** WTCA41 TJSJ 300611 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN BETA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 13A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 AM EST DOMINGO 30 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...EL HURACAN BETA CASI DE CATEGORIA TRES A MEDIDA QUE EL OJO SE APROXIMA A LA COSTA DE NICARAGUA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA DESDE BLUEFIELDS HACIA EL NORTE HASTA CABO GRACIAS A DIOS CERCA DE LA FRONTERA NICARAGUA/HONDURAS...Y LAS ISLAS ADYACENTES. CONTINUA TAMBIEN EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA NORESTE DE HONDURAS DESDE PUNTA PATUCA HASTA CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA CARIBENA DE NICARAGUA DESDE EL SUR DE BLUEFIELDS HASTA LA FRONTERA CON COSTA RICA. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LA COSTA NORESTE DE HONDURAS DESDE LIMON HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUYENDO LA CEIBA. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATTIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA... GENERALMENTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LA 1 AM EST...0600Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BETA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 83.2 OESTE COMO A 120 MILLAS...190 KM...AL SUR DE CABO GRACIAS A DIOS EN LA FRONTERA DE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS Y COMO A 55 MILLAS...85 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. BETA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH...13 KILOMETROS POR HORA. ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DEBE CONTINUAR POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE BETA ENTRARA A TIERRA EN LA COSTA ESTE DE DE NICARAGUA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. BANDAS DE LLUVIA ASOCIADAS CON EL HURACAN YA HAN COMENZADO A AFECTAR MUCHOS SECTORES DEL ESTE DE NICARAGUA. LOS DATOS DEL SATELITE SUGIEREN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. BETA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. EXISTE LA POSIBILIDAD DE QUE SE TORNE EN HURACAN INTENSO CATEGORIA TRES ANTES DE LLEGAR A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 15 MILLAS...30 KM...DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KILOMETROS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 965 MILIBARAS...28.50 PULGADAS. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 12 A 17 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO ENTRE A TIERRA. SE ESPERA QUE EL HURACAN BETA PRODUZCA LLUVIA TORRENCIAL CON CANTIDADES TOTALES DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS A TRAVES DEL ESTE DE HONDURAS Y NICARAGUA. CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS SE PRONOSTICAN PARA SAN ANDRES Y PROVIDENCIA DONDE CANTIDADES AISLADAS TOTALES PODRIAN ACERCARSE A 25 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 AM EST...13.3 NORTE... 83.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE-SUROESTER A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...110 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...965 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 AM EST. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA ** WTCA41 TJSJ 300612 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN BETA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 13A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 AM EST DOMINGO 30 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...EL HURACAN BETA CASI DE CATEGORIA TRES A MEDIDA QUE EL OJO SE APROXIMA A LA COSTA DE NICARAGUA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA DESDE BLUEFIELDS HACIA EL NORTE HASTA CABO GRACIAS A DIOS CERCA DE LA FRONTERA NICARAGUA/HONDURAS...Y LAS ISLAS ADYACENTES. CONTINUA TAMBIEN EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA NORESTE DE HONDURAS DESDE PUNTA PATUCA HASTA CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA CARIBENA DE NICARAGUA DESDE EL SUR DE BLUEFIELDS HASTA LA FRONTERA CON COSTA RICA. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LA COSTA NORESTE DE HONDURAS DESDE LIMON HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUYENDO LA CEIBA. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATTIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA... GENERALMENTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LA 1 AM EST...0600Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BETA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.3 NORTE...LONGITUD 83.2 OESTE COMO A 120 MILLAS...190 KM...AL SUR DE CABO GRACIAS A DIOS EN LA FRONTERA DE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS Y COMO A 55 MILLAS...85 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. BETA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH...13 KILOMETROS POR HORA. ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL DEBE CONTINUAR POR LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE BETA ENTRARA A TIERRA EN LA COSTA ESTE DE DE NICARAGUA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS. BANDAS DE LLUVIA ASOCIADAS CON EL HURACAN YA HAN COMENZADO A AFECTAR MUCHOS SECTORES DEL ESTE DE NICARAGUA. LOS DATOS DEL SATELITE SUGIEREN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO A CERCA DE 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. BETA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA DOS EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. EXISTE LA POSIBILIDAD DE QUE SE TORNE EN HURACAN INTENSO CATEGORIA TRES ANTES DE LLEGAR A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 15 MILLAS...30 KM...DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KILOMETROS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 965 MILIBARAS...28.50 PULGADAS. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 12 A 17 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO ENTRE A TIERRA. SE ESPERA QUE EL HURACAN BETA PRODUZCA LLUVIA TORRENCIAL CON CANTIDADES TOTALES DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS A TRAVES DEL ESTE DE HONDURAS Y NICARAGUA. CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE 3 A 6 PULGADAS SE PRONOSTICAN PARA SAN ANDRES Y PROVIDENCIA DONDE CANTIDADES AISLADAS TOTALES PODRIAN ACERCARSE A 25 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 AM EST...13.3 NORTE... 83.2 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE-SUROESTER A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...110 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...965 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 AM EST. PRONOSTICADOR KNAAB $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA ** WTIN20 DEMS 300615 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS - RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 30-10-2005 (.) TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC (.) CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER PARTS OF NORTH EAST AND WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BANGAL (.) RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 19.0 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION (.) ** WTNT80 EGRR 300625 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.10.2005 TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 11.9N 115.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.10.2005 11.9N 115.6W WEAK 12UTC 30.10.2005 12.3N 117.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.10.2005 13.7N 119.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE BETA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 82.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL262005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.10.2005 13.7N 82.6W STRONG 12UTC 30.10.2005 13.5N 83.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.10.2005 13.6N 84.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 31.10.2005 13.4N 86.6W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 01.11.2005 14.5N 93.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.11.2005 12.9N 92.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.11.2005 11.0N 92.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.11.2005 10.4N 93.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.11.2005 9.2N 94.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.11.2005 8.4N 98.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.11.2005 7.8N 100.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.11.2005 7.6N 103.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.11.2005 8.4N 102.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+12 : 22.9N 76.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.10.2005 22.9N 76.9W WEAK 00UTC 31.10.2005 22.9N 77.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2005 23.7N 77.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.11.2005 23.8N 80.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.11.2005 26.3N 78.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.11.2005 26.9N 79.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.11.2005 23.7N 87.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.11.2005 24.6N 86.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.11.2005 25.7N 86.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.11.2005 29.0N 80.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.11.2005 30.2N 73.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.11.2005 32.2N 67.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+72 : 22.8N 86.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.11.2005 22.8N 86.9W WEAK 12UTC 02.11.2005 23.7N 87.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.11.2005 25.0N 87.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.11.2005 25.7N 86.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.11.2005 26.5N 86.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.11.2005 27.4N 85.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.11.2005 27.7N 84.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300625 ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) ANALYSIS PSTN 300600UTC 14.1N 112.3E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 310600UTC 14.7N 111.7E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 48HF 010600UTC 16.5N 110.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 72HF 020600UTC 18.4N 108.4E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTJP21 RJTD 300600 *** WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) 970 HPA AT 14.1N 112.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 14.7N 111.7E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 16.5N 110.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 18.4N 108.4E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 BABJ 300600 *** SUBJECTIVE FORECAST TY KAI-TAK 0521 (0521) INITIAL TIME 300600 UTC 00HR 14.1N 112.4E 970HPA 35M/S 30KTS 250KM 50KTS 80KM P12HR NW 10KM/H P+24HR 15.2N 111.2E 960HPA 40M/S P+48HR 17.2N 109.4E 965HPA 38M/S P+72HR 18.5N 107.8E 970HPA 35M/S= ** WTCA31 MHTG 300600Z *** MHTG SIGMET 6 VALID 30600/301200 MHTG- FIR CENTROAMERICA TC BETA OBS 0600Z LAT 13.3N LOG83.2W FRQ TS CB TPS FL500 CENTRE MOV W AT 8KNOTS INTSF. FCST 300600Z TC CETRE LAT 13.5N LOG 83.9= ** WTCA31 MHTG 300600Z *** MHTG SIGMET 6 VALID 30600/301200 MHTG- FIR CENTROAMERICA TC BETA OBS 0600Z LAT 13.3N LOG83.2W FRQ TS CB TPS FL500 CENTRE MOV W AT 8KNOTS INTSF. FCST 300600Z TC CETRE LAT 13.5N LOG 83.9 ** WTCA31 MHTG 300600Z *** MHTG SIGMET 6 VALID 30600/301200 MHTG- FIR CENTROAMERICA TC BETA OBS 0600Z LAT 13.3N LOG83.2W FRQ TS CB TPS FL500 CENTRE MOV W AT 8KNOTS INTSF. FCST 300600Z TC CENTRE LAT 13.5N LOG 83.9 ** WTCA31 MHTG 300600Z *** MHTG SIGMET 6 VALID 30600/301200 MHTG- FIR CENTROAMERICA TC BETA OBS 0600Z LAT 13.3N LOG83.2W FRQ TS CB TPS FL500 CENTRE MOV W AT 8KNOTS INTSF. FCST 300600Z TC CENTRE LAT 13.5N LOG 83.9= ** WTKO20 RKSL 300600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TY 0521 KAI-TAK ANALYSIS POSITION 300600UTC 14.1N 112.3E MOVEMENT W 4KT PRES/VMAX 970HPA 64KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 310600UTC 14.6N 110.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 15.9N 109.1E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT 72HR POSITION 020600UTC 17.8N 107.4E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTKO20 RKSL 300600 *** KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2 NAME TY 0521 KAI-TAK ANALYSIS POSITION 300600UTC 14.1N 112.3E MOVEMENT W 4KT PRES/VMAX 970HPA 64KT FORECAST 24HR POSITION 310600UTC 14.6N 110.8E WITHIN 80NM PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT 48HR POSITION 010600UTC 15.9N 109.1E WITHIN 135NM PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT 72HR POSITION 020600UTC 17.8N 107.4E WITHIN 215NM PRES/VMAX 980HPA 58KT KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION. ** WTPQ30 RJTD 300600 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING REASONING NO. 4 FOR TY 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) 1.GENERAL COMMENTS REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE. POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY. 2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN. 3.MOTION FORECAST POSITION ACCURACY AT 300600 UTC IS FAIR. TY WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. TY WILL MOVE NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. 4.INTENSITY FORECAST TY WILL KEEP PRESENT INTENSITY FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FI-NUMBER WILL BE 4.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.= ** WTSS20 VHHH 300745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300600 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (14.0 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (14.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 300745 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300600 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (14.0 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (14.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 22W (KAI-TAK) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 14.1N 112.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 112.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 14.4N 111.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 14.9N 110.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 15.6N 109.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 108.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 106.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.0N 104.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 22.4N 102.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 111.9E. TYPHOON (TY) 22W (KAI-TAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.// ** WTPN31 PGTW 300900 *** MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 22W (KAI-TAK) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 14.1N 112.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 112.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 14.4N 111.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 14.9N 110.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 15.6N 109.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 16.6N 108.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 18.1N 106.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 20.0N 104.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 22.4N 102.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 14.2N 111.9E. TYPHOON (TY) 22W (KAI-TAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.// ** WTNT21 KNHC 300849 *** TCMAT1 HURRICANE BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL262005 0900Z SUN OCT 30 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUDING LA CEIBA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 83.4W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 83.4W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 83.1W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.7N 84.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 12.5N 85.6W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 12.4N 86.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 83.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT31 KNHC 300851 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE BETA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...HURRICANE BETA REACHES CATEGORY THREE INTENSITY WITH 115 MPH WINDS JUST OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... ...CENTER EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUDING LA CEIBA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM... SOUTH OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT 70 MILES... 110 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THEN PROCEED INLAND LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BETA IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... AND BETA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE THRESHOLD BETWEEN CATEGORY TWO AND THREE INTENSITY. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ALTHOUGH POWERFUL... BETA IS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WITH TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST FOR SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA WHERE ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 25 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...13.0 N... 83.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM EST. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT71 KNHC 300852 *** SPFAT1 HURRICANE BETA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM EST WED NOV 2 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 12.5N 85.6W 46 X X X 46 MHNJ 165N 859W 1 4 X X 5 12.4N 86.8W 25 3 X X 28 MNPC 141N 834W 99 X X X 99 MGPB 157N 886W X 3 X X 3 MNBL 120N 839W 51 X X X 51 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT41 KNHC 300901 *** TCDAT1 HURRICANE BETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 THE EYE BECAME MORE CLEARLY DEFINED IN GOES INFRARED IMAGERY OVERNIGHT AND AT 06Z WAS SURROUNDED BY A SOLID RING OF VERY DEEP CONVECTION WITH TOPS COLDER THAN -80C. THE EYE IS SO SMALL... HOWEVER... THAT SSMI IMAGERY FROM A 29/0156Z OVERPASS BARELY RESOLVED IT. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL CLASSIFYING AGENCIES AT 06Z INCREASED TO T5.5/102 KT. SINCE THAT TIME THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SOMEWHAT... BUT THE EYE IS STILL DISCERNIBLE. THERE IS NOT ANY OBVIOUS REASON WHY THE INTENSITY WAS NOT 100 KT AT 06Z... AND THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS ALSO SET TO 100 KT SINCE THE WINDS MIGHT NOT YET HAVE DECREASED IN RESPONSE TO THE VERY RECENT WEAKENING OF THE CONVECTION. BETA IS THE EIGHTH MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2005 ATLANTIC SEASON... ALTHOUGH GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS IT COULD WEAKEN AND REACH THE COASTLINE OF NICARAGUA AS A CATEGORY TWO. THIS SMALL HURRICANE SHOULD WEAKEN FAIRLY RAPIDLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AMERICA. A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT 7 KT HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED OVERNIGHT... AND THERE DOES NOT SEEM TO BE ANY REASON WHY BETA WILL SLOW DOWN SOON... SO LANDFALL ON THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA IS IMMINENT. MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS BRING THE CENTER OF BETA ACROSS NICARAGUA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THEN FORECAST AT LEAST A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO EMERGE INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. SINCE BETA IS SUCH A SMALL HURRICANE AND THE TERRAIN OF NICARAGUA SO RUGGED... THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR THE DEPRESSION TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS OR LESS AND FOR THE REMNANT LOW TO DISSIPATE BEFORE REACHING THE EASTERN PACIFIC. IT IS POSSIBLE... HOWEVER... THAT WHATEVER IS LEFT OF BETA IN A FEW DAYS COULD AT SOME POINT LEAD TO REGENERATION IN THE PACIFIC. BETA WILL BRING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA... PRIMARILY NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS... LIKELY LEADING TO LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES WHICH COULD CAUSE CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE. THE TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD CONTINUE WELL INLAND AND MANY HOURS AFTER LANDFALL... EVEN AFTER THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH BETA WEAKEN. SOME OF THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH BETA COULD BE DRAWN INTO A DEVELOPING EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO IN A FEW DAYS. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 13.0N 83.4W 100 KT 12HR VT 30/1800Z 12.7N 84.3W 60 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 31/0600Z 12.5N 85.6W 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 36HR VT 31/1800Z 12.4N 86.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTCA41 TJSJ 300912 *** TCPSP1 BOLETIN HURACAN BETA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 14 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 AM EST DOMINGO 30 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...HURACAN BETA ALCANZA INTENSIDAD DE CATEGORIA TRES CON VIENTOS DE 115 MPH JUSTO FUERA DE LA COSTA DE NICARAGUA... ...SE ESPERA QUE EL CENTRO ENTRE A TIERRA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA DESDE BLUEFIELDS HACIA EL NORTE HASTA CABO GRACIAS A DIOS CERCA DE LA FRONTERA NICARAGUA/HONDURAS...Y LAS ISLAS ADYACENTES. CONTINUA TAMBIEN EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA NORESTE DE HONDURAS DESDE PUNTA PATUCA HASTA CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA COSTA CARIBENA DE NICARAGUA DESDE EL SUR DE BLUEFIELDS HASTA LA FRONTERA CON COSTA RICA. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PERMANECE EN EFECTO PARA LA COSTA NORESTE DE HONDURAS DESDE LIMON HACIA EL ESTE HASTA EL OESTE DE PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUYENDO LA CEIBA. UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES HURACANADAS EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATTIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD EN EL AREA BAJO AVISO DEBEN COMPLETARSE A LA MAYOR BREVEDAD. UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES HURACANADAS EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA...GENERALMENTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SIGNIFICA QUE SON POSIBLES CONDICIONES DE TORMENTA TROPICAL EN EL AREA BAJO VIGILANCIA... GENERALMENTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 36 HORAS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS PARA AREAS TERRESTRES...