** WTIO30 FMEE 290620 ***


RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 20/6/20052006

1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 6



2.A POSITION 2005/12/29 AT 0600 UTC :

WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S / 60.5E

(TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES

EAST)



3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 1.5/1.5 /S

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1007 HPA

5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT



6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):





7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM

8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW



1.B FORECASTS:

12H: 2005/12/29 18 UTC: 23.6S/59.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP.

24H: 2005/12/30 06 UTC: 26.5S/60.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING.

36H: 2005/12/30 18 UTC: DISSIPATED.





2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:

LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND ASSOCIATED

RESIDUAL

 CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING.

AVAILABLE NWP MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO TRACK THE FILLING LOW

TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.

MAURITIUS AND LA REUNION ISLANDS ESCAPE FROM THE MOST ACTIVE

CLUSTERS.



THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.=




** WTIO30 FMEE 290620 ***
 
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 20/6/20052006
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 6

2.A POSITION 2005/12/29 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S / 60.5E 
(TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 1.5/1.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1007 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/12/29 18 UTC: 23.6S/59.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP.
24H: 2005/12/30 06 UTC: 26.5S/60.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING.
36H: 2005/12/30 18 UTC: DISSIPATED.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND ASSOCIATED RESIDUAL
 CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING.
AVAILABLE NWP MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO TRACK THE FILLING LOW
TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
MAURITIUS AND LA REUNION ISLANDS ESCAPE FROM THE MOST ACTIVE CLUSTERS.

THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.




.




** WTIN20 DEMS 290625 ***


            TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

     ------------------------

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI  29-12-2005 (.) 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE 

BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 

HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.)



CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA .





WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE AREA (.)