** WTSR20 WSSS 060600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTIO20 FMEE 061209 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 06/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.6S / 77.4E (EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCLATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE , LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 00 UTC: 9.2S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 12 UTC: 9.4S / 77.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS EXPECTED STAYING QUASI-STATIONNARY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS WITHOUT INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY. INTENSITY OF THESE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.= ** WTIO30 FMEE 061211 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/3/20052006 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/06 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.6S / 77.4E (EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/07 00 UTC: 09.2S/77.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2005/11/07 12 UTC: 09.4S/77.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2005/11/08 00 UTC: 09.8S/76.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2005/11/08 12 UTC: 10.3S/76.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2005/11/09 00 UTC: 10.8S/75.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2005/11/09 12 UTC: 11.4S/74.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- LAST NIGHT QUIKSCAT SWAT OF 0057UTC REVEALS A WELL DEFINED CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION WITH WINDS NEAR THE CENTER UP TO 20/25 KT AND STRONGEST WINDS REACHING LOCALLY 30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. IN RELATIONSHIP WITH A MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DESORGANIZED. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STAY IN THE SAME AREA DURING THE NEXT HOURS AND THEN TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IS FORECASTED BEEING MODERATE AND TEMPORARILY GROWING STRONGER DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. SO, POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS WEAK. MORE EASTERN, IN THE AUSTRALIAN METAREA 10, THE TROPICAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 90E AND ENTER IN THE RSMC LA REUNION RESPONSABILITY AREA DURING NEXT NIGHT. INTENSITY OF THESE SYSTEM NR3 DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.= ** WTIO21 FMEE 061209 *** METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 06/11/2005 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 001/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: DIMANCHE 06/11/2005 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: ZONE PERTURBEE 3 1003 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 8.6S / 77.4E (HUIT DEGRES SIX SUD ET SOIXANTE-DIX-SEPT DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASI-STATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAIN DANS UN RAYON DE 250 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-OUEST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 140 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS LE DEMI CERCLE SUD JUSQU'A 160 MN DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/11/2005 A 00 UTC: 9.2S / 77.5E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. A 24H POUR LE 07/11/2005 A 12 UTC: 9.4S / 77.0E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST PREVU QUASI-STATIONNAIRE DURANT LES 24 PROCHAINES HEURES PUIS SE DEPLACER LENTEMENT VERS LE SUD-OUEST SANS S'INTENSIFIER SIGNIFICATIVEMENT. L'INTENSITE ACTUELLE DU SYSTEME NE JUSTIFIE PAS UNE EMISSION REGULIERE DE BULLETINS. . ** WTIO20 FMEE 061209 *** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 06/11/2005 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.6S / 77.4E (EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCLATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE , LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 00 UTC: 9.2S / 77.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2005/11/07 AT 12 UTC: 9.4S / 77.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS EXPECTED STAYING QUASI-STATIONNARY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS WITHOUT INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY. INTENSITY OF THESE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. . ** WTIO30 FMEE 061211 *** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/3/20052006 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 2.A POSITION 2005/11/06 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.6S / 77.4E (EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2005/11/07 00 UTC: 09.2S/77.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2005/11/07 12 UTC: 09.4S/77.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2005/11/08 00 UTC: 09.8S/76.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2005/11/08 12 UTC: 10.3S/76.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2005/11/09 00 UTC: 10.8S/75.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2005/11/09 12 UTC: 11.4S/74.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- LAST NIGHT QUIKSCAT SWAT OF 0057UTC REVEALS A WELL DEFINED CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION WITH WINDS NEAR THE CENTER UP TO 20/25 KT AND STRONGEST WINDS REACHING LOCALLY 30KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. IN RELATIONSHIP WITH A MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DESORGANIZED. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STAY IN THE SAME AREA DURING THE NEXT HOURS AND THEN TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IS FORECASTED BEEING MODERATE AND TEMPORARILY GROWING STRONGER DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS. SO, POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS WEAK. MORE EASTERN, IN THE AUSTRALIAN METAREA 10, THE TROPICAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 90E AND ENTER IN THE RSMC LA REUNION RESPONSABILITY AREA DURING NEXT NIGHT. INTENSITY OF THESE SYSTEM NR3 DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. . ** WTAU06 APRF 061252 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:11S092E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1235UTC 6 NOVEMBER 2005 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Low located within 40 nautical miles of Latitude eleven decimal six south [11.6S] Longitude ninety one decimal nine east [91.9E] Recent movement : west southwest at 13 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 997 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 150 nautical miles in southern and western quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 6 to 18 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 0000UTC 07 November: within 40 nautical miles of 12.8S 89.8E 995 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 07 November: within 70 nautical miles of 13.7S 87.8E 990 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 06 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 061252 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:11S092E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 1235UTC 6 NOVEMBER 2005 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 1200UTC Tropical Low located within 40 nautical miles of Latitude eleven decimal six south [11.6S] Longitude ninety one decimal nine east [91.9E] Recent movement : west southwest at 13 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 997 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 60 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 150 nautical miles in southern and western quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 6 to 18 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 0000UTC 07 November: within 40 nautical miles of 12.8S 89.8E 995 hPa. Winds to 35 knots near centre. At 1200UTC 07 November: within 70 nautical miles of 13.7S 87.8E 990 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 06 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTPN21 PGTW 061400 *** ALERT ATCF MIL 95X XXX 051106120000 2005110612 8.3 140.1 10.7 135.4 150 8.5 139.7 061400 0511061351 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061351Z NOV 05// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.3N 140.1E TO 10.7N 135.4E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 061130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 139.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 071400Z. // WP, 95, 2005110300, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1436E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110306, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1435E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110312, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1434E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110318, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1433E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110400, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1432E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110406, , BEST, 0, 64N, 1431E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110412, , BEST, 0, 64N, 1430E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110418, , BEST, 0, 64N, 1429E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110500, , BEST, 0, 65N, 1427E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110506, , BEST, 0, 68N, 1424E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110512, , BEST, 0, 71N, 1420E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110518, , BEST, 0, 74N, 1415E, 15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110600, , BEST, 0, 77N, 1410E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110606, , BEST, 0, 81N, 1404E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110612, , BEST, 0, 85N, 1397E, 20, 1004, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 150, 50, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, ** WTPN21 PGTW 061400 RRA *** ALERT ATCF MIL 95X XXX 051106120000 2005110612 8.3 140.1 10.7 135.4 150 8.5 139.7 061400 0511061351 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061351Z NOV 05// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.3N 140.1E TO 10.7N 135.4E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 061130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 139.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 071400Z. // WP, 95, 2005110300, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1436E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110306, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1435E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110312, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1434E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110318, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1433E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110400, , BEST, 0, 63N, 1432E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110406, , BEST, 0, 64N, 1431E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110412, , BEST, 0, 64N, 1430E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110418, , BEST, 0, 64N, 1429E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110500, , BEST, 0, 65N, 1427E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, ** WTPN21 PGTW 061400 RRB *** WP, 95, 2005110506, , BEST, 0, 68N, 1424E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110512, , BEST, 0, 71N, 1420E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110518, , BEST, 0, 74N, 1415E, 15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110600, , BEST, 0, 77N, 1410E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110606, , BEST, 0, 81N, 1404E, 15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, WP, 95, 2005110612, , BEST, 0, 85N, 1397E, 20, 1004, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006, 150, 50, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, ** WTNT80 EGRR 061757 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.11.2005 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 9.3N 135.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.11.2005 9.3N 135.8W WEAK 12UTC 07.11.2005 9.5N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.11.2005 9.5N 138.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.11.2005 9.6N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.11.2005 9.6N 142.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2005 9.3N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2005 9.7N 148.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.11.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+48 : 9.5N 100.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.11.2005 9.5N 100.8W WEAK 00UTC 09.11.2005 11.1N 102.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2005 12.7N 104.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061757