** WTIN01 DEMS 091800 *** SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII(N) NORTH OF EQUATOR VALID FOR 24 HRS. FROM 2005 12 09 1800/UTC: 09TH DEC,2005 PART-I: THE CYCLONIC STORM OVER SOUTHWEST BAY MOVED SLIGHTLY WESTWARDS AND NOW LIES CENTRED AT 1200 HRS IST OF 09TH DEC 2005 WITHIN HALF A DEGREE OF LAT 10.5 DEG N AND LONG 82.0 DEG E ABOUT 250 KMS EAST OF NAGAPATTANAM ESTIMATED CENTRE PRESSURE (ECP) IS 998 HPA(.) THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE IN A WESTNORTHWESTERLY-DIRECTION AND CROSS NORTH TAMILNADU COAST BETWEEN VEDARANNIYAM AND PONDICHERRY AROUND NOON OF THE 10TH DECEMBER 2005(.) PART II: WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA VIII(N)(.) PART III: FORCAST ARB-AI ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N WEST OF 80 DEG E. 1) WIND:NE 05/10 KTS BEC NW/W 10/15 KTS (.) WINDC IN GUST WILL INCREASE BY 10/15 KTS IN RA/TS(.) 11)WEATHER: SCATTERED RA/TS TO THE NORTH OF 5 DEG N AND EAST OF 70 DEG E REST AREA ISOLATED RA/TS(.) III) VISIBILITY: POOR IN RAIN(.) IV) STATE OF SEA: SLIGHT ARB-A2 ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF 10 DEG N. WIND: MAINLY NE-LY 10/15 KTS(.) WEATHER: FAIR VISIBILITY:GOOD(.) IV) STATE OF SEA: SLIGHT BOB-A3-BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 15 DEG N EAST OF 80 DEG E:- 1) WIND: CYCLONIC 55/60 KTS AROUND THE CENTRE OF LAT 10.5 DEG N AND LONG 83.0 DEG E WITHIN THE RADIUS OF 500 KMS(.) WIND IN GUST WILL INCREASE BY 10/15 KTS IN RA/TS(.) 11)WEATHER:WIDE SPREAD RA/TS(.) III)VISIBILITY: POOR IN RAIN(.) IV)STATE OF SEA: VERY HIGH(.) BOB-A4-BAY OF BENGAL NORTH OF 15 DEG N WIND: SE-LY 10/15 KTS BEC NE 20/25 KTS TO THE N OF 15 DEG N(.) WIND IN GUST WILL INCREASE BY 10/15 KTS IN RA/TS(.) II) WEATHER: SCATTERED RA/TS(.) VISIBILITY: POOR IN RAIN(.) STATE OF SEA: MODERATE(.) ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT ** WTIO31 PGTW 092100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (FANOOS) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 80.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 80.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 10.8N 79.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 11.3N 78.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 092100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 80.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 06B CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF BROAD RIDGING OVER THE NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE STORM WILL BEGIN TO TURN SLIGHTLY MORE POLEWARD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE CAUSED BY A DEEPENING MIDLATITUDE LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHERN PAKISTAN. THE SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO UNTIL LANDFALL ALTHOUGH GROUND INTERACTIONS WILL WEAKEN IT SOMEWHAT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z. 2. THE JTWC WEBPAGE MAY BE UNAVAILABLE FROM APPROXIMATELY 111700Z TO 120500ZDEC 2005 DUE TO MAINTENANCE.// ** WTIN20 DEMS 091800 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING RSMC NEW DELHI F/C 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE -FANOOS- WARNING NR 05 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN BAY OF BENGAL INITIAL POSITION 091200Z NEAR 10.5N 82.0E ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KTS MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS 280DEG AT 10 KTS FORECAST 06 HRS VALID AT: 091800 10.5N 81.1E ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KTS 12 HRS VALID AT: 100000 10.6N 80.1E ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 KTS 18 HRS VALID AT: 100600 10.4N 79.2E ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 KTS 24 HRS VALID AT: 101200 10.9N 78.6E ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 KTS 30 HRS VALID AT: 101800 11.1N 77.7E ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 KTS NEXT WARNING AT 100600