** WTPQ20 BABJ 101800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TEMBIN 0522 (0522) INITIAL TIME 101800 UTC 00HR 16.0N 121.2E 992HPA 23M/S 30KTS 320KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 17.8N 118.8E 990HPA 25M/S P+48HR 19.3N 115.4E 985HPA 28M/S P+72HR 20.5N 113.6E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTJP21 RJTD 101800 *** WARNING 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0522 TEMBIN (0522) 1000 HPA AT 16.2N 121.2E LUZON MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 17.0N 119.5E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 17.7N 118.3E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 18.7N 116.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0522 TEMBIN (0522) ANALYSIS PSTN 101800UTC 16.2N 121.2E FAIR MOVE WNW 07KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 111800UTC 17.0N 119.5E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 121800UTC 17.7N 118.3E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 131800UTC 18.7N 116.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 101945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEMBIN (0522) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 101945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEMBIN (0522) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (120.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 102100 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TEMBIN 0522 (0522) INITIAL TIME 102100 UTC 00HR 16.1N 121.0E 992HPA 23M/S 30KTS 320KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H P+24HR 18.0N 118.5E 990HPA 25M/S= ** WTPH20 RPMM 101800 *** TTT GALE WARNING 11 AT 1800 10 NOVEMBER TROPICAL STORM (TEMBIN) (0522) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE SIX POINT TWO NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT TWO EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FOUR METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111800 ONE EIGHT POINT ONE NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE EAST AT 121800 TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE EAST AND AT 131800 TWO TWO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 102100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0522 TEMBIN (0522) ANALYSIS PSTN 102100UTC 16.5N 120.9E FAIR MOVE NW 07KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 112100UTC 17.0N 119.3E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 121800UTC 17.7N 118.3E 150NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 131800UTC 18.7N 116.5E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTPH RPLL 101800 *** TTT GALE WARNING 11 AT 1800 10 NOVEMBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATE- LLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 16.2N 121.2E MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 04MPS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 18MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111800 18.1N 118.3E AT 121800 20.0N 116.9E AND AT 131800 22.0N 116.0E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HRLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTSS20 VHHH 102245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 102100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEMBIN (0522) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 102245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 102100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEMBIN (0522) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.