** WTPQ20 BABJ 201200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TD BOLAVEN 0523 (0523) INITIAL TIME 201200 UTC 00HR 18.2N 123.0E 998HPA 16M/S P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 18.8N 121.5E 1004HPA 12M/S= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 201200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0523 BOLAVEN (0523) ANALYSIS PSTN 201200UTC 18N 122E MOVE NNW 10KT PRES 1008HPA = ** WTAU10 ADRM 201259 *** BTAB YPDM 01U BERTIE 051120 1200 084S 0934E 200 021 0980 1010 0500 28 040 0150 0400 0350 0150 D = ** WTKO20 RKSL 201200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6 NAME TD 0523 BOLAVEN ANALYSIS POSITION 201200UTC 18.0N 122.0E MOVEMENT NNW 10KT PRES 1008HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTAU05 APRF 201303 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:08S093E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1255UTC 20 NOVEMBER 2005 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude eight decimal four south [8.4S] Longitude ninety three decimal four east [93.4] Recent movement south southwest at 4 knots. Maximum winds 55 knots. Central pressure 980 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Within 30 nautical miles of centre: 45/55 knot winds with high seas and heavy swell reaching 70 knots near centre by 211200UTC with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants: Winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 21 November: 9.3 south 92.7 east 975 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 21 November: 10.7 south 91.9 east 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 20 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU05 APRF 201303 *** IDW23100 40:3:1:24:08S093E999:11:00 PANPAN HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1255UTC 20 NOVEMBER 2005 HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of Latitude eight decimal four south [8.4S] Longitude ninety three decimal four east [93.4] Recent movement south southwest at 4 knots. Maximum winds 55 knots. Central pressure 980 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Within 30 nautical miles of centre: 45/55 knot winds with high seas and heavy swell reaching 70 knots near centre by 211200UTC with very high to phenomenal seas and heavy swell. Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants: Winds above 34 knots with very rough seas and moderate to heavy swell. At 0000UTC 21 November: 9.3 south 92.7 east 975 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 21 November: 10.7 south 91.9 east 965 hPa. Winds to 70 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 20 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTPQ20 VHHH 201345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOLAVEN (0523) HAS WEAKENED INTO A AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 HECTOPASCALS. AT 201200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E). MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. ** WTPN31 PGTW 201500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (BOLAVEN) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z --- NEAR 18.5N 121.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N 121.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 19.7N 120.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 20.9N 121.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z POSITION NEAR 18.8N 121.2E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24W (BOLAVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTH OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 11 FEET.// ** WTNT42 KNHC 201433 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WANED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE NOW FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. ANOTHER WEAK BAND OF CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER ALONG THE HONDURAS COAST... BUT IT IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS AT THIS TIME OF TRYING TO WRAP INTO THE CENTER. SATELLITE ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED ACCORDINGLY... SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 30 KT ...BASED MAINLY ON THE TIGHT SWIRL NOTED IN THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 325/03... ALTHOUGH GAMMA APPEARS TO BE MAKING A SMALL COUNTER-CLOCKWISE LOOP. UPPER-AIR DATA AT 12Z INDICATE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL STEERING FLOW PATTERN... EXCEPT THAT THE BREAK IN THE 500 MB RIDGE TO THE NORTH HAS FILLED IN. THIS SHOULD HELP TO KEEP GAMMA TRAPPED IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNTIL A STRONG COLD FRONT CAPTURES THE CYCLONE BY 72 HOURS. THE NOGAPS...GFDN... AND COAMPS MODELS MAINTAIN A DEEPER AND STRONGER CIRCULATION THAN DO THE REST OF THE NHC MODELS...WHICH SEEMS UNREASONABLE BASED ON THE 12Z BELIZE SOUNDING. IN CONTRAST... THE GFS AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS WEAKEN GAMMA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND DRIFT IT AROUND WITHIN 90 NMI OF ITS CURRENT LOCATION. THE REMAINING MODELS ALSO WEAKEN THE CYCLONE AND DRIFT IT SLOWLY EAST OR SOUTHEASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND LEANS CLOSELY TOWARD THE GFS MODELS... WITH DISSIPATION POSSIBLY OCCURRING WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING APPEARS LIKELY DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR... AND ENTRAINMENT OF DRY MID-LEVEL AIR FROM CENTRAL AMERICA AS NOTED IN 12Z UPPER-AIR DATA FROM BELIZE. THE SHIPS MODEL DISSIPATES GAMMA BY 24 HOURS. THIS RAPID DOWNWARD INTENSITY TREND WAS CLOSELY FOLLOWED... ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE VERY POOR APPEARANCE OF GAMMA IN THE MOST RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 16.9N 85.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 17.1N 85.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 21/1200Z 17.5N 84.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 22/0000Z 17.7N 83.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 22/1200Z 17.7N 81.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 23/1200Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM $$ ** WTNT22 KNHC 201434 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005 1500Z SUN NOV 20 2005 TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 85.3W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 85.3W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 85.2W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 85.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 84.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.7N 83.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.7N 81.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 85.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 201434 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM EST WED NOV 23 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 17.5N 84.4W 85 X X X 85 MUHA 230N 824W X 1 4 X 5 17.7N 83.0W 24 5 1 X 30 MUAN 219N 850W X 2 3 X 5 17.7N 81.1W 1 11 8 X 20 MMCZ 205N 869W X 2 1 X 3 MKJS 185N 779W X X 4 X 4 MZBZ 175N 883W 2 1 X X 3 MWCG 193N 814W X 13 8 X 21 MHNJ 165N 859W 99 X X X 99 MUCM 214N 779W X X 2 X 2 MNPC 141N 834W X 4 6 X 10 MUCF 221N 805W X 1 7 X 8 SKSP 126N 817W X X 2 X 2 MUSN 216N 826W X 5 7 X 12 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON C FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE D FROM 7AM TUE TO 7AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTPH20 RPMM 201200 *** T T T WARNING 27 (FINAL) AT 1200 20 NOVEMBER TROPICAL DEPRESSION (BOLAVEN) {0523} DOWNGRADED TO ACTIVE LOW PRESSURE AREA WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR, SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE NINE POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO ZERO POINT FIVE EAST THIS IS THE FINAL BULLETIN ON THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTNT32 KNHC 201444 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2005 ...GAMMA CONTINUES TO BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AS IT MEANDERS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE EAST OF ROATAN ISLAND... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GAMMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 AM EST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES... 125 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 195 MILES... 315 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BELIZE CITY. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR. A SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST... AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT GAMMA COULD DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN HONDURAS AND THE OFFSHORE BAY ISLANDS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA... AND OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. REPEATING THE 10 AM EST POSITION...16.9 N... 85.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM EST. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTPH RPLL 201200 *** T T T WARNING 27 AT 1200 20 NOVEMBER TROP DEPRESION (BOLAVEN) (0523) DOWNGRADED TO ACTIVE LOW PRESSURE AREA WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR SAT. AND SFC DATA AT 19.0N 120.5E THIS IS THE FINAL BULLETIN ON THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE PD ** WTCA42 TJSJ 201506 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL GAMMA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 19 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 10 AM EST DOMINGO 20 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2005 ...GAMMA CONTINUA TORNANDOSE MENOS ORGANIZADA MIENTRAS PERMANECE VAGANDO SOBRE EL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE AL ESTE DE LA ISLA ROATAN... LAS CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL HAN DISMINUIDO A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS DE LA BAHIA DE HONDURAS. LOS INTERESES EN EL RESTO DEL NOROESTE DEL MAR CARIBE DEBEN MANTENERSE ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE GAMMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 10 AM EST...1500Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL GAMMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.9 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.3 OESTE O COMO A 80 MILLAS... 125 KILOMETROS...AL NORTE-NORESTE DE LIMON HONDURAS Y COMO A 195 MILLAS... 315 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE CIUDAD DE BELIZE. LA DEPRESION SE HA ESTADO DESPLAZANDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 3 MPH...6 KILOMETROS PO HORA. SE ESPERA UN DESPLAZAMIENTO LENTO HACIA EL NOROESTE O NORTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. SIN EMBARGO...ALGUN MOVIMIENTO ERRATICO SERA POSIBLE DEBIDO A QUE SE PRONOSTICA QUE LAS CORRIENTES CONDUCTORAS PERMANECERAN DEBILES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH... 55 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA UN DEBILITAMIENTO GRADUAL...Y ES POSIBLE QUE GAMMA PUEDA DISIPARSE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1007 MILIBARAS...29.74 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL GAMMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS A TRAVES DEL NORTE DE HONDURAS Y LAS ISLAS DE LA BAHIA MAR AFUERA. ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DEL OESTE Y CENTRO DE CUBA...Y SOBRE LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 10 AM EST...16.9 NORTE... 85.3 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 3 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 35 MPH. PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1007 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 PM EST. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ ** WTNT80 EGRR 201718 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.11.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GAMMA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 85.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL272005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.11.2005 17.1N 85.4W WEAK 00UTC 21.11.2005 17.1N 85.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.11.2005 17.1N 85.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.11.2005 17.0N 83.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.11.2005 15.4N 80.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.11.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 201718 ** WTIN20 DEMS 201710 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS -RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 20-11-2005(.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 1200 UTC (.) MORNINGS DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED WESTWARDS AND LAY CENTETRED 1730 HOURS IST OF TODAY NEAR LAT 8.0 DEG N /84.0 DEG E . BROKEN INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION (.)