** WTIO20 FMEE 080611 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 08/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1000 HPA POSITION: 16.5S / 83.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 60 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERAT NEAR SEAS REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 18 UTC: 17.7S / 80.5E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/09 AT 06 UTC: 18.8S / 77.7E, DEPRESION SE COMBLANT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON REGULARLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS . IT WEAKENS REGULARLY, AND SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT TRACKS WITHIN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONGEST WINDS ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 080613 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 08/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1001 HPA POSITION: 10.3S / 77.3E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 80 MN UP TO 350 NM OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, REACHING VERY LOCALLY 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 18 UTC: 11.0S / 77.2E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/09 AT 06 UTC: 12.0S / 77.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ; ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LAST ISSUE ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIN20 DEMS 080630 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 08-11-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL AND PARTS OF SOUTH EAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ANDAMAN SEA ,COMORIN AREA AND PARTS OF SOUTH EAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 13.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTIO30 FMEE 080646 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0600 UTC : 10.3S / 77.3E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 11.0S/77.2E, MAX WIND=020KT . 24H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 12.0S/77.0E, MAX WIND=020KT . 36H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 13.3S/76.1E FILLING UP. 48H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 14.6S/75.1E FILLING UP. 60H: 2005/11/10 18 UTC: 16.0S/74.3E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ; ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LAST ISSUE ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 080647 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0600 UTC : 10.3S / 77.3E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 11.0S/77.2E, MAX WIND=020KT . 24H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 12.0S/77.0E, MAX WIND=020KT . 36H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 13.3S/76.1E FILLING UP. 48H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 14.6S/75.1E FILLING UP. 60H: 2005/11/10 18 UTC: 16.0S/74.3E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ; ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LAST ISSUE ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 080716 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0600 UTC : 10.3S / 77.3E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 11.0S/77.2E, MAX WIND=020KT . 24H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 12.0S/77.0E, MAX WIND=020KT . 36H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 13.3S/76.1E FILLING UP. 48H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 14.6S/75.1E FILLING UP. 60H: 2005/11/10 18 UTC: 16.0S/74.3E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ; ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LAST ISSUE ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 080716 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 0600 UTC : 10.3S / 77.3E (TEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 11.0S/77.2E, MAX WIND=020KT . 24H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 12.0S/77.0E, MAX WIND=020KT . 36H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 13.3S/76.1E FILLING UP. 48H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 14.6S/75.1E FILLING UP. 60H: 2005/11/10 18 UTC: 16.0S/74.3E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED ; ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. LAST ISSUE ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. ** WTXS31 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 83.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 83.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 17.8S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 19.2S 78.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 20.5S 77.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 83.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 810 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 10 FEET.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 080800 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 83.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 83.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 17.8S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 19.2S 78.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 20.5S 77.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 83.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 810 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 10 FEET.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 080700 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 83.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 83.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 17.8S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 19.2S 78.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 20.5S 77.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 83.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 810 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 10 FEET.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 16.2S 83.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 83.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 17.8S 81.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 19.2S 78.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 20.5S 77.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 83.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 810 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 10 FEET.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 080900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 23W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 13.9N 134.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 134.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 15.1N 132.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 16.4N 130.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 17.1N 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 17.3N 125.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 18.0N 120.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 19.4N 117.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 20.9N 115.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 134.1E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 790 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 080924 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 23W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 800 PM GUAM LST TUE NOV 8 2005 ...TROPICAL STORM 23W MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 134.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHWEST OF YAP 470 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU 475 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI 530 MILES NORTHWEST OF FAIS AND 715 MILES WEST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 23W IS CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST TRACK WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY TROPICAL STORM 23W TOWARD THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS AND AWAY FROM YAP STATE. NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 23W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY INTENSIFYING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND 134.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL STORM 23W. $$ MCELROY ** WTPH20 RPMM 080600 *** T T T WARNING 01 AT 0600 08 NOVEMBER WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE THREE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT FOUR EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTH WEST AT ZERO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 090600 ONE FOUR POINT THREE NORTH ONE THREE ZERO POINT SIX EAST AT 100600 ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT SIX EAST AND AT 110600 ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTPH20 RPMM 080600 CCA *** T T T WARNING 01 AT 0600 08 NOVEMBER TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT ONE THREE POINT FIVE NORTH ONE THREE FOUR POINT FOUR EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST NORTH WEST AT ZERO EIGHT METERS PER SECOND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN ONE FIVE ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE ONE ZERO ZERO ZERO HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE FIVE METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER FORECAST POSITION AT 090600 ONE FOUR POINT THREE NORTH ONE THREE ZERO POINT SIX EAST AT 100600 ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT SIX EAST AND AT 110600 ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN DEPRESSION AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE-HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD WEATHER MANILA = ** WTIO20 FMEE 081200 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 08/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1001 HPA POSITION: 16.8S / 81.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 60 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERAT NEAR SEAS REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/09 AT 00 UTC: 18.3S / 79.2E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/09 AT 12 UTC: 19.6S / 77.2E, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON REGULARLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS . IT WEAKENS REGULARLY, AND SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT TRACKS WITHIN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONGEST WINDS ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 081201 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/4/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2005/11/08 AT 1200 UTC : 16.8S / 81.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 050 SO: 030 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/09 00 UTC: 18.3S/79.2E, MAX WIND=020KT. 24H: 2005/11/09 12 UTC: 19.6S/77.2E FILLING UP. 36H: 2005/11/10 00 UTC: 20.9S/75.6E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARDS, TOWARDS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (COOLER SST). THE SYSTEM IS THUS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.=