** WTIO20 FMEE 260613 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 26/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 1003 HPA POSITION: 13.5S / 74.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 80 NM AND 300 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING 25 KT UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/26 AT 18 UTC: 14.0S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/12/27 AT 06 UTC: 14.7S / 70.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS. LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS LESS AND LESS DEFINED. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 260614 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 14/6/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 2.A POSITION 2005/12/26 AT 0600 UTC : 13.5S / 74.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/12/26 18 UTC: 14.0S/72.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2005/12/27 06 UTC: 14.7S/70.4E, MAX WIND=020KT. 36H: 2005/12/27 18 UTC: 15.5S/68.6E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 48H: 2005/12/28 06 UTC: 16.3S/66.5E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 60H: 2005/12/28 18 UTC: 17.2S/64.4E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 72H: 2005/12/29 06 UTC: 18.3S/62.2E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0- LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND EXPOSED EAST OF THE ASSOCIATED CYCLING CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS STRONGLY EASTERLY SHEARED. IT HAS TRACKED WESTWARDS DURING LAST NIGTH, AND THE RESIDUAL LOW TRACKS NOW WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 260613 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 26/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 1003 HPA POSITION: 13.5S / 74.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 80 NM AND 300 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING 25 KT UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/26 AT 18 UTC: 14.0S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/12/27 AT 06 UTC: 14.7S / 70.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS. LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS LESS AND LESS DEFINED. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. ** WTIN20 DEMS 260630 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 26-06-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER ANDAMAN SEA. STRONG WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE AREA (.)