** WTAU10 ADRM 210642 *** BTAB YPDM 01U BERTIE 051121 0600 097S 0921E 215 051 0960 1010 0500 39 030 0150 0200 0300 0300 D = ** WTAU05 APRF 210645 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:09S093E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0635UTC 21 NOVEMBER 2005 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude nine decimal seven south [9.7S] Longitude ninety two decimal one east [92.1] Recent movement south southwest at 10 knots. Maximum winds 75 knots. Central pressure 960 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Within 25 nautical miles of the centre, winds to 75 knots weakening to below 60 knots by 22/0600UTC. Very high seas and heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles of the centre extending to 180 nautical miles in southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1800UTC 21 November: 11.0 south 91.4 east 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. At 0600UTC 22 November: 12.4 south 90.8 east 975 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 21 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 210645 *** IDW23100 40:3:2:24:09S093E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0635UTC 21 NOVEMBER 2005 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0600UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 15 nautical miles of Latitude nine decimal seven south [9.7S] Longitude ninety two decimal one east [92.1] Recent movement south southwest at 10 knots. Maximum winds 75 knots. Central pressure 960 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 90 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Within 25 nautical miles of the centre, winds to 75 knots weakening to below 60 knots by 22/0600UTC. Very high seas and heavy swell. Within 40 nautical miles winds above 48 knots with very rough to high seas and moderate to heavy swell. Within 90 nautical miles of the centre extending to 180 nautical miles in southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 1800UTC 21 November: 11.0 south 91.4 east 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. At 0600UTC 22 November: 12.4 south 90.8 east 975 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 21 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTIN20 DEMS 210715 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 21-11-2005(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) YESTERDAY'S DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0300 UTC OF 21ST NOVEMBER, 2005 NEAR LAT. 8.5 DEG. N AND LONG. 83.0 DEG. E ABOUT 400 KM SOUTHEAST OF NAGAPATTINAM. THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE IN A WEST- NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM. INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE ALSO SEEN OVER ADJOINING WEST CENTRAL BAY AND SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL . MSG OVER ?????????? ** WTXS31 PGTW 210900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z --- NEAR 9.3S 92.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S 92.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 10.4S 91.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 11.7S 91.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 13.1S 90.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.4S 90.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 210900Z POSITION NEAR 9.6S 92.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER TAU 24 AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ENCOUNTERS HIGHER VERT- ICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z AND 220900Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 210900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z --- NEAR 9.3S 92.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S 92.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 10.4S 91.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 11.7S 91.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 13.1S 90.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.4S 90.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 210900Z POSITION NEAR 9.6S 92.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER TAU 24 AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ENCOUNTERS HIGHER VERT- ICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z AND 220900Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 210900 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z --- NEAR 9.3S 92.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S 92.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 10.4S 91.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT ** WTXS31 PGTW 210900 RRB *** 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 11.7S 91.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 13.1S 90.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTXS31 PGTW 210900 RRC *** 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 14.4S 90.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 210900Z POSITION NEAR 9.6S 92.2E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER TAU 24 AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ENCOUNTERS HIGHER VERT- ICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z AND 220900Z.//