** WTAU05 APRF 081907 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:18S118E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1901UTC 8 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude 18.2 south Longitude 118.4 east Recent movement: southwest at 11 knots. Maximum winds: 65 knots. Central pressure: 965 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 65 knots increasing to 95 knots by 09/1200UTC, with very high seas increasing to phenomenal with a heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 40 nautical miles by 09/1200UTC: 45/60 knot winds with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 100 nautical miles of centre: winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 09 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 19.7 south 117.0 east Central pressure 950 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 09 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 21.3 south 116.2 east [over land] Central pressure 940 hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0000 UTC 09 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 081907 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:18S118E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1901UTC 8 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude 18.2 south Longitude 118.4 east Recent movement: southwest at 11 knots. Maximum winds: 65 knots. Central pressure: 965 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 100 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 65 knots increasing to 95 knots by 09/1200UTC, with very high seas increasing to phenomenal with a heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 40 nautical miles by 09/1200UTC: 45/60 knot winds with high to very high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 100 nautical miles of centre: winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 09 January: Within 40 nautical miles of 19.7 south 117.0 east Central pressure 950 hPa. Winds to 80 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 09 January: Within 60 nautical miles of 21.3 south 116.2 east [over land] Central pressure 940 hPa. Winds to 90 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0000 UTC 09 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 18.1S 118.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S 118.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 19.6S 116.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 21.2S 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 22.5S 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 24.0S 114.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 27.5S 113.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 18.5S 117.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST UNTIL LANDFALL AROUND TAU 24. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z AND 090900Z.// ** WTPH RPLL 081800 *** GALE WARNING NO.4 FOR STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON ISSUED AT 5:00AM TODAY, 09 JANUARY 2006 (VALID UNTIL THE NEXT WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT 5:00PM TODAY) THE SURGE OF MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SEABROARDS OF LUZON AND VISAYAS AND THE EASTERN SEABORADS OF MINDANAO. NORTHERN, WESTERN AND EASTERN SEABORADS OF LUZON WILL EXPE- RIENCE PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS. WINDS OF 40 TO 75KPH (20 TO 6.00 METERS. LIEKWISE, THE SEA- BOARDS OF VISAYAS AND THE EASTERN SEABOARDS OF MINDANAO WILL EXPERIENCE CLOUDY SKIES WITH SCATTERED TO WIDSPREAD RAINS, WINDS OF 40 TO 65KPH (20 TO 35KNOTS) ARE EXPECTED AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH WITH WAVE HEIGHTS AOF 2.50 TO 5.00 METERS. FISHING BOATS AND OTHER SMALL SEACRAFTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUT INTO THE SEA WHILE BIGGER SEACRAFTS AREA AALERTED AGAINST MODERATE TO HIGH WAVES. WATCH FOR THE NEXT UPDATE TO BE ISSUED AT 5PM TODAY.