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 4 AM EST...0900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BETA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 13.0 NORTE...LONGITUD 83.4 OESTE COMO A 140 MILLAS...225 KM...AL SUR DE CABO GRACIAS A DIOS EN LA FRONTERA DE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS Y COMO A 70 MILLAS...110 KM...AL SUR DE PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. BETA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH...13 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN BETA ENTRARA A TIERRA EN LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS Y LUEGO SE MOVERA TIERRA ADENTRO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. BETA ES UN PELIGROSO HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ALGUNAS FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD SON POSIBLES ANTES DE QUE EL CENTRO ENTRE A TIERRA EN LA COSTA DE NICARAGUA...Y SE ESPERA QUE BETA ENTRE A TIERRA CON INTENSIDAD ENTRE CATEGORIA DOS Y TRES. SE PRONOSTICA DEBILITAMIENTO DESPUES QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA. AUNQUE PODEROSO...BETA ES UN PEQUENO HURACAN. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 15 MILLAS...30 KM...DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 60 MILLAS...95 KILOMETROS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 960 MILIBARAS...28.35 PULGADAS. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 12 A 17 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE NICARAGUA CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO ENTRE A TIERRA. SE ESPERA QUE EL HURACAN BETA PRODUZCA LLUVIA TORRENCIAL CON CANTIDADES TOTALES DE 10 A 15 PULGADAS A TRAVES DE NICARAGUA Y EL ESTE DE HONDURAS...Y POSIBLES CANTIDADES AISLADAS MAXIMAS DE 25 PULGADAS. DE UNA A DOS PULGADAS ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA SE PRONOSTICAN PARA SAN ANDRES Y PROVIDENCIA DONDE LAS CANTIDADES AISLADAS TOTALES PODRIAN ACERCARSE A 25 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 AM EST...13.0 NORTE... 83.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL OESTE-SUROESTE A CERCA DE 8 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...115 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...960 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 AM EST SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 AM EST. PRONOSTICADOR KNAAB $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DE LA OFICINA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTJP31 RJTD 300900 *** WARNING 300900. WARNING VALID 310900. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) 970 HPA AT 14.0N 112.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310900UTC AT 14.9N 111.6E WITH 80 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= ** WTPQ20 RJTD 300900 *** RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME TY 0521 KAI-TAK (0521) ANALYSIS PSTN 300900UTC 14.0N 112.3E FAIR MOVE W SLOWLY PRES 970HPA MXWD 065KT 50KT 50NM 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 310900UTC 14.9N 111.6E 80NM 70% MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 45HF 010600UTC 16.5N 110.1E 150NM 70% MOVE NW SLOWLY PRES 965HPA MXWD 070KT 69HF 020600UTC 18.4N 108.4E 220NM 70% MOVE NW 06KT PRES 980HPA MXWD 055KT = ** WTSS20 VHHH 301045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300900 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (14.0 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (14.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTSS20 VHHH 301045 *** TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT 300900 UTC, TYPHOON KAI-TAK (0521) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (14.0 N) ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 200 NAUTICAL MILES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (14.7 N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS. ** WTNT31 KNHC 301159 *** TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE BETA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM EST SUN OCT 30 2005 ...HURRICANE BETA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NICARAGUA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS NEAR THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER...AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO CABO GRACIAS A DIOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF NICARAGUA SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO THE BORDER WITH COSTA RICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO WEST OF PUNTA PATUCA...INCLUDING LA CEIBA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM... SOUTH OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. THIS POSITION IS WITHIN A FEW MILES OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR LA BARRA. BETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/HR. BETA IS EXPECTED TO MOVING INLAND DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...AND A GENERAL MOTION INLAND TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BETA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. ALTHOUGH POWERFUL... BETA IS A SMALL HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 17 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. HURRICANE BETA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WITH TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND EASTERN HONDURAS... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST FOR SAN ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA WHERE ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 25 INCHES. REPEATING THE 7 AM EST POSITION...12.9 N... 83.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM EST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$