** WTIO20 FMEE 070622 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 89.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 18 UTC: 13.6S / 88.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 06 UTC: 13.9S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEME IS RELOCATED, THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SST, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070622 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/4/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 2.A POSITION 2005/11/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 89.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 220 SO: 180 NO: 180 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/07 18 UTC: 13.6S/88.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2005/11/08 06 UTC: 13.9S/86.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 14.4S/84.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 14.9S/82.5E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 THE SYSTEME IS RELOCATED (CF MICROWAVE IMAGERY), THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SST, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 070622 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 89.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 18 UTC: 13.6S / 88.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 06 UTC: 13.9S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEME IS RELOCATED, THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SST, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 070622 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/11/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 002/04 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 07/11/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 4 997 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 13.2S / 89.7E (TREIZE DEGRES DEUX SUD ET QUATRE-VINGT-NEUF DEGRES SEPT EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 9 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LE DEMI CERCLE OUEST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S 'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 120 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/11/2005 A 18 UTC: 13.6S / 88.4E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 08/11/2005 A 06 UTC: 13.9S / 86.8E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST RELOCALISE PLUS A L'EST, LE CENTRE EST LOCALISE A L'EST DE LA ZONE CONVECTIVE. LE SYSTEME SE DIRIGE VERS DES EAUX PLUS FRAICHES, IL EST PREVU SE DISSIPER PROGRESSIVEMENT D'ICI 48HEURES. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 070622 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/4/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 2.A POSITION 2005/11/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 89.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 220 SO: 180 NO: 180 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/07 18 UTC: 13.6S/88.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2005/11/08 06 UTC: 13.9S/86.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 14.4S/84.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 14.9S/82.5E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 THE SYSTEME IS RELOCATED (CF MICROWAVE IMAGERY), THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SST, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 070622 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 89.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 18 UTC: 13.6S / 88.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 06 UTC: 13.9S / 86.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEME IS RELOCATED, THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED EAST OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SST, IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE GRADUALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 070628 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.4S / 77.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 18 UTC: 8.8S / 76.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 06 UTC: 9.3S / 75.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM INTENSITY SEEMS NOW STABILIZED. IT IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO UNFAVORBLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WITHIN 24 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 070629 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/3/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.4S / 77.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/07 18 UTC: 08.8S/76.3E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2005/11/08 06 UTC: 09.3S/75.8E, MAX WIND=030KT . 36H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 09.7S/75.4E, MAX WIND=025KT . 48H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 10.1S/74.9E, MAX WIND=025KT . 60H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 10.4S/74.4E, MAX WIND=025KT . 72H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 10.9S/73.9E, MAX WIND=025KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE AREA, DUE TO A LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY SEEMS STABILIZED, ENERGETIC CONDITIONS ARE LESS FAVOURABLE AND POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION REMAINS POOR.= ** WTIO20 FMEE 070628 *** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 07/11/2005 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.4S / 77.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 18 UTC: 8.8S / 76.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/08 AT 06 UTC: 9.3S / 75.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM INTENSITY SEEMS NOW STABILIZED. IT IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO UNFAVORBLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WITHIN 24 HOURS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY. ** WTIO21 FMEE 070628 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 07/11/2005 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 003/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 07/11/2005 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 3 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 8.4S / 77.3E (HUIT DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-DIX-SEPT DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 200 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 100 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/11/2005 A 18 UTC: 8.8S / 76.3E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 08/11/2005 A 06 UTC: 9.3S / 75.8E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'INTENSITE DU SYSTEME SEMBLE MAINTENANT STABILISEE. IL EST PREVU RENCONTRER DES CONDITIONS DEFAVORABLES D'ICI 24 HEURES ET S'AFFAIBLIR PROGRESSIVEMENT. ** WTIO30 FMEE 070629 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/3/20052006 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.4S / 77.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/07 18 UTC: 08.8S/76.3E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2005/11/08 06 UTC: 09.3S/75.8E, MAX WIND=030KT . 36H: 2005/11/08 18 UTC: 09.7S/75.4E, MAX WIND=025KT . 48H: 2005/11/09 06 UTC: 10.1S/74.9E, MAX WIND=025KT . 60H: 2005/11/09 18 UTC: 10.4S/74.4E, MAX WIND=025KT . 72H: 2005/11/10 06 UTC: 10.9S/73.9E, MAX WIND=025KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- THE LLCC CENTRE IS LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE AREA, DUE TO A LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM INTENSITY SEEMS STABILIZED, ENERGETIC CONDITIONS ARE LESS FAVOURABLE AND POTENTIAL FOR AN INTENSIFICATION REMAINS POOR. ** WTIN20 DEMS 070630 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 07-11-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ANDAMAN SEA ,COMORIN AREA,AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 13.0 DEG. NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTXS31 PGTW 070900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 13.2S 89.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 89.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 14.4S 87.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 15.6S 85.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 16.9S 82.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 18.4S 80.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 13.5S 88.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z AND 080900Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 070900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZNOV2005// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 10.7N 137.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 137.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 11.9N 136.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 13.0N 133.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 13.8N 131.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 14.4N 128.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 15.2N 122.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 137.5E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 061351ZNOV2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 061400). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.// ** WTXS31 PGTW 070900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 13.2S 89.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S 89.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 14.4S 87.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 15.6S 85.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 16.9S 82.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 18.4S 80.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 13.5S 88.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z AND 080900Z.// ** WTPQ31 PGUM 070933 *** TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 800 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 7 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W FORMS NORTHWEST OF YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP 160 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ULITHI 180 MILES NORTH OF NGULU...AND 220 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF FAIS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST TRACK WILL CARRY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W FARTHER AWAY FROM YAP. THIS MEANS NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED ON YAP OR ANY NEIGHBORING ISLANDS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND 137.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST TUESDAY MORNING. $$ MCELROY