** WTIN20 DEMS 240621 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 24-10-2005 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC AAA CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AAA RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 19.0 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION AAA ====== OVER ** WTIN20 DEMS 240621 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 24-10-2005 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC AAA CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AAA RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 19.0 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION AAA ====== OVER ** WTIN20 DEMS 240621 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 24-10-2005 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC AAA CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AAA RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 19.0 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION AAA ====== OVER ** WTIN20 DEMS 240621 *** TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK ------------------------ DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE NEW DELHI 24-10-2005 AAA TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC AAA CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AAA RIDGE LINE AT 200 HPA RUNS ALONG 19.0 DEG NORTH OVER INDIAN REGION AAA ====== OVER ** WTUS82 KMLB 240651 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 241000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 250 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA MAKING ITS APPROACH... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO AND FLOOD WARNINGS ARE BEING ISSUED IN ADVANCE OF WILMA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO SAINT AUGUSTINE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER... OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT PIERCE. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 18 MPH...WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR TORNADO WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THEIR AREA AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER OVERNIGHT. AS WARNINGS ARE ISSUED...PLEASE TAKE THEM SERIOUSLY. DURING SUNDAY EVENING...A TORNADO MOVED THROUGH COCOA VILLAGE IN BREVARD COUNTY CAUSING DAMAGE. ALSO...A FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED FOR LAKE COUNTY WITH FLOOD WATERS REPORTED IN THE CITY OF MASCOTTE. IN THE EVENT OF A TORNADO...OR EVEN FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITHIN THE INNER RAINBANDS OF WILMA...THE SAFEST PLACE IS IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BLOCK HOME OR BUILDING...AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. NOW THAT WILMA HAS BECOME STRONGER AND MOVING FASTER...THE THREAT FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND...EVEN CROSSING THE PENINSULA TO THE EAST COAST...IS A VERY REAL CONCERN!!! ...WIND IMPACTS... THE GREATEST THREAT FROM WILMA ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND FIELD IS VERY LARGE AND THEREFORE WILL ARRIVE WELL BEFORE THE APPROACH OF THE CORE WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS OKEECHOBEE... OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES STARTING BEFORE SUNRISE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY SUNRISE...AND POSSIBLY SPREAD NORTH INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY MID MORNING. BECAUSE OF THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA...WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE CENTER AND TO THE RIGHT. IT IS LIKELY THAT A BAND OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 100 MPH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOFING MATERIALS...AS WELL AS EXPOSED DOORS AND WINDOWS. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES THAT HAPPEN TO BE IN THE PATH OF THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL OCCUR FROM DOWNED TREES AND LARGE SIGNS. A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED DUE TO SOME LARGE DEBRIS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE MAIN WIND SWATH OF THE CORE WINDS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF STRONG AND LONGER-LIVED TORNADOES IS HIGH AND WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING. THROUGH 5 AM...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR AHEAD OF WILMA...WITH AN INCREASING THREAT FOR MULTIPLE TORNADOES FROM THE SOUTH WITH THE APPROACHING RAINBANDS OF WILMA. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY. REPORTS OF FLOODING IN THE CITY OF MASCOTTE HAVE BEEN RECEIVED... INCLUDING AT THE CITY FIRE STATION. ESTIMATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE LOCALLY OCCURRED...WITH 1 TO 3 THREE INCHES STILL POSSIBLE. ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY. BECAUSE WILMA WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE STATE...WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES FOR THE EVENT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... A STORM TIDE OF 2 OR 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...MARINE IMPACTS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE FOR MARINERS DUE TO ITS RAPID APPROACH AND ACCELERATION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO. $$ DWS ** WTNT34 KNHC 240705 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA SLIGHTLY STRONGER...HEADED FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE PREVIOUS POSITION ESTIMATE WAS A LITTLE TOO FAR TO THE EAST. AT 3 AM EDT...0700Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH... AND A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE HAVE ALREADY SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL... ACCOMPANIED BY THE STRONGEST WINDS... WILL REACH THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA ABOUT 2 HOURS BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. A WIND GUST TO 76 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT KEY WEST. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9 TO 17 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY... AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA. WILMA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES THROUGH TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA. RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA... INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTHWARD TODAY. SOME TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS MORNING. REPEATING THE 3 AM EDT POSITION...25.1 N... 82.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 240715 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 35B NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 3 AM CDT LUNES 24 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...WILMA UN POCO MAS FUERTE...DIRIGIENDOSE A LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA TODOS LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA...INCLUYENDO DRY TORTUGAS Y FLORIDA BAY...A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HACIA EL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE TITUSVILLE HACIA EL SUR...INCLUYENDO EL LAGO OKEECHOBEE. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL NORTE DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO TITUSVILLE...Y A LO LARGO DE LLA COSTA ESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL NORTE DE TITUSVILLE HASTA ST. AUGUSTINE. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DA FLORIDA DESDE EL NORTE DE ST.AUGUSTINE HASTA FERNANDINA BEACH. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS PROVINCIAS CUBANAS DE CIUDAD HABANA...LA HABANA...Y PINAR DEL RIO. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA PROVINCIA DE MATANZAS. ESTOS AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS PODRIAN SER DESCONTINUADOS EN LA MANANA DEL LUNES. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS BAHAMAS DEL NOROESTE...INCLUYENDO ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...Y NEW PROVIDENCE. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. LA POSICION ESTIMADA ANTERIORMENTE ESTABA UN POCO MAS AL ESTE. A LAS 3 AM CDT...0700Z...EL CENTRO DEL EXTENSO OJO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 25.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 82.2 OESTE O COMO A 75 MILLAS AL OESTE NOROESTE DE CAYO HUESO FLORIDA Y COMO A 95 MILLAS AL SUROESTE DE NAPLES FLORIDA. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A RAZON DE 20 MPH...Y AUN SE ESPERA UN AUMENTO GRADUAL EN LA VELOCIDAD DE LA TRASLACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE WILMA ENTRARA A TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA MAS TARDE ESTA MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...ESTE ES UN HURACAN AMPLIO Y VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS Y DE FUERZA DE HURACAN SE HAN EXTENDIDO SOBRE PORCIONES DE LOS CAYOS MAS BAJOS DE LA FLORIDA. LA PARTE ESTE DE LA PARED DEL OJO...ACOMPANADO POR LOS VIENTOS MAS FUERTES...PODRIA LLEGAR A LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA COMO DOS HORAS ANTES QUE EL CENTRO LLEGUE A TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 120 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. NO SE ESPERA UN CAMBIO SIGNIFICATIVO EN INTENSIDAD HASTA QUE EL HURACAN ENTRE A TIERRA. SE PRONOSTICA UN LENTO DEBILITAMIENTO A MEDIDA QUE WILMA CRUZA EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS... 370 KILOMETROS. UNA RAFAGA DE 76 MPH FUE REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE EN CAYO HUESO. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 954 MILIBARAS...28.17 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 9 A 17 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA CERCA Y AL SUR DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO DE WILMA ENTRE A TIERRA. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 5 A 8 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL SON POSIBLES EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y EN FLORIDA BAY...ASI COMO EN EL LAGO OKEECHOBEE. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DEL EXTREMO SURESTE DE LA COSTA DE FLORIDA. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA DE 5 A 10 PULGADAS HASTA EL LUNES A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL OESTE DE CUBA. LA LLUVIA A TRAVES DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA Y SECTORES DE LA FLORIDA CENTRAL...INCLUYENDO LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA...HASTA EL LUNES EN LA TARDE...SE ESPERA QUE SEAN DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAXIMAS AISLADAS DE ALREDEDOR DE 12 PULGADAS. DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS DE LLUVIA SON POSIBLES SOBRE SECTORES DEL NOROESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS. GRANDES MAREJADAS GENERADAS POR WILMA CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO SECTORES DEL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA HACIA EL NORTE ESTA NOCHE Y TEMPRANO EL LUNES. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA PENINSULA CENTRAL Y SUR DE FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA ESTA MANANA. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 3 AM CDT...25.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 82.8 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORESTE A CERCA DE 20 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...120 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 954 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 5 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTUS82 KMFL 240727 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-241030- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 327 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA'S EYEWALL APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST... ...DESTRUCTIVE EYEWALL WINDS LIKELY TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST AROUND 6 AM OR EARLIER... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE: COLLIER... GLADES...HENDRY...PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE. ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED LOCAL WIND IMPACTS UPDATED LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING/INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 AM EDT...HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. WILMA IS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL EARLY MONDAY MORNING IN A TIME WINDOW CENTERED AROUND 7 AM SOMEWHERE BETWEEN MARCO ISLAND AND CHOKOLOSKEE. THE EYEWALL IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST AN HOUR EARLIER OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS...AND WILMA WILL LIKELY MAKE LANDFALL AS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA... BUT THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO STILL BE A SIGNIFICANT CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BY THE TIME THE CENTER REACHES THE FLORIDA EAST COAST EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...AND RAPIDLY SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST TRACK OF WILMA HAS REMAINED CONSTANT THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...PEOPLE ARE STRONGLY URGED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK AS HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WITHIN THE NEXT 3 TO 10 HOURS REGARDLESS OF WHAT THE EVENTUAL TRACK ENDS UP BEING. SOUTH FLORIDIANS SHOULD REMAIN INDOORS AND NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE. PLEASE STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE LOCAL SOUTH FLORIDA WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... THE LATEST FORECAST BRINGS THE CENTER OF WILMA AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST SOMEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN COLLIER COUNTY IN A WINDOW CENTERED AROUND 7 AM EDT. IN THAT SAME TIME WINDOW AND SHORTLY AFTER...A STORM TIDE OF UP TO 13 TO 18 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF CAPE ROMANO TO CAPE SABLE INCLUDING EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE. THIS WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF LOCAL ACCESS ROADS TO MARCO ISLAND...EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE INCLUDING STATE ROADS 92...951...953 AND 29 AND LARGE PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI TRAIL U.S. HIGHWAY 41. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST...A STORM TIDE OF 7 TO 9 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED FROM JUST SOUTH OF NAPLES TO MARCO ISLAND AND WILL LIKELY CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN MARCO ISLAND. THESE VALUES ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK WHICH CAN STILL CHANGE BY AS MUCH AS 30 MILES NORTH OR SOUTH. THEREFORE...IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA PRONE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION IS TO EVACUATE. A STORM TIDE OF 8 TO 13 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLAMINGO AREA MID MORNING MONDAY. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...PARTICULARLY BISCAYNE BAY... A STORM TIDE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND SUNRISE MONDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN CANALS AND WATERWAYS. SOUTH WINDS WILL PILE SOME WATER INTO THE NORTH END OF BISCAYNE BAY CAUSING SOME FLOODING OF CAUSEWAYS AND LOW LYING BEACH ACCESS ROADS FOR A SHORT TIME FROM EARLY TO MID MORNING MONDAY. OVER BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY COASTS...STORM TIDES OF 2 FEET OR LESS ARE EXPECTED. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...GREATER THAN 39 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INCREASING ACROSS COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...SPREADING THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH FLORIDA BEFORE DAWN. DESTRUCTIVE EYEWALL WINDS OF UP TO 120 MPH ARE LIKELY TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM NAPLES SOUTHWARD AROUND 6 AM OR SHORTLY BEFORE THAT. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE...GREATER THAN 74 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD TO PALM BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI DADE THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUBSIDING BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE SUBSIDING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AREAS NEAR AND WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL...WHERE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF UP TO 120 MPH COULD BE SUSTAINED...CAN EXPECT TO SEE EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE... STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS WITH WALL AND ROOF FAILURES...EXTENSIVE TO COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES...NUMEROUS LARGE TRESS AND SIGNS BLOWN DOWN...MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS...AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. OVER THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. SOME BUILDING DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND DOORS IS ALSO LIKELY. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LARGE TREES WILL LIKELY BE UPROOTED WHICH WOULD CAUSE DOWNED POWER LINES...RESULTING IN EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. PERSONS MUST NOT DRIVE OR WALK AROUND IN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. SEVERAL SOUTH FLORIDA DEATHS OCCURRED IN KATRINA WHEN PEOPLE DECIDED TO WALK AROUND TO WATCH TREES FALL IN STRONG WINDS. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... FACTORING IN UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST TRACK...INTENSITY...AND SIZE OF THE STORM...THERE IS AN 80 TO 100 PERCENT CHANCE THAT MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH...THROUGH MONDAY. THE CHANCE THAT MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA WILL EXPERIENCE HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH...RANGES FROM BETTER THAN 80 PERCENT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST FROM NAPLES SOUTHWARD...TO 50 TO 70 PERCENT ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE DETERIORATING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING AFTER SUNRISE...AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SURF ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY VERY ROUGH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES THE COAST...AND RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SPREADING INTO THE LAKE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS BEGINNING AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD START SUBSIDING AROUND NOON MONDAY WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDING BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEGINNING SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AROUND MID TO LATE MONDAY MORNING AND NORTHERN WATERS BY MID AFTERNOON...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SUBSIDING OVER ALL ATLANTIC WATERS BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AT THIS TIME. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM NAPLES TO WEST PALM BEACH...WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST AREAS. RAIN BANDS MOVING OVER THE AREA WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED TORNADOES WILL BE THE SPIRAL RAIN BANDS ROTATING AROUND THE CENTER OF WILMA. TROPICAL CYCLONES MOVING INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE A HISTORY OF BEING PROLIFIC TORNADO PRODUCERS...PARTICULARLY WHEN INTERACTING WITH A SOUTHWARD MOVING COLD FRONT. HURRICANE ISBELL PRODUCED AT LEAST 13 TORNADOES ON A PATH SIMILAR TO THE FORECAST WILMA PATH IN OCTOBER 1964. REMEMBER THAT TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP RAPIDLY AND WITH LITTLE WARNING...ESPECIALLY THOSE INDUCED FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES. PLEASE MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL TV AND RADIO AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK PROTECTIVE ACTION IF A TORNADO IS SIGHTED OR A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 AM. $$ PS ** WTUS82 KEYW 240735 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-240930- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 330 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...ANYONE WHO HAS REMAINED IN THE KEYS SHOULD ALREADY BE IN THE SAFEST PLACE POSSIBLE... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION UPDATED. WIND IMPACTS UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALL SURROUNDING WATERS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MONDAY FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...STORM INFORMATION... HURRICANE WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...AND IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER. AT 300 AM EDT THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST...ABOUT 75 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. A CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL...WHICH ON ITS CURRENT TRACK WILL BE ON THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING. WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE IN SIZE...WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING UP TO 85 MILES OUT FROM THE CENTER...AND WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS UP TO 230 MILES OUT FROM THE CENTER. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 954 MB...OR 28.17 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE EVACUATION HAS ENDED IN THE KEYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND RISING TIDES HAVE MOVED OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...WILL BE AFFECTING MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS OVERNIGHT AS WELL. REMAIN IN A SAFE PLACE. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS FROM MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. REFUGES OF LAST RESORT ARE AS FOLLOWS...STANLEY SWITLIK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL MILE MARKER 48...CORAL SHORES HIGH SCHOOL MILE MARKER 90...AND THE SHERATON KEY LARGO BEACH RESORT MILE MARKER 98 KEY LARGO...AND MARRIOT KEY LARGO BAY BEACH RESORT MILE MARKER 103 KEY LARGO. OFFICIALS EMPHASIZE REFUGES OF LAST RESORT WILL NOT BE MANNED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS...AND THERE WILL BE NO SUPPLIES FOR EVACUEES. EVACUEES MUST BRING THEIR OWN WATER...BEDDING...AND SUPPLIES. NO PETS ARE PERMITTED AT REFUGES OF LAST RESORT. MONROE COUNTY OFFICES AND COURTS ARE TO BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS ARE TO BE CLOSED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOL DAYTIME CUSTODIANS SHOULD REPORT TUESDAY. ALL CAMPUSES OF FLORIDA KEYS COMMUNITY COLLEGE ARE TO BE CLOSED MONDAY. THE CITY OF KEY WEST HAS ENACTED A CURFEW EFFECTIVE UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE NOW MOVING OVER THE LOWER KEYS. SUSTAINED TROPICAL FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS... WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVER THOSE AREAS AS WELL. DRIVING IS DANGEROUS TO IMPOSSIBLE. THE WIND GAUGE AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS NO LONGER REPORTING DUE TO COMMUNICATION OUTAGE...BUT A GUST TO 83 MPH WAS MEASURED AT 216 AM. OTHER WIND GUST REPORTS INCLUDE 82 MPH AT CUDJOE KEY...89 MPH AT SOMBRERO KEY... AND 63 MPH AT LONG KEY. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. AS THE WILMA MOVES BY TO THE WEST THEN NORTH OF THE KEYS...WIND DIRECTION WILL TURN FROM THE SOUTH... TO SOUTHWEST...THEN WEST. RISING TIDES WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS IN MARINAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC SIDE ARE EXPECTED WITH SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS. THEN AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST TOWARD MORNING...STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE INDICATED ON THE GULF SIDE AND THE BAY SIDE. HIGH TIDE WAS AT 230 AM IN KEY WEST...123 AM AT VACA CUT...208 AM AT WHALE HARBOR...AND 217 AM THE TAVERNIER CREEK BRIDGE OVER ROUTE 1. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS HAVE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR TORNADOES WITHIN SPIRAL RAINBANDS...ESPECIALLY NOW THROUGH LATE MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE KEYS THROUGH 1100 AM. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH SPIRAL BANDS FORM AND MOVE VERY RAPIDLY...AND CAN CROSS KEYS ISLAND LOCATIONS WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. SEVERE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE IN A HIGHLY FLOOD-PRONE AREA TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ BROCK/RIZZO ** WTUS82 KTBW 240746 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-240930- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 345 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA INTENSIFIES TO A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE WHILE MOVING TOWARD SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WILMA IS MAINTAINING CATEGORY 3 STRENGTH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL AND WILMA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WEST COAST AS A CATEGORY 3. A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM CITRUS COUNTY SOUTHWARD UNTIL 11 AM EDT TODAY. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS FROM WILMA REACH THE AREA. ANY TORNADOES WILL BE FAST MOVING. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...SUMTER AND LEVY COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 121 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS AND 200 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA. WILMA WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...AND SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. ...WIND IMPACTS... DANGEROUS WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING IN LEE COUNTY AND POSSIBLY CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTY. A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 TO 80 MPH...IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 6 AND 9 AM. BECAUSE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST CATEGORY 3 STRENGTH WHILE ACCELERATING INLAND...GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER SQUALLS. FOR SARASOTA AND HARDEE COUNTIES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 75 TO 85 MPH... ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 7 AND 10 AM. IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA AND POINTS NORTH THROUGH HERNANDO COUNTY... TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE AROUND 5 AM...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH...EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 AM AND 12 PM. IMPACTS FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTY INCLUDE: POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. OTHERS WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS... AND WINDOWS...AND WILL LIKELY BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MOST LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL HAVE DAMAGE...SOME WILL BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND PERHAPS INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES WILL FALL...TRANSFORMERS WILL POP...AND SOME POWER POLES WILL BE PULLED DOWN. ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND MODERATE DAMAGE IS EXPECTED IN CITRUS GROVE. UP TO ONE HALF OF NEWLY PLANTED CROPS WILL BE DAMAGED. IMPACTS FOR SARASOTA...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...AND HARDEE COUNTY INCLUDE: OLDER MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE. SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES ...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL BE DAMAGED. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO CITRUS GROVES AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS. IMPACTS FOR THE TAMPA BAY AND LAKELAND AREAS INCLUDE: MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHT WEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. A FEW PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. ...SURGE IMPACTS... TIDES CONTINUE RUNNING AROUND A HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTH. TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL VARY GREATLY THIS MORNING. