** WTAU05 APRF 201831 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:08S093E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1827UTC 20 NOVEMBER 2005 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude eight decimal eight south [8.8S] Longitude ninety three decimal two east [93.2] Recent movement south southwest at 4 knots. Maximum winds 60 knots. Central pressure 975 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Within 30 nautical miles of centre: 45/60 knot winds with high seas and heavy swell reaching 70 knots near centre by 211200UTC with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants: Winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 21 November: 10.2 south 92.6 east 970 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 21 November: 11.7 south 92.1 east 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 21 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 201831 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:08S093E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1827UTC 20 NOVEMBER 2005 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude eight decimal eight south [8.8S] Longitude ninety three decimal two east [93.2] Recent movement south southwest at 4 knots. Maximum winds 60 knots. Central pressure 975 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Within 30 nautical miles of centre: 45/60 knot winds with high seas and heavy swell reaching 70 knots near centre by 211200UTC with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants: Winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0600UTC 21 November: 10.2 south 92.6 east 970 hPa. Winds to 65 knots near centre. At 1800UTC 21 November: 11.7 south 92.1 east 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 21 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU10 ADRM 201847 *** BTAB YPDM 01U BERTIE 051120 1800 088S 0932E 200 021 0975 1010 0500 31 040 0150 0400 0350 0150 D = ** WTXS31 PGTW 202100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 8.7S 93.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S 93.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 10.1S 92.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 11.6S 92.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 12.9S 92.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0S 91.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 9.1S 93.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, TC 03S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED BETWEEN NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA AND SUMA- TRA. THE INTENSITY OF TC 03S WILL INCREASE SLOWLY DUE TO LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL OUTFLOW AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z AND 212100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 202000 RRB *** MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 12.9S 92.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0S 91.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT ** WTXS31 PGTW 202000 RRA *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 8.7S 93.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S 93.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 10.1S 92.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 11.6S 92.3E ** WTXS31 PGTW 202000 RRC *** --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 9.1S 93.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, TC 03S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED BETWEEN NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA AND SUMA- TRA. THE INTENSITY OF TC 03S WILL INCREASE SLOWLY DUE TO LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL OUTFLOW AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z AND 212100Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 202000 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 8.7S 93.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S 93.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 10.1S 92.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 11.6S 92.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 12.9S 92.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 14.0S 91.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 9.1S 93.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, TC 03S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED BETWEEN NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA AND SUMA- TRA. THE INTENSITY OF TC 03S WILL INCREASE SLOWLY DUE TO LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL OUTFLOW AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z AND 212100Z.// ** WTNT42 KNHC 202047 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 GAMMA HAS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. THE CONVECTION THAT WAS PRESENT THIS MORNING HAS SHEARED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. BASED ON THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KT...BUT COULD BE LESS THAN THAT BY NOW. STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE CIRCULATION AND PREVENT THE REDEVELOPMENT OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. GAMMA IS LIKELY TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW THIS EVENING...OR ALMOST SURELY BY TOMORROW. GAMMA HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...AS THE CYCLONE REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL RIDGE...BUT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS THE MOTION HAS BEEN 360/2. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AFTER WHICH A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE GULF AND NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD TAKE THE REMNANT CIRCULATION GENERALLY EASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE SLOWER TO THE EAST THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...IN DEFERENCE TO THE SHALLOW BAM AND GFS MODELS. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION WILL EITHER BECOME ABSORBED BY THE FRONT OR DISSIPATE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 17.0N 85.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 17.4N 85.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 21/1800Z 17.5N 85.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 22/0600Z 17.6N 83.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 202048 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005 2100Z SUN NOV 20 2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 85.5W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 85.5W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 85.5W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.4N 85.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 85.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.6N 83.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 85.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 202048 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 ...GAMMA REMAINS WEAK...COULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY... AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES... 135 KM... NORTH OF LIMON HONDURAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH ... 4 KM/HR. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...17.0 N... 85.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM EST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 202049 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM EST WED NOV 23 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.5N 85.0W 99 X X X 99 MMCZ 205N 869W 3 5 X X 8 17.6N 83.0W 8 17 X X 25 MZBZ 175N 883W 7 1 X X 8 MWCG 193N 814W X 9 X X 9 MHNJ 165N 859W 99 X X X 99 MUSN 216N 826W X 3 X X 3 MNPC 141N 834W 2 7 X X 9 MUAN 219N 850W X 4 X X 4 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE C FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE D FROM 1PM TUE TO 1PM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 202107 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL GAMMA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 20 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 PM EST DOMINGO 20 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2005 ...GAMMA PERMANECE DEBIL...PUDIERA DISIPARSE TARDE HOY... A LAS 4 PM EST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL GAMMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 17.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.5 OESTE O COMO A 85 MILLAS... 125 KILOMETROS...AL NORTE DE LIMON HONDURAS. LA DEPRESION SE HA ESTADO DESPLAZANDO HACIA EL NORTE A 2 MPH. SE ESPERA POCO MOVIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH... 55 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL...Y ES POSIBLE QUE GAMMA PUEDA DISIPARSE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1007 MILIBARAS...29.74 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 PM EST...17.0 NORTE... 85.5 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NORTE A CERCA DE 2 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 35 MPH. PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1007 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM EST. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$