** WTSR20 WSSS 130600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPN31 PGTW 131500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/122151ZNOV2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z --- NEAR 7.5N 129.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N 129.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z --- 8.5N 128.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 10.0N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z --- 11.5N 127.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 13.3N 127.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z --- 15.0N 128.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 131500Z POSITION NEAR 7.8N 129.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 122151Z NOV 05 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 122200) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z.// ** WTNT80 EGRR 131715 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.11.2005 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+48 : 13.7N 68.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.11.2005 13.7N 68.2W WEAK 00UTC 16.11.2005 13.6N 68.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2005 13.8N 69.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.11.2005 13.6N 70.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2005 13.7N 71.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.11.2005 13.7N 73.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2005 13.2N 75.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.11.2005 13.2N 77.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.11.2005 13.8N 77.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 131715