** WTIO30 FMEE 250613 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 11/5/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (ALVIN EX-BERTIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/11/25 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 88.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/25 18 UTC: 14.6S/87.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, TROPICAL STORM. 24H: 2005/11/26 06 UTC: 14.6S/86.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, TROPICAL STORM. 36H: 2005/11/26 18 UTC: 14.5S/84.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, TROPICAL STORM. 48H: 2005/11/27 06 UTC: 14.4S/83.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION. 60H: 2005/11/27 18 UTC: 14.4S/82.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION. 72H: 2005/11/28 06 UTC: 14.4S/80.5E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- ; CI=4.0- THE SYSTEM ALVIN EX-BERTIE WEAKENEND SIGNIFICANTLY LAST NIGHT, UNDER THE EFFECT OF A NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOLER SST (26 DEGREES), AND A DRY ENVIRONMENT (CF WV IMAGERY). THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS LARGELY EXPOSED, THE CENTRE IS LOCATED 40 NM NORTHWEST OF THE CDO. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON WEAKENING GRADUALLY, TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHEN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 250613 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 25/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (ALVIN EX-BERTIE) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 88.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/25 AT 18 UTC: 14.6S / 87.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/11/26 AT 06 UTC: 14.6S / 86.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ALVIN EX-BERTIE ENVIRONMENT IS UNFAFOURABLE, THE SYSTEM WEAKENEND SIGNIFICANTLY LAST NIGHT. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON WEAKENING GRADUALLY, TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHEN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 250613 *** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 25/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (ALVIN EX-BERTIE) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 88.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/25 AT 18 UTC: 14.6S / 87.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE. 24H, VALID 2005/11/26 AT 06 UTC: 14.6S / 86.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, TEMPETE TROPICALE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ALVIN EX-BERTIE ENVIRONMENT IS UNFAFOURABLE, THE SYSTEM WEAKENEND SIGNIFICANTLY LAST NIGHT. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON WEAKENING GRADUALLY, TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHEN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. ** WTIO30 FMEE 250613 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 11/5/20052006 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 5 (ALVIN EX-BERTIE) 2.A POSITION 2005/11/25 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S / 88.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/25 18 UTC: 14.6S/87.2E, MAX WIND=050KT, TROPICAL STORM. 24H: 2005/11/26 06 UTC: 14.6S/86.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, TROPICAL STORM. 36H: 2005/11/26 18 UTC: 14.5S/84.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, TROPICAL STORM. 48H: 2005/11/27 06 UTC: 14.4S/83.4E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION. 60H: 2005/11/27 18 UTC: 14.4S/82.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION. 72H: 2005/11/28 06 UTC: 14.4S/80.5E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0- ; CI=4.0- THE SYSTEM ALVIN EX-BERTIE WEAKENEND SIGNIFICANTLY LAST NIGHT, UNDER THE EFFECT OF A NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOLER SST (26 DEGREES), AND A DRY ENVIRONMENT (CF WV IMAGERY). THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS LARGELY EXPOSED, THE CENTRE IS LOCATED 40 NM NORTHWEST OF THE CDO. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON WEAKENING GRADUALLY, TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHEN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. ** WTIN20 DEMS 250620 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 25-11-2005(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER ANDAMAN SEA, COMMORIN, MALDIVES AND SOUTH ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 07 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) MSG OVER ?????????? ** WTNT23 KNHC 250830 *** TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM DELTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL282005 0900Z FRI NOV 25 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 39.3W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......140NE 140SE 140SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..325NE 325SE 325SW 325NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 39.3W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 39.2W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.6N 39.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.0N 39.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N 38.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.8N 37.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 31.0N 34.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 140SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 32.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 32.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 39.