** WTIN01 DEMS 081800 *** SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII(N) NORTH OF EQUATOR VALID FOR 24 HRS. FROM 2005 08 12 1800/UTC: 08 DEC,2005 PART I: THE CYCLONIC STORM MOVED SLIGHTLY WEST WARDS AND LIES CENTRED AT 1200 UTC OF 8TH DEC 2005 WITHIN HALF A DEG OF LAT 10.5 DEG N AND LONG 84.5 DEG E ABOUT 550 KMS EAST SOUTH EAST OF CHENNAI (.) SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE IN A WESTERLY DIRECTION (.) PART II : WEATHER SEASONAL OVER REST MET AREA VIII(N)(.) PART III: FORECAST ARB-A1 ARABIAN SEA EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N WEST OF 80 DEG E I)WIND : NE 05/10 KTS BEC N/NW 05/10 KTS(.) WIND IN GUST WILL INCREASE BY 10/15 KTS IN RA/TS (.) II)WEATHER : SCATTERED RA/TS TO THE NORTH OF 05 DEG N AND EAST OF 70 DEG E REST AREA ISOLATED RA/TS(.) III)VISIBILITY : POOR IN RAIN(.) IV) STATE OF SEA: SLIGHT ARB-A2-ARABIAN SEA NORTH OF 10 DEG N I) WIND: MAINLY NE-LY 10/15 KTS(.) II)WEATHER : FAIR(.) III)VISIBILITY: GOOD IV)STATE OF SEA: SLIGHT(.) BOB-A3-BAY OF BENGAL EQUATOR TO 15 DEG N EAST OF 80 DEG E I) WIND: CYCLONIC 50/55 KTS AROUND THE CENTRE OF LAT 10.5 DEG N AND 86.0 DEG E WITHIN THE RADIUS OF 500 KMS(.) WIND IN GUST WILL INCREASE BY 10/15 KTS IN RA/TS(.) II)WEATHER : WIDE SPREAD RA/TS(.) III)VISIBILITY: POOR IN RAIN (.) IV)STATE OF SEA: VERY HIGH(.) BOB-A4-BAY OF BENGAL NORTH OF 15 DEG N I)WIND: SE-LY 15/20 KTS BEC NE-LY 20/25 KTS (.) WIND IN GUST WILL INCREASE BY 10/15 KTS IN RA/TS(.) II)WEATHER : SCATTERED RA/TS(.) III)VISIBILITY: POOR IN RAIN (.) IV)STATE OF SEA: MODERATE(.) ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT ** WTIO31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (FANOOS) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 83.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 83.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 10.9N 82.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 11.5N 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 12.0N 79.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 12.4N 78.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 83.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN BAY OF BENGAL. TC 06B WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS STEERING RIDGE AND BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK TOWARD THE COAST OF INDIA. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITHIN 24 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES A REGION OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BEGINS TO INGEST DRIER LOW- TO MID-LEVEL AIR, AND AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z AND 092100Z.// ** WTIO31 PGTW 082100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B (FANOOS) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 10.5N 83.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 83.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 10.9N 82.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 11.5N 80.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 12.0N 79.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 12.4N 78.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 83.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS ACCELERATED WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN BAY OF BENGAL. TC 06B WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS STEERING RIDGE AND BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK TOWARD THE COAST OF INDIA. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITHIN 24 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES A REGION OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BEGINS TO INGEST DRIER LOW- TO MID-LEVEL AIR, AND AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z AND 092100Z.//