** WTIO22 FMEE 221845 *** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2005 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 22/11/2005 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 5 930 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 90.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP LOCALLY TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 60/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/23 AT 06 UTC: 12.5S / 89.8E, MAX WIND = 100 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/23 AT 18 UTC: 13.2S / 89.0E, MAX WIND = 100 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 05-BERTIE INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS RATHER SMALL BUT SYMETRIC AND WELL ORGANIZED ABOUT A CLEAR EYE. BERTIE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR A WHILE, BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER THURSDAY NOV 24.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 221845 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/5/20052006 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 5 2.A POSITION 2005/11/22 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.1S / 90.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.0 PLUS /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 930 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 100 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 300 SO: 220 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/23 06 UTC: 12.5S/89.8E, MAX WIND=100KT. 24H: 2005/11/23 18 UTC: 13.2S/89.0E, MAX WIND=100KT. 36H: 2005/11/24 06 UTC: 13.9S/87.8E, MAX WIND=100KT. 48H: 2005/11/24 18 UTC: 14.4S/86.3E, MAX WIND=090KT. 60H: 2005/11/25 06 UTC: 14.4S/84.3E, MAX WIND=090KT. 72H: 2005/11/25 18 UTC: 14.3S/82.1E, MAX WIND=080KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=6.0 INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 05-BERTIE INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS RATHER SMALL BUT SYMETRIC AND WELL ORGANIZED ABOUT A CLEAR EYE. BERTIE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR A WHILE, BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER THURSDAY NOV 24 DUE TO THE INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= ** WTAU10 ADRM 222018 *** BTAB YPDM 01U BERTIE 051122 1800 121S 0903E 210 020 0930 1008 0600 51 020 0300 0300 0300 0300 D = ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 12.1S 90.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S 90.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 12.8S 89.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 14.0S 89.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 15.0S 89.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 15.8S 88.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 12.3S 90.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, TC 03S WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. BEYOND TAU 24, THE STEERING INFLUENCE WILL SHIFT TO THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF A TRANSIENT MID- LATITUDE ANTICYCLONE, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. IN THE INTERIM, THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY BUT THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGINS TO ENTRAIN DRIER AIR IN THE MID LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z AND 232100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 12.1S 90.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S 90.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 12.8S 89.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 RRC *** 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 15.8S 88.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 12.3S 90.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, TC 03S WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. BEYOND TAU 24, THE STEERING INFLUENCE WILL SHIFT TO THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF A TRANSIENT MID- LATITUDE ANTICYCLONE, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO A MORE WESTWARD ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 12.1S 90.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S 90.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 12.8S 89.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 14.0S 89.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 15.0S 89.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z --- 15.8S 88.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 12.3S 90.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, TC 03S WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW TRACK TO THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID- LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. BEYOND TAU 24, THE STEERING INFLUENCE WILL SHIFT TO THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF A TRANSIENT MID- LATITUDE ANTICYCLONE, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO SHIFT TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. IN THE INTERIM, THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY BUT THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGINS TO ENTRAIN DRIER AIR IN THE MID LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z AND 232100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 RRD *** TRACK. IN THE INTERIM, THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY BUT THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGINS TO ENTRAIN DRIER AIR IN THE MID LEVELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z AND 232100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 222100 RRB *** 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 14.0S 89.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z --- 15.0S 89.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT