** WTIO31 PGTW 210300 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z --- NEAR 11.7N 84.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 84.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 12.5N 84.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z --- 13.7N 84.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 15.7N 85.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 18.1N 87.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z POSITION NEAR 11.9N 84.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE NEAR A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. INTERACTION WITH AN APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AFTER TAU 24 WILL RESULT IN AN ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST AND THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z AND 220300Z.//