** WTIN20 DEMS 220645 ***


            TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

            ------------------------

DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 22-12-2005 (.) 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF 

BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC (.)



SUBJECT : DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL



THE DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL HAS WEEKNED INTO A

WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING CENTRAL BAY 

OF BENGAL.



THE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEMS ARE SEEN OVER

CENTRAL AND NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.




** WTAU05 APRF 220648 ***
IDW23100
40:3:1:24:10S092E999:11:00
 

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0436UTC 22 DECEMBER 2005
 
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600UTC a tropical low located within 15 nautical miles of
 Latitude  nine decimal nine south [9.9S] 
 Longitude ninety one decimal six east [91.6E]
Recent movement : southwest at 4 knots.
Maximum winds   : 30 knots
Central pressure: 998 hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 120 nautical miles
in western quadrants.
  

FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing
clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.

At 1800 UTC 22 December: 
 Within 40 nautical miles of 10.5 south 90.6 east.  
 Central Pressure 998 hPa.
 Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 0600 UTC 23 December:  
 Within 60 nautical miles of 11.1 south 88.7 east.  
 Central Pressure 995 hPa.
 Winds to 45 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 22 December 2005.


WEATHER PERTH




** WTAU05 APRF 220648 ***
IDW23100

40:3:1:24:10S092E999:11:00

 



HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE

AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

CENTRE PERTH AT 0436UTC 22 DECEMBER 2005

 

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA



Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the

averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.



SITUATION

At 0600UTC a tropical low located within 15 nautical miles of

 Latitude  nine decimal nine south [9.9S] 

 Longitude ninety one decimal six east [91.6E]

Recent movement : southwest at 4 knots.

Maximum winds   : 30 knots

Central pressure: 998 hPa.





AREA AFFECTED

Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to within 120 nautical miles

in western quadrants.

  



FORECAST

Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 18 to 24 hours causing

clockwise winds 30/45 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.



At 1800 UTC 22 December: 

 Within 40 nautical miles of 10.5 south 90.6 east.  

 Central Pressure 998 hPa.

 Winds to 30 knots near centre.

At 0600 UTC 23 December:  

 Within 60 nautical miles of 11.1 south 88.7 east.  

 Central Pressure 995 hPa.

 Winds to 45 knots near centre.



Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 22 December 2005.





WEATHER PERTH