** WTAU05 APRF 080639 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:16S120E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0629UTC 8 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 25 nautical miles of Latitude 16.5 south Longitude 120.0 east Recent movement: southwest at 12 knots. Maximum winds: 55 knots. Central pressure: 980 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 55 knots increasing to 75 knots by 09/0600UTC, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 45 nautical miles by 09/0000UTC: 45/60 knot winds with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 75 nautical miles of centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of centre by 09/000UTC winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1800UTC 08 January: Within 45 nautical miles of 18.0 south 118.4 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 0600UTC 09 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.3 south 117.1 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 08 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 080639 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:16S120E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0629UTC 8 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 25 nautical miles of Latitude 16.5 south Longitude 120.0 east Recent movement: southwest at 12 knots. Maximum winds: 55 knots. Central pressure: 980 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 55 knots increasing to 75 knots by 09/0600UTC, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 30 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 45 nautical miles by 09/0000UTC: 45/60 knot winds with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 75 nautical miles of centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of centre by 09/000UTC winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1800UTC 08 January: Within 45 nautical miles of 18.0 south 118.4 east Central pressure 970 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 0600UTC 09 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 19.3 south 117.1 east Central pressure 960 hPa. Winds to 75 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 08 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTIN20 DEMS 080651 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 08-01-2006(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL. THE RIDGE LINE OVER INDIAN REGION PASSES THROUGH 8 DEG. LONGITUDE AT 200 HPA OVER INDIAN REGION. ** WTIN20 DEMS 080651 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 08-01-2006(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL. THE RIDGE LINE OVER INDIAN REGION PASSES THROUGH 8 DEG. LONGITUDE AT 200 HPA OVER INDIAN REGION. ** WTXS31 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 119.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 119.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 17.5S 118.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 18.5S 117.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 19.7S 116.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 20.8S 115.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 24.0S 113.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 119.4E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 255 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BEFORE NEARING THE RIDGE AXIS BY TAU 72. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH WESTWARD AND DEVELOPING POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z.//