** WTSR20 WSSS 080600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTNT34 KNHC 081429 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EPSILON ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST THU DEC 08 2005 ...EPSILON WEAKENING RAPIDLY...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... ...IT IS ABOUT TIME... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1115 MILES...1795 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EPSILON IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...26.4 N... 40.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 081429 *** TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EPSILON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL292005 1500Z THU DEC 08 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 40.3W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 40.3W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 40.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 41.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 42.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 40.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 081429 *** TCDAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EPSILON DISCUSSION NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM EST THU DEC 08 2005 CONVECTION HAS VANISHED AND EPSILON IS NOW A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. THE CYCLONE IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE DEPRESSION OR THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ABOUT 5 TO 10 KNOTS STEERED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW UNTIL DISSIPATION. I HOPE THIS IS THE END OF THE LONG LASTING 2005 HURRICANE SEASON. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 26.4N 40.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 09/0000Z 26.0N 41.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 09/1200Z 25.5N 42.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 081430 *** SPFAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EPSILON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM AST THU DEC 08 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SUN DEC 11 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 25.5N 42.0W 59 X X X 59 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 081746 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.12.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EPSILON ANALYSED POSITION : 26.5N 39.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.12.2005 26.5N 39.6W WEAK 00UTC 09.12.2005 26.2N 40.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.12.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081746