** WTIO20 FMEE 230623 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 23/12/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.3S / 89.7E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/12/23 AT 18 UTC: 10.6S / 88.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/12/24 AT 06 UTC: 11.2S / 86.3E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 230624 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/6/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 2.A POSITION 2005/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.3S / 89.7E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/12/23 18 UTC: 10.6S/88.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2005/12/24 06 UTC: 11.2S/86.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2005/12/24 18 UTC: 12.0S/83.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2005/12/25 06 UTC: 12.8S/81.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2005/12/25 18 UTC: 13.6S/78.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2005/12/26 06 UTC: 14.3S/75.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING A MODERATE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, UNTIL NOW CONVECTION DID NOT CONSOLIDATE DURABLY. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS PARTLY EXPOSED BUT SHOWS A WELL DEFINED AND RATHER SYMMETRICAL PATTERN (CF QUIKSCAT DATA). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 230624 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/6/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 2.A POSITION 2005/12/23 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.3S / 89.7E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/12/23 18 UTC: 10.6S/88.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2005/12/24 06 UTC: 11.2S/86.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2005/12/24 18 UTC: 12.0S/83.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2005/12/25 06 UTC: 12.8S/81.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2005/12/25 18 UTC: 13.6S/78.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2005/12/26 06 UTC: 14.3S/75.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING A MODERATE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, UNTIL NOW CONVECTION DID NOT CONSOLIDATE DURABLY. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS PARTLY EXPOSED BUT SHOWS A WELL DEFINED AND RATHER SYMMETRICAL PATTERN (CF QUIKSCAT DATA). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING MAINLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY. . ** WTIN20 DEMS 230645 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 23-12-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) THE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL HAS WEEKNED INTO LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER CENTRAL AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL. RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 10 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION. ** WTIN20 DEMS 230645 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 23-12-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) THE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL HAS WEEKNED INTO LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. THE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER CENTRAL AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL. RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 10 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION.