** WTNT44 KNHC 252028 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005 VISIBLE...INFRARED...AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT WILMA IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS WELL NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING CONVECTION...WHICH MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER APEPARS TO BE MERGING WITH A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD FROM A LOW OFF OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...AND COLD AIR AND A COLD FRONT ARE PRESENT SOUTHEAST OF WILMA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75 KT IS BASED ON A SATELLITE INTENSITY FROM TAFB AND RESPECT FOR THE RAPID MOTION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/46. WILMA SHOULD TURN EASTWARD AT A REDUCED FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES IN 72-96 HR. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS LOSE WILMA FASTER THAN THIS...SO THERE IS A POSSIBILITY DISSIPATION COULD OCCUR EARLIER. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER HSFAT1. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 41.7N 62.8W 75 KT 12HR VT 26/0600Z 44.5N 57.9W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 26/1800Z 46.0N 50.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 27/0600Z 46.0N 42.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 27/1800Z 46.0N 34.5W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 28/1800Z 46.0N 26.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 252028 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 2100Z TUE OCT 25 2005 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 62.8W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 46 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT.......125NE 150SE 100SW 75NW. 34 KT.......200NE 300SE 375SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..325NE 350SE 500SW 275NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 62.8W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 64.5W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 44.5N 57.9W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 46.0N 50.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 46.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 250SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 46.0N 34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 100SW 50NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 250SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 46.0N 26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 250SW 200NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N 62.8W THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER HSFAT1. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 252028 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005 ...WILMA BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES... 330 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH...85 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT WILMA IS MERGING WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...AND FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 430 MILES...695 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. ALTHOUGH WILMA WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY AFFECTING THE U.S. EAST COAST...HIGH SURF IS PRESENTLY OCCURRING ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...41.7 N... 62.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 53 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON WILMA FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FUTURE WARNINGS AND INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON D. C. UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC AND AWIPS HEADER HSFAT1. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 252029 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI OCT 28 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 46.0N 50.5W 30 3 X X 33 PTX BASQUES NFLD 6 X X X 6 46.0N 42.0W X 13 2 1 16 BURGEO NFLD 14 X X X 14 46.0N 34.5W X 1 7 3 11 ILE ST PIERRE 31 1 X X 32 SABLE ISLAND NS 47 X X X 47 CAPE RACE NFLD 35 X X X 35 SYDNEY NS 12 X X X 12 HIBERNIA OILFLD 18 9 X X 27 EDDY POINT NS 9 X X X 9 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$