** WTIN20 DEMS 150635 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 15-11-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA . RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 14.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTNT22 KNHC 150830 *** TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL272005 0900Z TUE NOV 15 2005 INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 66.4W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 66.4W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 65.8W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.8N 67.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.0N 69.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 15.2N 71.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.3N 74.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N 78.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 15.5N 80.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 81.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 66.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT72 KNHC 150830 *** SPFAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST FRI NOV 18 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 15.0N 69.8W 46 X X X 46 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 10 10 15.2N 71.8W 16 16 1 X 33 MUGM 200N 751W X X 8 6 14 15.3N 74.0W X 15 11 1 27 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 9 9 SKPG 125N 717W 2 9 2 2 15 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 6 6 TNCC 122N 690W 1 1 1 1 4 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 5 5 MDSD 185N 697W 3 8 1 X 12 MUHA 230N 824W X X X 3 3 MDCB 176N 714W 3 20 1 X 24 MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 MTPP 186N 724W X 12 6 1 19 MNPC 141N 834W X X X 2 2 MTCA 183N 738W X 7 13 1 21 SKSP 126N 817W X X X 3 3 MKJP 179N 768W X X 10 10 20 MDPP 198N 707W X 3 3 X 6 MKJS 185N 779W X X 4 14 18 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED C FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU D FROM 2AM THU TO 2AM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT32 KNHC 150831 *** TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM AST TUE NOV 15 2005 ...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 66.4 WEST OR ABOUT 265 MILES... 425 KM... SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. MOST OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS OCCURRING IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN AREAS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS COULD LEAD TO LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.6 N... 66.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT42 KNHC 150832 *** TCDAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2005 THUS FAR...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FAILED TO BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN IS RAGGED AND AMORPHOUS. SOME DECREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST AS GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW AN UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC ANTICYCLONE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THIS RELAXATION OF SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW SOME STRENGTHENING TO BEGIN. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND SHOWS THE SYSTEM BECOMING A HURRICANE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...GLOBAL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SHEAR COULD AGAIN INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES WEST OF THE AXIS OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFDL INTENSITY FORECASTS HAVE BEEN TRENDING DOWNWARD IN THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS...AND THE SHIPS MODEL RUNS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE NOT BEEN FORECASTING THE SYSTEM TO BECOME A HURRICANE. ONE SHOULD ALSO BEAR IN MIND THAT OBJECTIVE OR SUBJECTIVE INTENSITY FORECASTS AT 4-5 DAYS HAVE LITTLE...IF ANY...SKILL. BASED ON MULTI-CHANNEL INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY...THE POORLY-DEFINED LOW-CLOUD CENTER IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER AND JUST SLIGHTLY NORTH OF WEST...285/10. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SITUATED TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK FOR A WHILE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE BUT SLOWER THAN THE GFDL AND THE DYNAMICAL CONSENSUS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE RIDGE WEAKENING IN 3-4 DAYS...SO THE FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY TO SLOW IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. BY DAY 5...THE MODELS SHOW THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH ESSENTIALLY OBLITERATED AS A LARGE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BEGINS TO DROP INTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS SHOULD CAUSE SOME NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION LATE IN THE PERIOD...BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES AT THIS TIME THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST ONLY HINTS AT A NORTHWARD TURN. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 14.6N 66.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 15/1800Z 14.8N 67.8W 30 KT 24HR VT 16/0600Z 15.0N 69.8W 35 KT 36HR VT 16/1800Z 15.2N 71.8W 40 KT 48HR VT 17/0600Z 15.3N 74.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 18/0600Z 15.5N 78.0W 55 KT 96HR VT 19/0600Z 15.5N 80.5W 65 KT 120HR VT 20/0600Z 16.0N 81.5W 65 KT $$ ** WTCA42 TJSJ 150840 *** TCPSP2 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL VENTISIETE ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 6 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 AM AST MARTES 15 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2005 ...DEPRESION PERMANECE POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA... LOS INTERESES A TRAVES DEL CARIBE DEBEN MANTENERSE ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA LOCAL DEL SERVICIO DE METEOROLOGIA. A LAS 5 AM EST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL VEINTISIETE ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 14.6 NORTE... LONGITUD 66.4 OESTE O COMO A 265 MILLAS...425 KILOMETROS...AL SUR DE SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH...19 KILOMETROS POR HORA. SE ESPERA UN GIRO HACIA EL OESTE MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH...55 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. EXISTE LA POSIBILIDAD DE UN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1004 MILIBARAS...29.65 PULGADAS. LA MAYOR PARTE DE LA LLUVIA ASOCIADA CON LA DEPRESION ESTA OCURRIENDO EN LA MITAD ESTE DE LA CIRCULACION. SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO...Y DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS SOBRE LAS ISLAS DE SOTAVENTO...PUERTO RICO Y LAS ISLAS VIRGENES. HAY POSIBILIDAD DE CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE 10 A 12 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENOS ALTOS DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO Y DE SOTAVENTO. ESTO PODRIA CAUSAR INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE TERRENOS QUE PODRIAN SER UNA AMENAZA PARA LAS VIDAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 AM EST...14.6 NORTE...66.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA...EL OESTE NOROESTE A CERCA DE 12 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...35 MPH. PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL...1004 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 AM EST. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTPN31 PGTW 150900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z --- NEAR 11.2N 130.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 130.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 12.6N 130.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 14.0N 130.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 14.6N 130.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 15.1N 130.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 15.8N 128.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 16.2N 125.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 16.7N 122.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT --- REMARKS: 150900Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 130.2E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (NONAME), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 565 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTH- EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z, 152100Z, 160300Z AND 160900Z.// ** WTPH20 RPMM 150600 CCA *** T T T GALE WARNING 06 AT 0600 15 NOVEMBER , TROPICAL STORM UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ONE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 160600 ONE THREE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE EAST AT 170600 ONE FIVE POINT THREE NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT SEVEN EAST AT 180600 ONE SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPH RPMM 150600 *** TTT GALE WARNING 06 AT 0600 15 NOVEMBER, TROPICAL STORM UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSIONWAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ONE POIN FIVE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 160600 ONE THREE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE EAST AT 170600 ONE FIVE POINT THREE NORTH ONE THREE ONE P?OINT SEVEN EAST AT 180600 ONE SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE - HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD ** WTPH RPMM 150600 *** TTT GALE WARNING 06 AT 0600 15 NOVEMBER, TROPICAL STORM UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSIONWAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE ONE POIN FIVE NORTH ONE TWO NINE POINT EIGHT EAST FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH NORTHEAST AT ZERO THREE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 160600 ONE THREE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE EAST AT 170600 ONE FIVE POINT THREE NORTH ONE THREE ONE P?OINT SEVEN EAST AT 180600 ONE SIX POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE TWO POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE - HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD