** WTJP21 RJTD 301800 *** WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) 950 HPA AT 14.4N 111.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 15.5N 110.8E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 18.2N 108.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 19.5N 105.4E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 301800 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) ANALYSIS PSTN 301800UTC 14.4N 111.9E GOOD MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 180NM FORECAST 24HF 311800UTC 15.5N 110.8E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 48HF 011800UTC 18.2N 108.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 72HF 021800UTC 19.5N 105.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTPQ20 BABJ 301800 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAI-TAK 0521 (0521) INITIAL TIME 301800 UTC 00HR 14.4N 111.9E 960HPA 40M/S 30KTS 280KM 50KTS 100KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 15.4N 110.6E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 17.0N 109.0E 965HPA 38M/S P+72HR 19.0N 106.8E 970HPA 33M/S= ** WTSS20 VHHH 301945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 301800 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (14.9 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 301945 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 301800 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311800 UTC ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (14.9 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 302100 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 22W (KAI-TAK) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z --- NEAR 14.4N 111.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 111.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 14.9N 111.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 15.6N 110.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.4N 109.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z --- 17.4N 108.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 19.3N 106.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 21.2N 104.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 23.4N 102.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 302100Z POSITION NEAR 14.5N 111.6E. TYPHOON (TY) 22W (KAI-TAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z, 310900Z, 311500Z AND 312100Z.// ** WTNT41 KNHC 302027 *** TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM BETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 BETA CONTINUES TO PUSH FARTHER INLAND WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATED TO BE 260/6. LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTHWEST OF BETA SHOULD KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A PATH A LITTLE SOUTH OF WEST UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN NICARAGUA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THERE COULD BE SOME REGENERATION AFTER THE REMNANTS OF BETA ENTER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASIN TOMORROW. EVEN THOUGH BETA IS WEAKENING...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 12.7N 84.4W 55 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 31/0600Z 12.2N 85.7W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT21 KNHC 302028 *** TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262005 2100Z SUN OCT 30 2005 AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ADJUSTED ITS WARNINGS...DISCONTINUING THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS. THESE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING... WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 84.4W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 84.4W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 84.1W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 12.2N 85.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 84.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 302028 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BETA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...BETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND... AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ADJUSTED ITS WARNINGS...DISCONTINUING THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS. THESE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING... WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 100 KM... NORTHWEST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER WESTERN NICARAGUA ON MONDAY. THE REMNANTS OF BETA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND BETA SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EL SALVADOR AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN HONDURAS. REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...12.7 N... 84.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM EST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 302050 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN BETA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 16 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 PM EST DOMINGO 30 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...BETA SE DEBILITA A TORMENTA TROPICAL A MEDIDA QUE SE MUEVE MAS HACIA TIERRA ADENTRO... A LAS 4 PM EST...2100Z...EL GOBIERNO DE NICARAGUA HA MODIFICADO SUS AVISOS...DESCONTINUANDO EL AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE BLUEFIELDS HACIA EL NORTE...Y EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL AL SUR DE BLUEFIELDS. ESTOS AVISOS HAN SIDO REEMPLAZADOS POR UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL...QUE ESTA AHORA EN EFECTO DESDE BLUEFIELD HACIA EL NORTE HASTA PUERTO CABEZAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 4 PM EST...2100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BETA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.4 OESTE COMO A 65 MILLAS...100 KM AL NOROESTE DE BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. BETA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH...11 KILOMETROS POR HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO AL OESTE A OESTE-SUROESTE HASTA QUE LA CIRCULACION SE DISIPE SOBRE EL OESTE DE NICARAGUA EL LUNES. SE ESPERA QUE LOS REMANENTES DE BETA EN GENERAL CONTINUEN HASTA LA PARTE ESTE DEL PACIFICO NORTE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE ESPERA UN CONTINUO DEBILITAMIENTO Y BETA DEBERA BAJAR A DEPRESION TROPICAL DURANTE LA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 70 MILLAS...110 KILOMETROS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 997 MILIBARAS...29.44 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE EL HURACAN BETA PRODUZCA LLUVIAS CON CANTIDADES TOTALES DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE NICARAGUA Y EL ESTE DE HONDURAS...Y POSIBLES CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE 25 PULGADAS. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR IUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 3 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 8 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE EL SALVADOR Y PARTES DEL SUR DE LAS HONDURAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 PM EST...12.7 NORTE... 84.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...55 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...997 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM EST. PRONOSTICADOR FRANKLIN $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTJP31 RJTD 302100 *** WARNING 302100. WARNING VALID 312100. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) 950 HPA AT 14.4N 111.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 312100UTC AT 15.7N 110.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 302100 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) ANALYSIS PSTN 302100UTC 14.4N 111.8E GOOD MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 50KT 75NM 30KT 180NM FORECAST 24HF 312100UTC 15.7N 110.6E 80NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 950HPA MXWD 080KT 45HF 011800UTC 18.2N 108.0E 150NM 70% MOVE NW 09KT PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 69HF 021800UTC 19.5N 105.4E 220NM 70% MOVE WNW 06KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 045KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 302245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 302100 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (14.9 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 302245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 302100 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (14.9 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 302245 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 302100 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3 N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (14.9 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTNT31 KNHC 302327 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BETA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...BETA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN INLAND OVER NICARAGUA...COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED... AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM EST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES... 135 KM... NORTHWEST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES OVER WESTERN NICARAGUA ON MONDAY. THE REMNANTS OF BETA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...INLAND OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND BETA SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN A FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES ...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EL SALVADOR AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN HONDURAS. REPEATING THE 7 PM EST POSITION...12.7 N... 84.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM EST. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 302333 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN BETA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 16A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM EST DOMINGO 30 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...BETA CONTINUA DEBILITANDOSE SOBRE NICARAGUA...SE DESCONTINUAN TODOS LOS AVISOS COSTEROS... A LAS 7 PM EST...0000Z...EL COBIERNO DE NICARAGUA HA DESCONTINUADO TODOS LOS AVISOS COSTEROS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 PM EST...0000Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BETA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 12.7 NORTE...LONGITUD 84.8 OESTE COMO A 85 MILLAS...135 KM AL NOROESTE DE BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA. BETA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH...11 KILOMETROS POR HORA. SE ESPERA UN MOVIMIENTO AL OESTE A OESTE-SUROESTE HASTA QUE LA CIRCULACION SE DISIPE SOBRE EL OESTE DE NICARAGUA EL LUNES. SE ESPERA QUE LOS REMANENTES DE BETA EN GENERAL CONTINUEN HACIA EL OESTE HASTA LA PARTE ESTE DEL PACIFICO NORTE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES...TIERRA ADENTRO SOBRE UNA PEQUENA AREA CERCA DEL CENTRO. SE ESPERA UN CONTINUO DEBILITAMIENTO Y BETA DEBERA BAJAR A DEPRESION TROPICAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 35 MILLAS...55 KILOMETROS DEL CENTRO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 1000 MILIBARAS...29.53 PULGADAS. SE ESPERA QUE EL HURACAN BETA PRODUZCA LLUVIAS CON CANTIDADES TOTALES DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE NICARAGUA Y EL ESTE DE HONDURAS...Y POSIBLES CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE 25 PULGADAS. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR IUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO QUE AMENACEN VIDAS. CANTIDADES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 3 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 8 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE EL SALVADOR Y PARTES DEL SUR DE LAS HONDURAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM EST...12.7 NORTE... 84.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE A CERCA DE 7 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1000 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM EST. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO