** WTSR20 WSSS 051800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTAU06 APRF 060050 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:10S094E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0034UTC 6 NOVEMBER 2005 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Low located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude ten decimal six south [10.6S] Longitude ninety four decimal five east [94.5E] Recent movement : west southwest at 12 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 1002 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 50 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 1200UTC 06 November: within 40 nautical miles of 12.1S 92.3E 1000 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 07 November: within 70 nautical miles of 12.9S 89.9E 992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 06 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTAU06 APRF 060050 *** IDW23200 40:3:2:24:10S094E999:11:00 SECURITE HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH AT 0034UTC 6 NOVEMBER 2005 GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. SITUATION At 0000UTC Tropical Low located within 20 nautical miles of Latitude ten decimal six south [10.6S] Longitude ninety four decimal five east [94.5E] Recent movement : west southwest at 12 knots. Maximum winds : 30 knots. Central pressure : 1002 hPa. AREA AFFECTED Within 50 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 120 nautical miles in southern quadrants. FORECAST Low may develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and moderate swell. At 1200UTC 06 November: within 40 nautical miles of 12.1S 92.3E 1000 hPa. Winds to 30 knots near centre. At 0000UTC 07 November: within 70 nautical miles of 12.9S 89.9E 992 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre. Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 06 November 2005. WEATHER PERTH ** WTNT80 EGRR 060542 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 06.11.2005 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 8.7N 134.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.11.2005 8.7N 134.6W WEAK 00UTC 07.11.2005 9.3N 135.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.11.2005 9.4N 137.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.11.2005 9.3N 138.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.11.2005 9.0N 140.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.11.2005 8.8N 143.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2005 8.9N 146.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2005 9.2N 149.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.11.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 11.4N 73.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.11.2005 11.4N 73.8W WEAK 00UTC 07.11.2005 11.4N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.11.2005 11.4N 73.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.11.2005 11.4N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.11.2005 11.6N 73.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.11.2005 11.3N 74.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.11.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060542