** WTSR20 WSSS 240600 ***
NO STORM WARNING=




** WTIO20 FMEE 241203 ***
SECURITE

WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)

ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/12/2005

AT

1200 UTC.

WARNING NUMBER: 006/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)

(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)

(INDICATIVE FIGURE).



WARNING

BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY  24/12/2005 AT 1200 UTC.



PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 999 HPA

POSITION:          WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 84.2E

(TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES

EAST) AT 1200 UTC

MOVEMENT:          WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT



THREAT AREAS:

SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING

UP TO

 250 MN IN THE WESTERN SECTOR.



CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30

NM

RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING 30 KT UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN

SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT.

STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.



FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:

12H, VALID 2005/12/25 AT 00 UTC:

12.9S / 81.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

24H, VALID 2005/12/25 AT 12 UTC:

13.6S / 79.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.



OTHER INFORMATIONS:

THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.

 STRONGER WINDS EXIST FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE

GRADIENT

EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.=




** WTIO30 FMEE 241203 ***


RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)



0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/6/20052006

1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6



2.A POSITION 2005/12/24 AT 1200 UTC :

WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 84.2E

(TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES

EAST)



3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /W  0.5/12 H

4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 999 HPA

5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT



6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

30 KT   NE:       SE: 090   SO: 090   NO:



7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200

KM

8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW



1.B FORECASTS:

12H: 2005/12/25 00 UTC: 12.9S/81.9E, MAX WIND=025KT.

24H: 2005/12/25 12 UTC: 13.6S/79.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.

36H: 2005/12/26 00 UTC: 14.5S/77.5E, MAX WIND=035KT.

48H: 2005/12/26 12 UTC: 15.5S/75.4E, MAX WIND=035KT.

60H: 2005/12/27 00 UTC: 16.7S/73.2E, MAX WIND=025KT.

72H: 2005/12/27 12 UTC: 18.0S/71.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.



2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:

T=2.0, CI=2.0+

LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND FULLY EXPOSED

WEST

OF THE CYCLING ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES A MODERATE TO RATHER STRONGF EASTERLY VERTICAL

WIND

SHEAR.

THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS

ON

THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.=




** WTIO30 FMEE 241203 ***
 
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/6/20052006
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6

2.A POSITION 2005/12/24 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 84.2E 
(TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /W  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT   NE:       SE: 090   SO: 090   NO:

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/12/25 00 UTC: 12.9S/81.9E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/12/25 12 UTC: 13.6S/79.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2005/12/26 00 UTC: 14.5S/77.5E, MAX WIND=035KT.
48H: 2005/12/26 12 UTC: 15.5S/75.4E, MAX WIND=035KT.
60H: 2005/12/27 00 UTC: 16.7S/73.2E, MAX WIND=025KT.
72H: 2005/12/27 12 UTC: 18.0S/71.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.0, CI=2.0+
LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS POORLY DEFINED AND FULLY EXPOSED WEST
OF THE CYCLING ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.
THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES A MODERATE TO RATHER STRONGF EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.


.




** WTIO20 FMEE 241203 ***
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/12/2005 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY  24/12/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 999 HPA 
POSITION:          WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 84.2E 
(TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO
 250 MN IN THE WESTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING 30 KT UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/12/25 AT 00 UTC: 
12.9S / 81.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/12/25 AT 12 UTC: 
13.6S / 79.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.
 STRONGER WINDS EXIST FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT
EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.


.




** WTIO21 FMEE 241203 ***
METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BMS MARINE LE 24/12/2005 A 1200 UTC.
NUMERO: 006/06 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN)

VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT)
(LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT
MOYEN).
PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(VALEUR INDICATIVE).

AVERTISSEMENT
DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 24/12/2005 A 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENE:         PERTURBATION TROPICALE 6 999 HPA 
POSITION:          DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.1S / 84.2E 
(DOUZE DEGRES UN SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-QUATRE DEGRES DEUX EST) A 1200 UTC
DEPLACEMENT:       OUEST-SUD-OUEST 12 KT
 
ZONES MENACEES:
TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT
JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE SECTEUR OUEST.

CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE DANS UN RAYON
 DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT 30 KT JUSQU'A 50 MN DANS LE
DEMI-CERCLE SUD PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT.
FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS.

PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES:
A 12H POUR LE 25/12/2005 A 00 UTC: 
12.9S / 81.9E, VENT MAX = 25 KT.
A 24H POUR LE 25/12/2005 A 12 UTC: 
13.6S / 79.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT.

INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES:
LE SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DEPLACER VERS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST.
LES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDENT PLUS LOIN DANS LE SUD DU SYSTEME EN RAISON DU
GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES.


.




** WTIO20 FMEE 241203 ***
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/12/2005 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY  24/12/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 999 HPA 
POSITION:          WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 84.2E 
(TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-SOUTH-WEST 12 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO
 250 MN IN THE WESTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, REACHING 30 KT UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/12/25 AT 00 UTC: 
12.9S / 81.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/12/25 AT 12 UTC: 
13.6S / 79.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.
 STRONGER WINDS EXIST FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT
EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.


.




** WTIO21 FMEE 241203 ***
METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BMS MARINE LE 24/12/2005 A 1200 UTC.
NUMERO: 006/06 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN)

VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT)
(LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT
MOYEN).
PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(VALEUR INDICATIVE).

AVERTISSEMENT
DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 24/12/2005 A 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENE:         PERTURBATION TROPICALE 6 999 HPA 
POSITION:          DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 12.1S / 84.2E 
(DOUZE DEGRES UN SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-QUATRE DEGRES DEUX EST) A 1200 UTC
DEPLACEMENT:       OUEST-SUD-OUEST 12 KT
 
ZONES MENACEES:
TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT
JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE SECTEUR OUEST.

CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE DANS UN RAYON
 DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT 30 KT JUSQU'A 50 MN DANS LE
DEMI-CERCLE SUD PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT.
FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS.

PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES:
A 12H POUR LE 25/12/2005 A 00 UTC: 
12.9S / 81.9E, VENT MAX = 25 KT.
A 24H POUR LE 25/12/2005 A 12 UTC: 
13.6S / 79.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT.

INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES:
LE SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DEPLACER VERS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST.
LES VENTS FORTS S'ETENDENT PLUS LOIN DANS LE SUD DU SYSTEME EN RAISON DU
GRADIENT AVEC LES HAUTES PRESSIONS SUBTROPICALES.


.