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT43 KNHC 250830 *** TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM DELTA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST FRI NOV 25 2005 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS THAT DELTA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HR...WITH THE MAIN CONVECTION CURRENTLY CONFINED TO RAGGED BANDS OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS FAIR OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND NON-EXISTENT ELSEWHERE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. BASED ON THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 55 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 220/3...BASED ON A 6 HR MOTION. AT THIS TIME...DELTA IS IN WEAK STEERING CURRENTS EAST OF A WEAKENING DEEP-LAYER RIDGE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN ERRATIC MOTION...AND LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. AFTER 24 HR...FALLING PRESSURES WEST OF DELTA ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW SHOULD MOVE THE STORM NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTHWARD. THE VARIOUS TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS AGREE ON THIS THROUGH 48 HR...THEN ARE EVEN MORE AGGRESSIVE IN TURNING DELTA EASTWARD IN WESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER WESTERN EUROPE THAN THEY WERE 6 HR AGO. WHILE THE MODELS AGREE WELL ON THE EASTWARD MOTION...THIS WAS NOT THE CASE 12 HR AGO...AND IT WILL TAKE A RUN OR TWO MORE SHOWING THIS MOTION BEFORE THE FORECAST TRACK CAN FULLY FOLLOW IT. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AFTER 24 HR... AND SIGNIFICANTLY CHANGED TO A MORE EASTWARD MOTION AFTER 72 HR. HOWEVER...THE TRACK IS ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND IS SLOWER THAN ALL THE MODELS SAVE THE UKMET. IF SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS CONTINUE FORECASTING A FASTER EASTWARD MOTION...AND IT CONTINUES TO APPEAR THAT DELTA WILL NOT BE ABSORBED INTO THE NEW LOW TO THE WEST...ADDITIONAL REVISIONS TO THE TRACK FORECAST MAY BE NECESSARY IN LATER ADVISORIES. THE TREND OF DECREASING ORGANIZATION REDUCES THE CHANCE THAT DELTA WILL BECOME A HURRICANE. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS AND THE SHIPS MODEL FORECAST VERTICAL SHEAR TO INCREASE AS THE UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS CURRENTLY NEAR THE STORM WEAKENS AND MOVES EASTWARD...AND THIS MAY ALREADY BE UNDERWAY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THUS CHANGED TO SLOW WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HR AS DELTA MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...FOLLOWED BY EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS THE STORM TURNS EASTWARD SOUTH OF THE EUROPEAN TROUGH. IF THE SHEAR INCREASES AS MUCH AS THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING...DELTA COULD WEAKEN FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 23.7N 39.3W 55 KT 12HR VT 25/1800Z 23.6N 39.4W 55 KT 24HR VT 26/0600Z 24.0N 39.0W 55 KT 36HR VT 26/1800Z 25.0N 38.3W 50 KT 48HR VT 27/0600Z 26.8N 37.1W 50 KT 72HR VT 28/0600Z 31.0N 34.0W 45 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 29/0600Z 32.0N 28.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 30/0600Z 32.0N 21.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTNT33 KNHC 250831 *** TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DELTA ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005 ...DELTA SLIGHTLY WEAKER AS IT MOVES ERRATICALLY OVER THE EAST CENTRAL ATLANTIC... AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DELTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1225 MILES...1975 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. DELTA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR. STEERING CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE...AND LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DELTA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES ...295 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...23.7 N... 39.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT73 KNHC 250831 *** SPFAT3 TROPICAL STORM DELTA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST FRI NOV 25 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DELTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST MON NOV 28 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.0N 39.0W 99 X X X 99 26.8N 37.1W 2 9 4 3 18 25.0N 38.3W 49 X X X 49 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTCA43 TJSJ 250850 *** TCPSP3 BOLETIN TORMENTA TROPICAL DELTA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 7 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 AM AST VIERNES 25 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2005 ...DELTA SE DEBILITA LEVEMENTE MIENTRAS SE MUEVE ERATICAMENTE SOBRE LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO ESTE CENTRAL... A LAS 5 AM AST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA TORMENTA TROPICAL DELTA ESTABA LOCALIZADA CERCA DE LA LATITUD 23.7 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 39.3 OESTE O COMO A 1225 MILLAS...1975 KM... AL SUROESTE DE LAS ISLAS AZORES. DELTA SE ESTA MOVIENDO LENTAMENTE HACIA EL SUROESTE A CERCA DE 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR. SE ESPERA QUE LAS CORRIENTES CONDUCTORAS CONTINUEN DEBILES DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. ES POSIBLE QUE SU TRAYECTORIA SEA ERRATICA...Y SE ESPERA POCO MOVIMIENTO DURANTE HOY. LAS IMAGENES DEL SATELITE INDICAN QUE DELTA SE HA TORNADO MENOS ORGANIZADO DURANTE LAS PASADAS HORAS...Y LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 65 MPH... 100 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA POCO CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. VIENTOS DE FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 185 MILLAS... 295 KM DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ES DE 982 MB...29.00 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 AM EDT...23.7 N... 39.3 O. MOVIMIENTO...HACIA EL SUROESTE A 3 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS 65 MPH. PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL... 982 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 AM ADT. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$