** WTAU05 APRF 080102 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:15S121E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0054UTC 8 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 25 nautical miles of Latitude 15.7 south Longitude 120.8 east Recent movement: west southwest at 14 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 985 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of the centre by 08/1200UTC. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 50 knots increasing to 70 knots by 09/0000UTC, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 25 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 45 nautical miles by 09/0000UTC: 45/60 knot winds with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 70 nautical miles of centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of centre by 09/000UTC winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1200UTC 08 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.3 south 119.1 east Central pressure 975 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 09 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 18.5 south 117.6 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 08 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 080102 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:15S121E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0054UTC 8 JANUARY 2006 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone CLARE located within 25 nautical miles of Latitude 15.7 south Longitude 120.8 east Recent movement: west southwest at 14 knots. Maximum winds: 50 knots. Central pressure: 985 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 70 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of the centre by 08/1200UTC. FORECAST Within 15 nautical miles of the centre: Sustained winds to 50 knots increasing to 70 knots by 09/0000UTC, with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 25 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 45 nautical miles by 09/0000UTC: 45/60 knot winds with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 70 nautical miles of centre extending to within 90 nautical miles of centre by 09/000UTC winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1200UTC 08 January: Within 50 nautical miles of 17.3 south 119.1 east Central pressure 975 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 09 January: Within 80 nautical miles of 18.5 south 117.6 east Central pressure 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 08 January 2006. WEATHER PERTH ** WTXS31 PGTW 080300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/072021ZJAN2006// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z --- NEAR 15.6S 121.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S 121.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z --- 16.8S 119.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z --- 18.0S 118.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z --- 19.4S 116.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z --- 21.1S 115.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 23.2S 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9S 120.9E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S (CLARE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 05S IS BENE- FITING FROM A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION THAT INCLUDES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD WESTWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. IT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY UNTIL LANDFALL AROUND TAU 48. THIS WARNING SUPERCEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 072021ZJAN2006 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 072030 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIF- ICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080600Z AND 081200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (CLARE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001