing to 90 knots within 25 nautical miles by 09/1200UTC, with very high seas increasing to phenomenal with a heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 40 nautical miles by 09/1200UTC: 45/60 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 100 nautical miles of centre: clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1200UTC 09 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 20.7 south 116.3 east Central pressure 940 hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 10 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 22.0 south 115.6 east [over land] Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 09 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 090047 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:19S117E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0037UTC 9 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude 18.8 south Longitude 117.7 east Recent movement: southwest at 8 knots. Maximum winds: 75 knots. Central pressure: 960 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained clockwise winds to 75 knots increasing to 90 knots within 25 nautical miles by 09/1200UTC, with very high seas increasing to phenomenal with a heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 40 nautical miles by 09/1200UTC: 45/60 knot clockwise winds with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 100 nautical miles of centre: clockwise winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1200UTC 09 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 20.7 south 116.3 east Central pressure 940 hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 10 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 22.0 south 115.6 east [over land] Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 09 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 090300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH IO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z --- NEAR 18.9S 117.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S 117.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 20.5S 116.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 21.7S 115.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z --- 23.3S 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 24.9S 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 28.5S 114.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 117.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL PRIOR TO TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z AND 091500Z.//