** WTSR20 WSSS 020600 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 021200 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) ANALYSIS PSTN 021200UTC 19N 105E MOVE W 10KT PRES 1004HPA = ** WTKO20 RKSL 021200 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6 NAME TD 0521 KAI-TAK ANALYSIS POSITION 021200UTC 19.7N 105.5E MOVEMENT NNW 9KT PRES 1004HPA KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPN31 PGTW 021500 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 22W (KAI-TAK) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z --- NEAR 20.1N 105.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 105.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z --- 22.2N 105.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 105.5E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 22W (KAI-TAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// ** WTSS20 VHHH 021345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL STORM KAI-TAK (0521) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS. AT 021200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (19.2 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTSS20 VHHH 021345 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING TROPICAL STORM KAI-TAK (0521) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS. AT 021200 UTC, IT WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (19.2 N) ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES. NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS REGENERATION TAKES PLACE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 031200 UTC DISSIPATED OVER LAND. ** WTNT80 EGRR 021741 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.11.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 8.5N 92.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.11.2005 8.5N 92.8W WEAK 00UTC 03.11.2005 8.2N 95.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.11.2005 7.8N 100.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.11.2005 7.8N 103.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.11.2005 8.8N 104.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.11.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021741