** WTSR20 WSSS 100600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTJP21 RJTD 101200 *** WARNING 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0522 TEMBIN (0522) 1000 HPA AT 15.8N 121.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 17.0N 118.3E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 18.1N 117.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 19.5N 115.8E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0522 TEMBIN (0522) ANALYSIS PSTN 101200UTC 15.8N 121.8E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 111200UTC 17.0N 118.3E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 48HF 121200UTC 18.1N 117.1E 150NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 72HF 131200UTC 19.5N 115.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101200 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TEMBIN 0522 (0522) INITIAL TIME 101200 UTC 00HR 15.7N 121.8E 992HPA 23M/S 30KTS 320KM P12HR WNW 25KM/H P+24HR 17.7N 116.9E 990HPA 23M/S P+48HR 19.4N 114.7E 985HPA 25M/S P+72HR 20.9N 113.4E 980HPA 30M/S= ** WTPN31 PGTW 101500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (TEMBIN) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 15.7N 121.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 121.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 16.9N 119.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 17.7N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 18.3N 116.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 18.9N 115.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 19.8N 114.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 20.1N 113.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z --- 20.2N 112.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 120.8E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (TEMBIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.// ** WTPQ20 VHHH 101345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEMBIN (0522) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (117.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (18.2 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TEMBIN 0522 (0522) INITIAL TIME 101500 UTC 00HR 15.8N 121.5E 992HPA 23M/S 30KTS 320KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 101200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 10 AT 1200 10 NOVEMBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATE- LLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 15.7N 122.0E MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 21MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111200 18.1N 118.8E AT 121200 20.3N 117.4E AND AT 131200 22.5N 116.9E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HRLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 101500 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TS TEMBIN 0522 (0522) INITIAL TIME 101500 UTC 00HR 15.8N 121.5E 992HPA 23M/S 30KTS 320KM P12HR WNW 15KM/H= ** WTPH RPLL 101200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 10 AT 1200 10 NOVEMBER TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATE- LLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT 15.7N 122.0E MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 05MPS ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS 21MPS NEAR CENTER 13MPS WITHIN 150KMS RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111200 18.1N 118.8E AT 121200 20.3N 117.4E AND AT 131200 22.5N 116.9E ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND 3-HRLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 101500 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TS 0522 TEMBIN (0522) ANALYSIS PSTN 101500UTC 15.9N 121.4E FAIR MOVE W 07KT PRES 1000HPA MXWD 035KT 30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST FORECAST 24HF 111500UTC 17.0N 118.1E 80NM 70% MOVE WNW 12KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 45HF 121200UTC 18.1N 117.1E 150NM 70% MOVE W 07KT PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT 69HF 131200UTC 19.5N 115.8E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW SLOWLY PRES 992HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTPH20 RPMM 101200 *** TTT GALE WARNING 10 AT 1200 10 NOVEMBER TROPICAL STORM (TEMBIN) (0522) WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT ZERO EAST MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE FOUR HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS TWO ONE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER FORECAST POSITIONS AT 111200 ONE EIGHT POINT ONE NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT EAST AT 121200 TWO ZERO POINT THREE NORTH ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR EAST AND AT 131200 TWO TWO POINT FIVE NORTH ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE- HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA= ** WTNT80 EGRR 101708 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.11.2005 NO TROPICAL STORMS ANALYSED OR FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA IN THE NEXT THREE DAYS THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101708 ** WTPQ20 VHHH 101645 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 101500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM TEMBIN (0522) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (121.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 11 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.