** WTIO20 FMEE 231803 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/12/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 23/12/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 86.8E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 MN IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 230 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/24 AT 06 UTC: 11.1S / 84.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/12/24 AT 18 UTC: 11.8S / 82.2E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 231803 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 23/12/2005 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 003/06 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 23/12/2005 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 6 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 10.5S / 86.8E (DIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-SIX DEGRES HUIT EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 11 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 160 MN DANS LES QUADRANTS NORD-OUEST ET JUSQU'A 230 MN DAND LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. GRAND FRAIS ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 50 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 24/12/2005 A 06 UTC: 11.1S / 84.5E, VENT MAX = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. A 24H POUR LE 24/12/2005 A 18 UTC: 11.8S / 82.2E, VENT MAX = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST PREVU SE DEPLACER VERS L'OUEST-SUD-OUEST EN S'INTENSIFIANT LENTEMENT. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 231803 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/12/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 23/12/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 86.8E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 MN IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 230 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/24 AT 06 UTC: 11.1S / 84.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DEPR. TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/12/24 AT 18 UTC: 11.8S / 82.2E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, TEMP. TROP. MODEREE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 231804 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/6/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 2.A POSITION 2005/12/23 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 86.8E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/12/24 06 UTC: 11.1S/84.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2005/12/24 18 UTC: 11.8S/82.2E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 36H: 2005/12/25 06 UTC: 13.0S/79.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 48H: 2005/12/25 18 UTC: 13.9S/77.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM .. 60H: 2005/12/26 06 UTC: 14.6S/74.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2005/12/26 18 UTC: 15.5S/72.0E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNDERGOING A MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ; UNTIL NOW, CONVECTION DID NOT CONSOLIDATE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS ; UNDER THE CONSTRAINT OF A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 231804 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/6/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 2.A POSITION 2005/12/23 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.5S / 86.8E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/12/24 06 UTC: 11.1S/84.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H: 2005/12/24 18 UTC: 11.8S/82.2E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 36H: 2005/12/25 06 UTC: 13.0S/79.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 48H: 2005/12/25 18 UTC: 13.9S/77.4E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM . 60H: 2005/12/26 06 UTC: 14.6S/74.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 72H: 2005/12/26 18 UTC: 15.5S/72.0E, MAX WIND=055KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNDERGOING A MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ; UNTIL NOW, CONVECTION DID NOT CONSOLIDATE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS ; UNDER THE CONSTRAINT OF A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MARGINAL.=