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE GREATEST THREAT OF STORM SURGE IS SOUTH OF LEE COUNTY. TIDAL DEPARTURES MAY RANGE UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS MORNING IN CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES...AND UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE...BEFORE WINDS TURN MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY AND EVACUATE WATER FROM MANY OF THESE AREAS. TIDES MAY RISE ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WEST FACING BEACHES OF LEE COUNTY...INCLUDING BONITA BEACH...FORT MYERS BEACH...AND THE NORTH END OF SANIBEL AND SOUTHWEST PORTION OF PINE ISLAND. STORM TIDES COULD REACH 4 FEET OR HIGHER...WHICH MAY PRODUCE RUN UP...OVERWASH...OR MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... RAINFALL AMOUNTS TONIGHT HAVE BEEN IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH HIGHER LOCALIZED AMOUNTS. BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TODAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 1 INCH IN LEVY COUNTY... 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES IN HEAVIER BANDS FROM TAMPA TO LAKELAND AND POINTS NORTH...3 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES ELSEWHERE NORTH OF CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTY...AND 4 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 6 INCHES IN CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AND MANATEE RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OTHER AREA RIVERS REMAIN ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT THIS TIME. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 515 AM EDT MONDAY. $$ PRC ** WTUS82 KMLB 240748 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 241000- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 345 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA A LITTLE STRONGER... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO AND FLOOD WARNINGS ARE BEING ISSUED IN ADVANCE OF WILMA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO SAINT AUGUSTINE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER... OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 3 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT PIERCE. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR TORNADO WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THEIR AREA AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AS WARNINGS ARE ISSUED...PLEASE TAKE THEM SERIOUSLY. DURING SUNDAY EVENING...A TORNADO MOVED THROUGH COCOA VILLAGE IN BREVARD COUNTY CAUSING DAMAGE. ALSO...A FLOOD WARNING WAS ISSUED FOR LAKE COUNTY WITH FLOOD WATERS REPORTED IN THE CITY OF MASCOTTE. IN THE EVENT OF A TORNADO...OR EVEN FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITHIN THE INNER RAINBANDS OF WILMA...THE SAFEST PLACE IS IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BLOCK HOME OR BUILDING...AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. NOW THAT WILMA HAS BECOME STRONGER AND MOVING FASTER...THE THREAT FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND...EVEN CROSSING THE PENINSULA TO THE EAST COAST...IS A VERY REAL CONCERN!!! ...WIND IMPACTS... THE GREATEST THREAT FROM WILMA ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND FIELD IS VERY LARGE AND THEREFORE WILL ARRIVE WELL BEFORE THE APPROACH OF THE CORE WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS OKEECHOBEE... OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES OVERNIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES STARTING BEFORE SUNRISE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY SUNRISE...AND POSSIBLY SPREAD NORTH INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY MID MORNING. BECAUSE OF THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA...WINDS WILL BE HIGHEST IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE CENTER AND TO THE RIGHT. IT IS LIKELY THAT A BAND OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 100 MPH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOFING MATERIALS...AS WELL AS EXPOSED DOORS AND WINDOWS. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES THAT HAPPEN TO BE IN THE PATH OF THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL OCCUR FROM DOWNED TREES AND LARGE SIGNS. A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED DUE TO SOME LARGE DEBRIS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE MAIN WIND SWATH OF THE CORE WINDS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF STRONG AND LONGER-LIVED TORNADOES IS HIGH AND WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING. THROUGH 6 AM...ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR AHEAD OF WILMA...WITH AN INCREASING THREAT FOR MULTIPLE TORNADOES FROM THE SOUTH WITH THE APPROACHING RAINBANDS OF WILMA. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY. REPORTS OF FLOODING IN THE CITY OF MASCOTTE HAVE BEEN RECEIVED... INCLUDING AT THE CITY FIRE STATION. ESTIMATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE LOCALLY OCCURRED...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES STILL POSSIBLE. ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY. BECAUSE WILMA WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE STATE...WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES MAY OCCUR IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES FOR THE EVENT. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... A STORM TIDE OF 2 OR 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...MARINE IMPACTS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE FOR MARINERS DUE TO ITS RAPID APPROACH AND ACCELERATION FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY BECOME EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE AROUND 6 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO. $$ DWS ** WTNT54 KNHC 240757 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 AT 4 AM EDT...0800Z... THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. SOMBRERO KEY LIGHTHOUSE...OFF MARATHON...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 79 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 89 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 159 FEET. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 240832 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT THU OCT 27 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 32.9N 73.1W 22 9 X X 31 BAR HARBOR ME X 1 2 X 3 39.0N 66.5W X 15 7 X 22 EASTPORT ME X 1 4 X 5 44.0N 60.0W X X 12 2 14 ST JOHN NB X X 6 1 7 MYGF 266N 787W 49 X X X 49 MONCTON NB X X 6 1 7 MARATHON FL 55 X X X 55 YARMOUTH NS X 2 8 X 10 MIAMI FL 75 X X X 75 HALIFAX NS X 1 11 1 13 W PALM BEACH FL 81 X X X 81 SABLE ISLAND NS X X 12 2 14 FT PIERCE FL 68 X X X 68 SYDNEY NS X X 8 4 12 COCOA BEACH FL 36 X X X 36 EDDY POINT NS X X 10 3 13 DAYTONA BEACH FL 5 X X X 5 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X 5 6 11 WILMINGTON NC 1 1 X X 2 BURGEO NFLD X X 4 7 11 MOREHEAD CITY NC 3 1 X X 4 ILE ST PIERRE X X 3 9 12 CAPE HATTERAS NC 3 3 X X 6 CAPE RACE NFLD X X 1 9 10 MONTAUK POINT NY X 2 X X 2 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 6 6 PROVIDENCE RI X 2 X X 2 KEY WEST FL 81 X X X 81 NANTUCKET MA X 4 2 X 6 MARCO ISLAND FL 99 X X X 99 HYANNIS MA X 3 1 X 4 FT MYERS FL 71 X X X 71 BOSTON MA X 1 1 X 2 VENICE FL 18 X X X 18 PORTLAND ME X 1 X 1 2 TAMPA FL 2 X X X 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 240832 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 0900Z MON OCT 24 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 82.4W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB EYE DIAMETER 65 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 80SE 75SW 50NW. 50 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 175SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 200SW 325NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 82.4W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 83.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.9N 79.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 85SE 75SW 50NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.9N 73.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 30NW. 50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 200SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 39.0N 66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 225SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 44.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 47.5N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 48.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 48.0N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 82.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT45 KNHC 240835 *** TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 355/20. SHIP PBIG 05Z WITH A WEST-SOUTHWEST WIND AND A PRESSURE OF 1006 MB LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER HELPED WITH DETERMINING THE POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA FOR THIS ADVISORY. OTHER SURROUNDING SHIPS... ALONG WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY... INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. THIS SUGGESTS THAT ALPHA MAY DISSIPATE BEFORE IT BECOMES ABSORBED BY MUCH LARGER HURRICANE WILMA AFTER 24 HOURS. UNTIL MERGER WITH WILMA OR DISSIPATION OCCURS... THE GENERAL MOTION SHOULD BE NORTHWARD... ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE SMALL DEPRESSION GETS CAUGHT UP IN THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF HURRICANE WILMA'S CIRCULATION. LITTLE IF ANY INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED DUE TO INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR CAUSED BY THE STRONG OUTFLOW CREATED BY MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA. THIS IS IN CONTRAST TO THE SHIPS MODEL... WHICH BRINGS ALPHA UP TO 66 KT IN 84 HOURS... AND THE GFDL MODEL... WHICH BRINGS THE CYCLONE UP TO 85 KT IN 24 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 24.4N 73.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 24/1800Z 28.5N 72.7W 30 KT 24HR VT 25/0600Z 34.7N 70.4W 30 KT 36HR VT 25/1800Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE WILMA $$ ** WTNT25 KNHC 240835 *** TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005 0900Z MON OCT 24 2005 AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 73.1W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 20 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 73.1W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 73.0W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.5N 72.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.7N 70.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE WILMA REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 73.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT35 KNHC 240836 *** TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA RACING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...ALL WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES... 365 KM... NORTH OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED... IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... ALPHA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS ...AND THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY HURRICANE WILMA ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 73.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTNT75 KNHC 240836 *** SPFAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT THU OCT 27 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 34.7N 70.4W 23 X X X 23 MYSM 241N 745W 13 X X X 13 MYMM 224N 730W 55 X X X 55 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE C FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED D FROM 2AM WED TO 2AM THU E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER STEWART $$ ** WTCA45 TJSJ 240841 *** TCPSP5 BOLETIN DEPRESION TROPICAL ALPHA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 8 NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT LUNES 24 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...LA DEPRESION TROPICAL ALPHA ACELERANDO HACIA EL NORTE LEJOS DE LAS BAHAMAS... A LAS 5 AM EDT...0900Z...TODOS LOS AVISOS PARA LAS BAHAMAS HAN SIDO DESCONTINUADOS. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA... INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 5 AM EDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DE LA DEPRESION TROPICAL ALPHA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 24.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 73.1 OESTE O COMO A 230 MILLAS...365 KILOMETROS...AL NORTE DE LA ISLA GREAT INAGUA. LA DEPRESION SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORTE A CERCA DE 23 MPH...37 KILOMETROS POR HORA...Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAL CON UN AUMENTO GRADUAL EN LA VELOCIDAD DE TRASLACION DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...ALPHA CONTNUARA ALEJANDOSE DE LAS BAHAMAS...Y LA DEPRESION PODRIA SERA ABSORBIDA POR EL HURACAN WILMA EL MARTES. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 35 MPH... 55 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. SE PRONOSTICA POCO CAMBIO EN INTENSIDAD DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL ESTIMADA ES DE 1004 MILIBARAS...29.65 PULGADAS. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 AM EDT...24.4 NORTE...73.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORTE A CERCA DE 23 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 35 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1004 MILIBARAS. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR STEWART $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. ** WTNT34 KNHC 240851 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA STRONGER AND APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST IN A FEW HOURS AND CROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY. HOWEVER THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. DATA RECEIVED FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 18 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 9 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY... AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. WESTERN CUBA MAY SEE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTHWARD TODAY. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...25.5 N... 82.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM EDT AND 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 240852 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 0900Z MON OCT 24 2005 ...CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 110 KT AND PRESSURE TO 950 MB... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 82.4W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 65 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 80SE 75SW 50NW. 50 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 200SE 175SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..325NE 300SE 200SW 325NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 82.4W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 83.1W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.9N 79.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 85SE 75SW 50NW. 50 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 175SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 32.9N 73.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 85SE 60SW 30NW. 50 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 75NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 200SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 39.0N 66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...225NE 250SE 225SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 44.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 47.5N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 175SE 75SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 250SE 175SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 48.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 48.0N 29.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N 82.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KJAX 240856 *** HLSJAX FLZ024-025-033-038-241600- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR FLAGLER AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES... ...A WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR CLAY...DUVAL...MARION...NASSAU AND PUTNAM COUNTIES... ...A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...NASSAU AND ST JOHNS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM TITUSVILLE NORTH TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SOME PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM ST AUGUSTINE NORTH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST IN A FEW HOURS AND CROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY. DATA RECEIVED FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM WILMA ARE EXPECTED TO BE TO OUR SOUTH... THE COMBINATION OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS STATES AND THE LARGE WIND FIELD AROUND WILMA WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AND POSSIBLY TO THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE GEORGIA WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. MARINERS AND COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ADDITIONALLY...INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING. TIDES WILL RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION POSSIBLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE TODAY WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LIKELY OVER THE FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS GEORGIA WATERS BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET. LOCAL INLETS MAY EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY AT ST ANDREWS SOUND MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION DUE TO LARGE BREAKERS. A NORTHEAST SWELL WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS WILMA MOVES INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE. GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF STATE ROAD 16 WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES AMOUNTS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE. IN THIS AREA SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. COASTAL AREAS OF DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS. INLAND PORTIONS OF DUVAL...NASSAU...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CLAY...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY;Y HIGHER GUSTS IN THE STRONGER RAINBANDS. THE REMAINING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AS WELL AS CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF FLAGLER...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. DAMAGING TORNADOES HAVE OCCURRED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND INTERESTS IN THE MENTIONED COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTUS82 KJAX 240903 CCA *** HLSJAX FLZ024-025-033-038-241600- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR FLAGLER AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES... ...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES... ...A WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR CLAY...DUVAL...MARION...NASSAU AND PUTNAM COUNTIES... ...A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...NASSAU AND ST JOHNS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM TITUSVILLE NORTH TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SOME PORTION OF THE WARNED AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FROM ST AUGUSTINE NORTH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST IN A FEW HOURS AND CROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY. DATA RECEIVED FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WHILE THE MAIN IMPACTS FROM WILMA ARE EXPECTED TO BE TO OUR SOUTH... THE COMBINATION OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS STATES AND THE LARGE WIND FIELD AROUND WILMA WILL BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AND POSSIBLY TO THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE GEORGIA WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH AND BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. MARINERS AND COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS SHOULD MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ADDITIONALLY...INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING. TIDES WILL RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION POSSIBLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE TODAY WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS LIKELY OVER THE FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS GEORGIA WATERS BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES. SEAS WILL RAPIDLY BUILD TO 10 TO 15 FEET. LOCAL INLETS MAY EXPERIENCE LARGE AND DANGEROUS BREAKERS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY AT ST ANDREWS SOUND MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION DUE TO LARGE BREAKERS. A NORTHEAST SWELL WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS AS WILMA MOVES INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE. GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF STATE ROAD 16 WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES AMOUNTS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES AND INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE. IN THIS AREA SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. COASTAL AREAS OF DUVAL AND NASSAU COUNTIES CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS. INLAND PORTIONS OF DUVAL...NASSAU...ST JOHNS AND FLAGLER COUNTIES AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF CLAY...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS IN THE STRONGER RAINBANDS. THE REMAINING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AS WELL AS CAMDEN AND GLYNN COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF FLAGLER...MARION AND PUTNAM COUNTIES AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD. DAMAGING TORNADOES HAVE OCCURRED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA AND INTERESTS IN THE MENTIONED COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND NOON EDT...OR EARLIER SHOULD CONDITIONS WARRANT. $$ SANDRIK ** WTNT84 KNHC 240905 *** TCVAT4 WILMA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 .HURRICANE WILMA FLC011-015-021-027-071-086-087-099-115-AMZ630-650-651-670-671-GMZ031- 033-656-657-676-853-856-873-876-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W JUPITER-INLET-FL 26.95N 80.06W $$ FLC009-061-085-111-AMZ550-555-570-575-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 JUPITER-INLET-FL 26.95N 80.06W TITUSVILLE-FL 28.64N 80.63W $$ FLC017-029-053-057-075-081-101-103-GMZ755-775-830-850-870-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 STEINHATCHEE-RIVER-FL 29.67N 83.40W LONGBOAT-KEY-FL 27.39N 82.64W $$ FLC035-109-127-AMZ454-474-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.W.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 TITUSVILLE-FL 28.64N 80.63W ST-AUGUSTINE-FL 29.89N 81.27W $$ FLC031-089-AMZ452-472-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.TR.A.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ST-AUGUSTINE-FL 29.89N 81.27W FERNANDINA-BEACH-FL 30.66N 81.44W $$ AMZ610-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-FL 26.95N 80.80W $$ GMZ032-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-241500- /E.CON.KNHC.HU.W.1024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 500 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 DRY-TORTUGAS-FL 24.66N 82.86W OCEAN-REEF-FL 25.33N 80.26W $$ ATTN...WFO...JAX...EYW...TBW...TAE...MLB...MFL... ** WTCA44 TJSJ 240905 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 36 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 5 AM CDT LUNES 24 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...WILMA MAS FUERTE Y ACERCANDOSE A LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA TODOS LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA...INCLUYENDO DRY TORTUGAS Y FLORIDA BAY...A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HACIA EL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE TITUSVILLE HACIA EL SUR...INCLUYENDO EL LAGO OKEECHOBEE. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL NORTE DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO TITUSVILLE...Y A LO LARGO DE LLA COSTA ESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL NORTE DE TITUSVILLE HASTA ST. AUGUSTINE. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DA FLORIDA DESDE EL NORTE DE ST.AUGUSTINE HASTA FERNANDINA BEACH. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS PROVINCIAS CUBANAS DE CIUDAD HABANA...LA HABANA...Y PINAR DEL RIO. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA PROVINCIA DE MATANZAS. ESTOS AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS PODRIAN SER DESCONTINUADOS EN LA MANANA DEL LUNES. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS BAHAMAS DEL NOROESTE...INCLUYENDO ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...Y NEW PROVIDENCE. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 5 AM CDT...0900Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 25.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 82.4 OESTE O COMO A 55 MILLAS AL SUROESTE DE NAPLES FLORIDA. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A RAZON DE 20 MPH...Y AUN SE ESPERA UN AUMENTO GRADUAL EN LA VELOCIDAD DE LA TRASLACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE WILMA ENTRARA A TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA EN LAS PROXIMAS HORAS Y CRUZARA EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. SIN EMBARGO...ESTE ES UN HURACAN AMPLIO Y SE EXPERIMENTARAN VIENTOS FUERTES ANTES DE QUE EL CENTRO ENTRE A TIERRA. INFORMACION ADQUIRIDA POR UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AEREA INDICA QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO HASTA CERCA DE 125 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN FUERTE CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. NO SE ESPERA UN CAMBIO SIGNIFICATIVO EN INTENSIDAD HASTA QUE EL HURACAN ENTRE A TIERRA. SE PRONOSTICA UN LENTO DEBILITAMIENTO A MEDIDA QUE WILMA CRUZA EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 90 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 950 MILIBARAS...28.05 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 12 A 18 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA CERCA Y AL SUR DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO DE WILMA ENTRE A TIERRA. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 5 A 9 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL SON POSIBLES EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y EN FLORIDA BAY...ASI COMO EN EL LAGO OKEECHOBEE. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DEL EXTREMO SURESTE DE LA COSTA DE FLORIDA. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS...A TRAVES DE LA FLORIDA CENTRAL Y SUR...INCLUYENDO LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. CUBA OCCIDENTAL PUDIERA EXPERIMENTAR ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS HOY. TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NOROESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS. GRANDES MAREJADAS GENERADAS POR WILMA CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO SECTORES DEL NORESTE DE LA COSTA DEL GOLFO DESDE LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA HACIA EL NORTE ESTA NOCHE Y TEMPRANO EL LUNES. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA PENINSULA CENTRAL Y SUR DE FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 5 AM CDT...25.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 82.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORESTE A CERCA DE 20 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...125 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 950 MB. ADVERTENCIAS INTERMEDIAS SERAN EMITIDAS POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 AM EDT Y A LAS 9 AM EDT SEGUIDAS POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTNT44 KNHC 240907 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 IN SPITE OF ITS VERY LARGE RAGGED EYE...WILMA HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND BASED ON DOPPLER AND AIRCRAFT DATA...IT IS NOW A HIGH-END CAT. 3...110-KT...HURRICANE. AIRCRAFT FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS WERE AS HIGH AS 135 KT EARLIER BUT DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THESE WINDS WERE LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH TRANSIENT MESOSCALE FEATURES. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AFTER CROSSING FLORIDA...WILMA SHOULD TRANSITION INTO A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT INTERACTS WITH AN INTENSE BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. RECON AND RADAR FIXES INDICATE THAT THE MOTION IS ABOUT 050/17. ACCELERATION IS FORECAST AS WILMA IS BECOMING CAUGHT IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVEMENTIONED TROUGH. TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO OF THE FORECAST AND DIVERGE THEREAFTER AS THE MODELS DISAGREE ON HOW WILMA WILL INTERACT WITH THE HIGHER LATITUDE FLOW. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE NHC FORECAST TRACK HAVE BEEN MADE OVER THE FIRST 24 HOURS OR SO. THE LATTER PART OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK... OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES WILMA INLAND IN A FEW HOURS. PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD BE MINDFUL THAT DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE STORM SURGES ARE OCCURRING WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER...PARTICULARLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE HURRICANE. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 25.5N 82.4W 110 KT 12HR VT 24/1800Z 27.9N 79.0W 85 KT 24HR VT 25/0600Z 32.9N 73.1W 75 KT 36HR VT 25/1800Z 39.0N 66.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 26/0600Z 44.0N 60.0W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 27/0600Z 47.5N 51.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 28/0600Z 48.0N 40.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 29/0600Z 48.0N 29.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTUS82 KMFL 240911 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-241300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 510 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...EYEWALL WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE: COLLIER...GLADES... HENDRY...PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE. ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED STORM SURGE IMPACTS ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A RARE AND EXTREMELY SERIOUS EYEWALL WIND WARNING FOR SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 115 MPH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES FROM NAPLES SOUTH UNTIL 615 AM EDT. A HURRICANE WARNING/INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES OR 165 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH OR 135 MILES WEST OF MIAMI. WILMA IS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO NEAR EVERGLADES CITY AND CROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR PALM BEACH COUNTY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS...AND SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE NEXT TWO HOURS WILL BE THE MOST DANGEROUS TIME FOR RESIDENTS OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RAISE PROJECTILES WHICH WILL BECOME POTENTIAL DEADLY MISSILES AND PERSONS MUST NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE. WHEN THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA COMES ONSHORE IN A FEW HOURS...THE WIND WILL SUBSIDE AND THERE WILL BE 30 MINUTES OR SO FOR ANY EMERGENCY REPAIRS BEFORE THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYEWALL COMES BACK ONSHORE TO RENEW HURRICANE CONDITIONS FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. AS THE EYEWALL COMES ONSHORE...THE HIGHEST SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OCCUR IN METRO COLLIER INCLUDING NAPLES AND MARCO ISLAND. PUT AS MANY WALLS AS POSSIBLE BETWEEN PEOPLE AND THE OUTSIDE... SUCH AS AN INTERIOR CLOSET OR BATHROOM. STAY AWAY FROM UNSHUTTERED WINDOWS OR WEAK GARAGE DOORS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HURRICANE WILMA WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE AROUND DAWN. A STORM TIDE OF UP TO 13 TO 18 FEET IS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH COLLIER GULF COAST...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF CAPE ROMANO TO CAPE SABLE INCLUDING EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE. THIS IS CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF LOCAL ACCESS ROADS TO MARCO ISLAND...EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE INCLUDING STATE ROADS 92...951...953 AND 29 AND LARGE PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI TRAIL U.S. HIGHWAY 41. EVERGLADES CITY IS LIKELY FLOODED OR WILL BE SHORTLY...AND PARTS OF CHOKOLOSKEE AND MARCO ISLAND ARE ALSO LIKELY FLOODED. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST...A STORM TIDE OF 7 TO 9 FEET IS ALSO OCCURRING FROM NORTH OF MARCO ISLAND TO SOUTH NAPLES. SINCE THE WIND FLOW IS OFFSHORE AT NAPLES... MUCH LOWER STORM TIDES ARE OCCURRING FROM NAPLES NORTH TO BONITA BEACH. A STORM TIDE OF 8 TO 13 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS NOW OCCURRING ON CAPE SABLE AND IN FLAMINGO. MUCH OF FLAMINGO IS NOW LIKELY FLOODED. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...PARTICULARLY BISCAYNE BAY... A STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND 8 TO 9 AM EDT...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN CANALS AND WATERWAYS. SOUTH WINDS WILL PILE SOME WATER INTO THE NORTH END OF BISCAYNE BAY CAUSING SOME FLOODING OF CAUSEWAYS AND LOW LYING BEACH ACCESS ROADS FOR A SHORT TIME FROM EARLY TO MID MORNING MONDAY. SOME FLOODING FROM SURGE WILL OCCUR IN LOW LYING AREAS OF MATHESON HAMMOCK AND FAIRCHILD TROPICAL GARDENS AND PARTS OF CORAL GABLES AND COCONUT GROVE AND ALONG THE MOUTH OF THE MIAMI RIVER. LOW LYING AREAS ON THE BAY SIDES OF KEY BISCAYNE AND VIRGINIA KEY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. OVER THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY COASTS...STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED MID MORNING. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA NOW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE COMING ONSHORE SOUTH COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES NOW...AND WILL BE SPREADING NORTHEAST ACROSS BIG CYPRESS REFUGE...FAKAHATCHEE REFUGE AND EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK MOVING NORTHEAST TOWARD THE BIG CYPRESS AND MICCOSUKEE INDIAN COMMUNITIES. ANY MOTORISTS REMAINING ON TAMIAMI TRAIL OR ALLIGATOR ALLEY OR ANY OTHER ROAD SHOULD FIND SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. WILMA HAS A VERY LARGE EYE...ABOUT 65 TO 70 MILES IN DIAMETER. AS THE EYE MOVES ACROSS THE COASTLINE AND INLAND...THE WINDS WILL DECREASE ALLOWING AN OPPORTUNITY OF ABOUT 30 MINUTES FOR EMERGENCY REPAIRS. REMEMBER THOUGH THAT THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RETURN WILL SIMILAR VIOLENCE ON THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYE WALL AND FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUBSIDING OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS AND ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND METRO ATLANTIC COAST AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE SUBSIDING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FINALLY ENDING ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY BY ABOUT 6 PM EDT. AREAS NEAR AND WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL...WHERE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF UP TO 115 MPH COULD BE SUSTAINED...CAN EXPECT TO SEE EXTENSIVE WIND DAMAGE... STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS WITH WALL AND ROOF FAILURES...EXTENSIVE TO COMPLETE DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES...NUMEROUS LARGE TREES AND SIGNS BLOWN DOWN...MANY ROADS IMPASSABLE DUE TO LARGE DEBRIS...AND WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. OVER THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IF UNANCHORED. SOME BUILDING DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND DOORS IS ALSO LIKELY. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. LARGE TREES WILL LIKELY BE UPROOTED WHICH WOULD CAUSE DOWNED POWER LINES...RESULTING IN EXTENDED POWER OUTAGES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. PERSONS MUST NOT DRIVE OR WALK AROUND IN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. SEVERAL SOUTH FLORIDA DEATHS OCCURRED IN KATRINA WHEN PEOPLE DECIDED TO WALK AROUND TO WATCH TREES FALL IN STRONG WINDS. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THERE IS A 100 PERCENT CHANCE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ACROSS ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. THERE IS A 60 TO 100 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... EXTREME HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. SLOWLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BY LATE AFTERNOON AND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THROUGH TONIGHT. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN BY 8 AM EDT AND SHOULD START SUBSIDING BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDING BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS... WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEGINNING SHORTLY AFTER 8 AM EDT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AROUND NOON MORNING AND OVER THE PALM BEACH WATERS BY MID AFTERNOON...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SUBSIDING OVER ALL ATLANTIC WATERS BY EARLY EVENING. ALL MARINE CRAFT MUST REMAIN IN SAFE PORT. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM NAPLES TO WEST PALM BEACH...WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST AREAS. RAIN BANDS MOVING OVER THE AREA WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. WILMA HAS ALREADY PRODUCED SEVERAL SPIRAL BANDS WITH TORNADIC SIGNATURES ON RADAR...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED TORNADOES ARE QUICK FORMING AND QUICK MOVING...AND USUALLY ONLY LAST A FEW MINUTES. DAMAGING TORNADOES ARE ALSO LIKELY AS THE EYE WALL COMES ONSHORE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 9 AM. $$ PFOST ** WTUS82 KTBW 240911 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-241130- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 510 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA POISED TO MOVE ONSHORE OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WILMA CONTINUES AS A CATEGORY 3 STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...SUMTER AND LEVY COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM CITRUS COUNTY SOUTHWARD UNTIL 11 AM EDT TODAY. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS FROM WILMA REACH THE AREA. ANY TORNADOES WILL BE FAST MOVING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS AND 170 MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA. WILMA WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. ...WIND IMPACTS... DANGEROUS WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING IN LEE COUNTY AND POSSIBLY CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTY. A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...75 TO 80 MPH...IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 6 AND 9 AM. BECAUSE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST CATEGORY 3 STRENGTH WHILE ACCELERATING INLAND...GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER SQUALLS. FOR SARASOTA AND HARDEE COUNTIES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 75 TO 85 MPH... ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 7 AND 10 AM. IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA AND POINTS NORTH THROUGH HERNANDO COUNTY... TROPICAL STORM FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD ARRIVE AROUND 5 AM...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS...40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH...EXPECTED BETWEEN 7 AM AND 12 PM. IMPACTS FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTY INCLUDE: POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. OTHERS WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS... AND WINDOWS...AND WILL LIKELY BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MOST LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL HAVE DAMAGE...SOME WILL BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND PERHAPS INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES WILL FALL...TRANSFORMERS WILL POP...AND SOME POWER POLES WILL BE PULLED DOWN. ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND MODERATE DAMAGE IS EXPECTED IN CITRUS GROVE. UP TO ONE HALF OF NEWLY PLANTED CROPS WILL BE DAMAGED. IMPACTS FOR SARASOTA...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...AND HARDEE COUNTY INCLUDE: OLDER MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE. SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES ...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL BE DAMAGED. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO CITRUS GROVES AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS. IMPACTS FOR THE TAMPA BAY AND LAKELAND AREAS INCLUDE: MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHT WEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. A FEW PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. ...SURGE IMPACTS... TIDES CONTINUE RUNNING AROUND A HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTH. TIDAL DEPARTURES MAY RANGE UP TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS MORNING IN CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES...AND UP TO 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE...BEFORE WINDS TURN MORE NORTH OR NORTHEASTERLY AND EVACUATE WATER FROM MANY OF THESE AREAS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... OVERNIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN IN THE 2 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH HIGHER LOCALIZED AMOUNTS. BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TODAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM LESS THAN AN INCH IN LEVY COUNTY. SOUTHWARD TO THE TAMPA BAY REGION 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES IN HEAVIER BANDS. SOUTH OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES ELSEWHERE NORTH OF CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTY...AND 4 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 6 INCHES IN CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AND MANATEE RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OTHER AREA RIVERS REMAIN ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT THIS TIME. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 715 AM EDT THIS MORNING. $$ CP ** WTUS82 KEYW 240932 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-241230- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 530 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...ANYONE WHO HAS REMAINED IN THE KEYS SHOULD ALREADY BE IN THE SAFEST PLACE POSSIBLE... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION UPDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED. WIND IMPACTS UPDATED. MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED. STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS UPDATED. RAINFALL IMPACTS UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALL SURROUNDING WATERS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MONDAY FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...STORM INFORMATION... HURRICANE WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...AND IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER. AT 500 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 75 MILES NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...AND A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL...WHICH ON ITS CURRENT TRACK WILL BE ON THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IN A FEW HOURS. WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE IN SIZE...WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING UP TO 90 MILES OUT FROM THE CENTER...AND WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS UP TO 230 MILES OUT FROM THE CENTER. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 950 MB...OR 28.05 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ANYONE WHO HAS REMAINED IN THE KEYS SHOULD STAY IN THE SAFEST PLACE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND RISING TIDES WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE KEYS FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. DO NOT DRIVE UNTIL WIND...TIDE...AND ROAD CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER TODAY. MONROE COUNTY OFFICES AND COURTS ARE TO BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS ARE TO BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOL DAYTIME CUSTODIANS SHOULD REPORT TUESDAY. ALL CAMPUSES OF FLORIDA KEYS COMMUNITY COLLEGE ARE TO BE CLOSED TODAY. THE CITY OF KEY WEST HAS ENACTED A CURFEW EFFECTIVE UNTIL 7 AM THIS MORNING. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...EITHER SUSTAINED OR IN FREQUENT GUSTS...ARE NOW AFFECTING ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND SHOULD CONTINUE OVER SOME OF THE KEYS UNTIL AROUND 1000 AM. THEREAFTER... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE WILL AFFECT LOWER KEYS LOCATIONS UNTIL APPROXIMATELY NOON...AND AFFECT MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS LOCATIONS UNTIL AROUND 300 PM. REPORTS ARE NO LONGER AVAILABLE FROM KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT DUE TO COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGE. RECENT PEAK WIND GUST REPORTS FROM OTHER GAUGES INCLUDE 120 MPH AT 453 AM ON CUDJOE KEY...101 MPH AT SOMBRERO KEY AT 449 AM...AND 74 MPH AT LONG KEY AT 455 AM. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WINDS ARE TURNING TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AT THIS TIME...WITH AN EVENTUAL TURN TO WEST WINDS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. RISING TIDES WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS IN MARINAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ON THE ATLANTIC SIDE HAVE BEEN REPORTED. AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST TOWARD MORNING...STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE INDICATED ON THE GULF SIDE AND THE BAY SIDE. EXPECT A SUDDEN RISE OF WATER LEVELS ON THE BAY AND GULF SIDE OF ALL THE KEYS THIS MORNING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS HAVE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR TORNADOES WITHIN SPIRAL RAINBANDS...ESPECIALLY NOW THROUGH LATE MORNING. A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE KEYS THROUGH 1100 AM. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH SPIRAL BANDS FORM AND MOVE VERY RAPIDLY...AND CAN CROSS KEYS ISLAND LOCATIONS WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. SEVERE FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. IF YOU LIVE IN A HIGHLY FLOOD-PRONE AREA TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ BROCK/RIZZO ** WTNT54 KNHC 240950 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 6 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 AT 6 AM EDT...1000Z... THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MARCO ISLAND AND ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTH OF NAPLES FLORIDA. THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE HOUR. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KMLB 240950 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 241300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 550 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...IMMINENT LANDFALL FOR MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA... ...NEW INFORMATION... FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE SHIFTING FROM TORNADOES...TO LOCAL FLOODING...AND THEN TO DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH WILMAS EYEWALL AS IT PLOWS ACROSS THE PENINSULA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO SAINT AUGUSTINE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER... OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 175 MILES MILES SOUTHWEST OF STUART. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY SAFELY INSIDE AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR TORNADO WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THEIR AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER. IN THE EVENT OF A TORNADO...OR EVEN FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITHIN THE INNER RAINBANDS AND EYEWALL OF WILMA...THE SAFEST PLACE IS IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BLOCK HOME OR BUILDING...AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...WIND IMPACTS... NOW THAT WILMA HAS BECOME STRONGER AND IS MOVING FASTER...THE THREAT FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND...EVEN CROSSING THE PENINSULA TO THE EAST COAST...IS A VERY REAL CONCERN!!! THE THREAT FOR WIND GUSTS TO 110 MPH EXISTS FOR PARTS OF MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AS THE LARGE EYEWALL OF WILMA APPROACHES...AND THEN MOVES OFFSHORE IN VICINITY OF STUART AND PALM BEACH LATER THIS MORNING. IF THE THREAT SITUATION PRESENTS ITSELF...WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE EYEWALL AND INNER BANDS. PEOPLE SHOULD TREAT THESE WARNINGS AS THEY WOULD TORNADO WARNINGS...TAKING THE SAME ACTION TO PROTECT THEIR LIVES. AGAIN... THIS IS A VERY REAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES. THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOFING MATERIALS...AS WELL AS EXPOSED DOORS AND WINDOWS. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES THAT HAPPEN TO BE IN THE PATH OF THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL OCCUR FROM DOWNED TREES AND LARGE SIGNS. A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED DUE TO SOME LARGE DEBRIS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE MAIN WIND SWATH OF THE CORE WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS CAN NOW BE EXPECTED ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES...AND TO BEGIN SPREADING ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE... SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES BY 8 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BEGIN FOR OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN... SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY SUNRISE...AND POSSIBLY SPREAD NORTH INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY MID MORNING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO THE ACTUAL WIND THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH WILMA AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. HOWEVER...UNTIL THAT TIME...A HIGH THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL PERSIST. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE... LAKE...VOLUSIA...AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL 11 AM. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE A LARGE AREA HAS RECEIVED ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WITH A FEW SPOTS RECEIVING TOTALS IN EXCESS OF SIX TO EIGHT INCHES SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS WITH TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. ONCE HURRICANE WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE...THE RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING STANDING WATER AND FLOODING PROBLEMS...AND LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF STREETS...INTERSECTIONS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... A STORM TIDE OF 2 OR 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...MARINE IMPACTS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO. $$ DWS ** WTUS82 KMLB 240958 *** HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 241300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 550 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...IMMINENT LANDFALL FOR MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA... ...NEW INFORMATION... FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE SHIFTING FROM TORNADOES...TO LOCAL FLOODING...AND THEN TO DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH WILMAS EYEWALL AS IT PLOWS ACROSS THE PENINSULA. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUPITER INLET TO TITUSVILLE...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO SAINT AUGUSTINE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER... OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...OSCEOLA...AND LAKE COUNTIES. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 175 MILES MILES SOUTHWEST OF STUART. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY SAFELY INSIDE AND CONTINUE TO LISTEN FOR TORNADO WARNINGS AND FLOOD WARNINGS FOR THEIR AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND BE READY TO TAKE COVER. IN THE EVENT OF A TORNADO...OR EVEN FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITHIN THE INNER RAINBANDS AND EYEWALL OF WILMA...THE SAFEST PLACE IS IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BLOCK HOME OR BUILDING...AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. ...WIND IMPACTS... NOW THAT WILMA HAS BECOME STRONGER AND IS MOVING FASTER...THE THREAT FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO PENETRATE FARTHER INLAND...EVEN CROSSING THE PENINSULA TO THE EAST COAST...IS A VERY REAL CONCERN!!! THE THREAT FOR WIND GUSTS TO 110 MPH EXISTS FOR PARTS OF MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES AS THE LARGE EYEWALL OF WILMA APPROACHES...AND THEN MOVES OFFSHORE IN VICINITY OF STUART AND PALM BEACH LATER THIS MORNING. IF THE THREAT SITUATION PRESENTS ITSELF...WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE EYEWALL AND INNER BANDS. PEOPLE SHOULD TREAT THESE WARNINGS AS THEY WOULD TORNADO WARNINGS...TAKING THE SAME ACTION TO PROTECT THEIR LIVES. AGAIN... THIS IS A VERY REAL CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR MARTIN AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES. THESE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING DAMAGE TO ROOFING MATERIALS...AS WELL AS EXPOSED DOORS AND WINDOWS. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES THAT HAPPEN TO BE IN THE PATH OF THE DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES WILL OCCUR FROM DOWNED TREES AND LARGE SIGNS. A FEW ROADS MAY BECOME BLOCKED DUE TO SOME LARGE DEBRIS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE MAIN WIND SWATH OF THE CORE WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS CAN NOW BE EXPECTED ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES...AND TO BEGIN SPREADING ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE... SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES BY 8 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL BEGIN FOR OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN... SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES BY SUNRISE...AND POSSIBLY SPREAD NORTH INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY MID MORNING. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL SLOWLY GIVE WAY TO THE ACTUAL WIND THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH WILMA AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. HOWEVER...UNTIL THAT TIME...A HIGH THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL PERSIST. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE... LAKE...VOLUSIA...AND NORTH BREVARD COUNTIES UNTIL 11 AM. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE A LARGE AREA HAS RECEIVED ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN WITH A FEW SPOTS RECEIVING TOTALS IN EXCESS OF SIX TO EIGHT INCHES SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS WITH TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. ONCE HURRICANE WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE...THE RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING STANDING WATER AND FLOODING PROBLEMS...AND LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING OF STREETS...INTERSECTIONS AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... A STORM TIDE OF 2 OR 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...BEACH EROSION...AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...MARINE IMPACTS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS HURRICANE. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE AROUND 9 AM...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO. $$ DWS ** WTUS82 KMFL 241022 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-241300- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 622 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA MAKING LANDFALL ON THE SOUTH COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY COASTLINE... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE: COLLIER...GLADES... HENDRY...PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE. ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED STORM SURGE IMPACTS ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING/INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 5 AM EDT...HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST. FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT MIAMI... THIS IS ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF NAPLES OR 135 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH OR 100 MILES WEST OF MIAMI. WILMA IS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO NEAR EVERGLADES CITY AND CROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR PALM BEACH COUNTY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A STRONG CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS...AND SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA IS COMING ONSHORE SOUTH COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. THIS WILL PROVIDE A SHORT WINDOW OF ABOUT 30 MINUTES OR SO FOR ANY EMERGENCY REPAIRS BEFORE THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYEWALL COMES BACK ONSHORE TO RENEW HURRICANE CONDITIONS FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. SPIRAL BANDS WILL CAUSE HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN METRO MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND SOUTH PALM BEACH COUNTIES. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RAISE PROJECTILES WHICH WILL BECOME POTENTIAL DEADLY MISSILES AND PERSONS MUST NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE. PUT AS MANY WALLS AS POSSIBLE BETWEEN PEOPLE AND THE OUTSIDE...SUCH AS AN INTERIOR CLOSET OR BATHROOM. STAY AWAY FROM UNSHUTTERED WINDOWS OR WEAK GARAGE DOORS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HURRICANE WILMA IS NOW MAKING LANDFALL NEAR EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE. A STORM TIDE OF UP TO 13 TO 18 FEET IS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTH COLLIER GULF COAST...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF CAPE ROMANO TO CAPE SABLE INCLUDING EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE. THIS IS CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF LOCAL ACCESS ROADS TO MARCO ISLAND...EVERGLADES CITY AND CHOKOLOSKEE INCLUDING STATE ROADS 92...951... 953 AND 29 AND LARGE PARTS OF THE TAMIAMI TRAIL U.S. HIGHWAY 41. EVERGLADES CITY IS LIKELY FLOODED OR WILL BE SHORTLY...AND PARTS OF CHOKOLOSKEE AND MARCO ISLAND ARE ALSO LIKELY FLOODED. FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST...A STORM TIDE OF 7 TO 9 FEET IS ALSO OCCURRING FROM NORTH OF MARCO ISLAND TO SOUTH NAPLES. SINCE THE WIND FLOW IS OFFSHORE AT NAPLES...MUCH LOWER STORM TIDES ARE OCCURRING FROM NAPLES NORTH TO BONITA BEACH. A STORM TIDE OF 8 TO 13 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS NOW OCCURRING ON CAPE SABLE AND IN FLAMINGO. MUCH OF FLAMINGO IS NOW LIKELY FLOODED. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...PARTICULARLY BISCAYNE BAY... TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. A STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND 8 TO 9 AM EDT...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN CANALS AND WATERWAYS. SOUTH WINDS WILL PILE SOME WATER INTO THE NORTH END OF BISCAYNE BAY CAUSING SOME FLOODING OF CAUSEWAYS AND LOW LYING BEACH ACCESS ROADS FOR A SHORT TIME FROM EARLY TO MID MORNING MONDAY. SOME FLOODING FROM SURGE WILL OCCUR IN LOW LYING AREAS OF MATHESON HAMMOCK AND FAIRCHILD TROPICAL GARDENS AND PARTS OF CORAL GABLES AND COCONUT GROVE AND ALONG THE MOUTH OF THE MIAMI RIVER. LOW LYING AREAS ON THE BAY SIDES OF KEY BISCAYNE AND VIRGINIA KEY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. OVER THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY COASTS...STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED MID MORNING. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...WIND IMPACTS... AT EVERGLADES CITY...A WIND GUST TO 90 MPH WAS REPORTED FROM THE FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING STATION AT 550 AM EDT. AT NAPLES AIRPORT A WIND GUST TO 75 MPH WAS REPORTED FROM THE AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEM AT 551 AM EDT. AT OPA LOCKA AIRPORT IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 58 MPH WITH A WIND GUST TO 74 MPH WAS REPORTED FROM THE AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEM AT 615 AM EDT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA NOW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE MOVING INLAND ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA...AND WILL BE SPREADING NORTHEAST ACROSS BIG CYPRESS REFUGE... FAKAHATCHEE REFUGE AND EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK MOVING NORTHEAST TOWARD THE BIG CYPRESS AND MICCOSUKEE INDIAN COMMUNITIES. WILMA HAS A VERY LARGE EYE...ABOUT 65 TO 70 MILES IN DIAMETER. AS THE EYE MOVES ACROSS THE COASTLINE AND INLAND...THE WINDS WILL DECREASE ALLOWING AN OPPORTUNITY OF ABOUT 30 MINUTES FOR EMERGENCY REPAIRS. REMEMBER THOUGH THAT THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RETURN WILL SIMILAR VIOLENCE ON THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYE WALL AND FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUBSIDING OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS AND ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND METRO ATLANTIC COAST AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE SUBSIDING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FINALLY ENDING ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY BY ABOUT 6 PM EDT. PERSONS MUST NOT DRIVE OR WALK AROUND IN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. SEVERAL SOUTH FLORIDA DEATHS OCCURRED IN KATRINA WHEN PEOPLE DECIDED TO WALK AROUND TO WATCH TREES FALL IN STRONG WINDS. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. WHEN USING GENERATORS...REMEMBER TO ALLOW FOR ADEQUATE VENTILATION. DO NOT RUN GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED AREAS BECAUSE CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING CAN EASILY KILL PEOPLE WITH NO WARNING. EVERY HURRICANE SITUATION IN THE LAST FEW YEARS HAS RESULTED IN CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING DEATHS. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THERE IS A 100 PERCENT CHANCE THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ACROSS ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. THERE IS A 60 TO 100 PERCENT CHANCE THAT HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... EXTREME HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. SLOWLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BY LATE AFTERNOON AND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THROUGH TONIGHT. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN BY 8 AM EDT AND SHOULD START SUBSIDING BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDING BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN SPREADING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS... WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BEGINNING SHORTLY AFTER 8 AM EDT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS AROUND NOON MORNING AND OVER THE PALM BEACH WATERS BY MID AFTERNOON...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SUBSIDING OVER ALL ATLANTIC WATERS BY EARLY EVENING. ALL MARINE CRAFT MUST REMAIN IN SAFE PORT. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM NAPLES TO WEST PALM BEACH...WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST AREAS. RAIN BANDS MOVING OVER THE AREA WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. WILMA HAS ALREADY PRODUCED SEVERAL SPIRAL BANDS WITH TORNADIC SIGNATURES ON RADAR...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED TORNADOES ARE QUICK FORMING AND QUICK MOVING...AND USUALLY ONLY LAST A FEW MINUTES. DAMAGING TORNADOES ARE ALSO LIKELY AS THE EYE WALL COMES ONSHORE. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 9 AM. $$ PFOST ** WTNT64 KNHC 241029 *** TCUAT4 HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 630 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 AT 630 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA MADE LANDFALL VERY NEAR CAPE ROMANO FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT64 KNHC 241033 *** TCUAT4 HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 630 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 AT 630 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA MADE LANDFALL VERY NEAR CAPE ROMANO FLORIDA. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 20 MILES WEST OF EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT LANDFALL WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 125 MPH...A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 241051 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA MOVING INTO SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 AM EDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH AND A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC LATER TODAY. THIS IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE EYEWALL EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. A WIND GUST TO 95 MPH WAS REPORTED AT EVERGLADES CITY AND A GUST TO 75 MPH WAS REPORTED AT NAPLES FLORIDA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 12 TO 18 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 9 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY... AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS. WESTERN CUBA MAY SEE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 81.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH $$ ** WTUS82 KMFL 241112 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-241315- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 711 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA ONSHORE IN SOUTH COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE: COLLIER...GLADES... HENDRY...PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE. ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED STORM SURGE IMPACTS ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING/INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA UNTIL 11 AM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT...HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST. FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT MIAMI... THIS IS NEAR EVERGLADES CITY OR 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH OR 75 MILES WEST OF MIAMI. WILMA IS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO NEAR EVERGLADES CITY AND CROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...MOVING INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN NEAR PALM BEACH COUNTY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA IS ONSHORE SOUTH COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. THIS WILL PROVIDE A SHORT WINDOW OF ABOUT 30 MINUTES OR SO FOR ANY EMERGENCY REPAIRS BEFORE THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYEWALL COMES BACK ONSHORE TO RENEW HURRICANE CONDITIONS FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. SPIRAL BANDS WILL CAUSE HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS IN METRO MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND SOUTH PALM BEACH COUNTIES. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RAISE PROJECTILES WHICH WILL BECOME POTENTIAL DEADLY MISSILES AND PERSONS MUST NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE. PUT AS MANY WALLS AS POSSIBLE BETWEEN PEOPLE AND THE OUTSIDE...SUCH AS AN INTERIOR CLOSET OR BATHROOM. STAY AWAY FROM UNSHUTTERED WINDOWS OR WEAK GARAGE DOORS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HURRICANE WILMA IS NOW INLAND OVER MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. THE STORM SURGE MAXIMIZED AROUND 6 TO 7 AM EDT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST ESPECIALLY THE TEN THOUSAND ISLANDS OF EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK AND SHOULD NOW BE DIMINISHING. AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER INLAND...THE WIND WILL BECOME OFFSHORE AND THE SURGE WILL RECEDE STEADILY. STORM SURGE IS STILL OCCURRING INTO FLORIDA BAY...INCLUDING CAPE SABLE... FLAMINGO AND THE SOUTH COAST OF MIAMI-DADE. A STORM TIDE OF 8 TO 13 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS NOW OCCURRING ON CAPE SABLE AND IN FLAMINGO. MUCH OF FLAMINGO IS NOW LIKELY FLOODED AND FLOODING IS LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 1 AND CARD SOUND ROAD. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...PARTICULARLY BISCAYNE BAY... TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. A STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND 8 TO 9 AM EDT...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN CANALS AND WATERWAYS. SOUTH WINDS WILL PILE SOME WATER INTO THE NORTH END OF BISCAYNE BAY CAUSING SOME FLOODING OF CAUSEWAYS AND LOW LYING BEACH ACCESS ROADS FOR A SHORT TIME FROM EARLY TO MID MORNING MONDAY. SOME FLOODING FROM SURGE WILL OCCUR IN LOW LYING AREAS OF MATHESON HAMMOCK AND FAIRCHILD TROPICAL GARDENS AND PARTS OF CORAL GABLES AND COCONUT GROVE AND ALONG THE MOUTH OF THE MIAMI RIVER. LOW LYING AREAS ON THE BAY SIDES OF KEY BISCAYNE AND VIRGINIA KEY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. OVER THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY COASTS...STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED MID MORNING. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE MOST DANGEROUS TIME IS NOW AND LASTING FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 6 HOURS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ALL PEOPLE SHOULD STAY SECURE INDOORS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE AND STAY AWAY FROM UNSHUTTERED WINDOWS AND DOORS. SEVERAL REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 90 MPH AND ONE REPORT OF A WIND GUST TO 107 MPH AT THE MICCOSUKEE SCHOOL NEAR FORTYMILE BEND HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE NOW BEING REPORTED ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN BROWARD...EASTERN HENDRY...EASTERN COLLIER...AND NORTHWEST DADE INTO THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AND PALM BEACH COUNTY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WILMA HAS A VERY LARGE EYE...ABOUT 65 TO 70 MILES IN DIAMETER. AS THE EYE MOVES ACROSS THE COASTLINE AND INLAND...THE WINDS WILL DECREASE ALLOWING AN OPPORTUNITY OF ABOUT 30 MINUTES FOR EMERGENCY REPAIRS. REMEMBER THOUGH THAT THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RETURN WILL SIMILAR VIOLENCE ON THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYE WALL AND FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUBSIDING OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS AND ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND METRO ATLANTIC COAST AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE SUBSIDING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FINALLY ENDING ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY BY ABOUT 6 PM EDT. PERSONS MUST NOT DRIVE OR WALK AROUND IN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. SEVERAL SOUTH FLORIDA DEATHS OCCURRED IN KATRINA WHEN PEOPLE DECIDED TO WALK AROUND TO WATCH TREES FALL IN STRONG WINDS. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. WHEN USING GENERATORS...REMEMBER TO ALLOW FOR ADEQUATE VENTILATION. DO NOT RUN GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED AREAS BECAUSE CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING CAN EASILY KILL PEOPLE WITH NO WARNING. EVERY HURRICANE SITUATION IN THE LAST FEW YEARS HAS RESULTED IN CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING DEATHS. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... EXTREME HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. SLOWLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BY LATE AFTERNOON AND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THROUGH TONIGHT. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING. THE WINDS SHOULD START DIMINISHING BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDING BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE MIAMI-DADE WATERS BY 8 AM AND THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY WATERS BY 9 AM EDT. THE WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING AS WILMA MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC AND AWAY FROM FLORIDA. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM NAPLES TO WEST PALM BEACH...WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERNMOST AREAS. RAIN BANDS MOVING OVER THE AREA WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. WILMA HAS ALREADY PRODUCED SEVERAL SPIRAL BANDS WITH TORNADIC SIGNATURES ON RADAR...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED TORNADOES ARE QUICK FORMING AND QUICK MOVING...AND USUALLY ONLY LAST A FEW MINUTES. DAMAGING TORNADOES ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THE EYE WALL AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE PENINSULA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 9 AM. $$ PFOST ** WTUS82 KTBW 241115 *** HLSTBW FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-241330- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 715 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA MAKES LANDFALL IN COLLIER COUNTY OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WILMA CONTINUES AS A CATEGORY 3 STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR ALL RESIDENTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF LEE...CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...HARDEE...HIGHLANDS AND SARASOTA COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTLINE AND TIDAL SHORELINES OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...HERNANDO CITRUS AND LEVY COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL OR NON TIDAL LOCATIONS OF MANATEE...PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...POLK... PASCO...HERNANDO...CITRUS...SUMTER AND LEVY COUNTIES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM CITRUS COUNTY SOUTHWARD UNTIL 11 AM EDT TODAY. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AS ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS FROM WILMA REACH THE AREA. ANY TORNADOES WILL BE FAST MOVING. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 46 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS AND 144 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. WILMA WAS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 23 MPH. ...WIND IMPACTS... DANGEROUS WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING IN LEE COUNTY AND POSSIBLY CHARLOTTE...DESOTO...AND HIGHLANDS COUNTY. A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...50 TO 60 MPH...IS EXPECTED THROUGH 9 AM. BECAUSE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST CATEGORY 3 STRENGTH WHILE ACCELERATING INLAND...GUSTS TO 80 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER SQUALLS. FOR SARASOTA AND HARDEE COUNTIES...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 65 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 10 AM. IN THE TAMPA BAY AREA AND POINTS NORTH THROUGH HERNANDO COUNTY... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL ABOUT NOON WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. IMPACTS FOR CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTY INCLUDE: POORLY CONSTRUCTED OR UNSECURED MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. OTHERS WILL HAVE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WALLS... AND WINDOWS...AND WILL LIKELY BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE PARTIAL WALL AND ROOF FAILURE...AS WELL AS BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. MOST LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL HAVE DAMAGE...SOME WILL BE DESTROYED. UNSECURED LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT OUTDOOR ITEMS WILL BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND PERHAPS INJURY. MANY AREAS WILL HAVE POWER OUTAGES...HUNDREDS OF WIRES WILL FALL...TRANSFORMERS WILL POP...AND SOME POWER POLES WILL BE PULLED DOWN. ROTTING LARGE TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...MOST COMMON ON SATURATED GROUND. NUMEROUS LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL SNAP...AND MODERATE DAMAGE IS EXPECTED IN CITRUS GROVE. UP TO ONE HALF OF NEWLY PLANTED CROPS WILL BE DAMAGED. IMPACTS FOR SARASOTA...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...AND HARDEE COUNTY INCLUDE: OLDER MOBILE HOMES WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE. SOME OF POOR CONSTRUCTION WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE DAMAGE TO SHINGLES ...SIDING...AND GUTTERS. SOME WINDOWS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. MANY LANAI SCREENS AND POOL CAGES WILL BE DAMAGED. UNFASTENED HOME ITEMS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE WEIGHT WILL BECOME AIRBORNE...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE AND POSSIBLE INJURY. DOZENS OF WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. LOCAL POWER OUTAGES WILL AFFECT ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS. MANY LARGE BRANCHES OF HEALTHY TREES WILL BE SNAPPED...AND ROTTING SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DOZENS OF PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO CITRUS GROVES AND NEWLY PLANTED LOWLAND CROPS. IMPACTS FOR THE TAMPA BAY AND LAKELAND AREAS INCLUDE: MINOR DAMAGE WILL OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHT WEIGHT ITEMS MAY BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES. A FEW PALM FRONDS WILL BE BLOWN DOWN. ...SURGE IMPACTS... TIDES HAVE RETURNED TO ABOUT NORMAL AT GAGING POINTS FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTH. NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO EVACUATE WATER FROM COASTAL AREAS. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... OVERNIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE WITH HIGHER LOCALIZED AMOUNTS. BANDS OF RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TODAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM LESS THAN AN INCH IN LEVY COUNTY TO 2 TO 3 INCHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TAMPA BAY REGION WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES IN HEAVIER BANDS. SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TAMPA BAY REGION 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 6 INCHES MAY FALL...AND 4 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 6 INCHES OR MORE IN CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AND MANATEE RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OTHER AREA RIVERS REMAIN ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT THIS TIME. ...NEXT STATEMENT... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FOR HURRICANE WILMA WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN AROUND 915 AM EDT THIS MORNING. $$ PRC ** WTCA44 TJSJ 241121 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 36A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 AM EDT LUNES 24 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...WILMA MOVIENDOSE AL SUROESTE DE FLORIDA... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA TODOS LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA...INCLUYENDO DRY TORTUGAS Y FLORIDA BAY...A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE LONGBOAT KEY HACIA EL SUR...Y A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA ESTE DE LA FLORIDA DESDE TITUSVILLE HACIA EL SUR...INCLUYENDO EL LAGO OKEECHOBEE. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA OESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL NORTE DE LONGBOAT KEY HASTA EL RIO TITUSVILLE...Y A LO LARGO DE LLA COSTA ESTE DE LA FLORIDA AL NORTE DE TITUSVILLE HASTA ST. AUGUSTINE. ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA NORESTE DA FLORIDA DESDE EL NORTE DE ST.AUGUSTINE HASTA FERNANDINA BEACH. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS PROVINCIAS CUBANAS DE CIUDAD HABANA...LA HABANA...Y PINAR DEL RIO. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LA PROVINCIA DE MATANZAS. ESTOS AVISOS Y VIGILANCIAS PODRIAN SER DESCONTINUADOS ESTA MANANA. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS BAHAMAS DEL NOROESTE...INCLUYENDO ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...Y NEW PROVIDENCE. PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 AM EDT...1100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 26.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.4 OESTE O COMO A 10 MILLAS AL NORTE DE EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NORESTE A RAZON DE 23 MPH...Y AUN SE ESPERA UN AUMENTO GRADUAL EN LA VELOCIDAD DE LA TRASLACION EN LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE WILMA ENTRARA A TIERRA A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA Y HACIA EL ATLANTICO MAS TARDE EN EL DIA DE HOY. ESTE ES UN HURACAN AMPLIO Y LOS VIENTOS MAS FUERTES EN LA PARED DEL OJO SE EXTIENDEN BIEN LEJOS DEL CENTRO. LAS PERSONAS ESTAN ADVERTIDAS PARA QUE NO AVENTUREN EN EL EXTERIOR CUANDO LLEGUE LA CALMA DEL OJO PORQUE LOS VIENTOS AUMENTARAN RAPIDAMENTE. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS HAN AUMENTADO ESTAN CERCA DE 120 MPH...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA TRES EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA UN LENTO DEBILITAMIENTO A MEDIDA QUE WILMA CRUZA EL SUR DE LA PENINSULA DE FLORIDA HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 90 MILLAS DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 230 MILLAS. UNA RAFAGA DE VIENTO DE 95 MPH FUER REPORTADA EN EVERGLADES CITY Y UNA RAFAGA DE 75 MPH FUE REPORTADA EN NAPLES FLORIDA. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA ESTIMADA ES DE 950 MILIBARAS...28.05 PULGADAS. INUNDACIONES COSTERAS POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 12 A 18 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DE LA COSTA SUROESTE DE FLORIDA CERCA Y AL SUR DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO DE WILMA ENTRE A TIERRA. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 5 A 9 PIES SOBRE LO NORMAL SON POSIBLES EN LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA Y EN FLORIDA BAY...ASI COMO EN EL LAGO OKEECHOBEE. INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 2 A 4 PIES SON POSIBLES A LO LARGO DEL EXTREMO SURESTE DE LA COSTA DE FLORIDA. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 6 PULGADAS CON CANTIDADES MAXIMAS DE 10 PULGADAS...A TRAVES DE LA FLORIDA CENTRAL Y SUR...INCLUYENDO LOS CAYOS DE LA FLORIDA. CUBA OCCIDENTAL PUDIERA EXPERIMENTAR ACUMULACIONES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS HOY. TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PORCIONES DEL NOROESTE DE LAS BAHAMAS. ALGUNOS TORNADOS SON POSIBLES SOBRE PORCIONES DE LA PENINSULA CENTRAL Y SUR DE FLORIDA Y LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 AM CDT...26.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 81.4 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NORESTE A CERCA DE 22 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...120 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 950 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS A LAS 9 AM EDT SEGUIDA POR LA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 11 AM EDT. PRONOSTICADOR PASCH $$ TRADUCCION CORTESIA DEL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO ** WTUS82 KEYW 241126 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-241330- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 730 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...ANYONE WHO HAS REMAINED IN THE KEYS SHOULD ALREADY BE IN THE SAFEST PLACE POSSIBLE... ...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION UPDATED. WIND IMPACTS UPDATED. MARINE IMPACTS UPDATED. STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALL SURROUNDING WATERS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MONDAY FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MONDAY FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. ...STORM INFORMATION... HURRICANE WILMA REMAINS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE. AT 700 AM EDT... THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...WHICH IS ABOUT 110 MILES NORTH OF KEY WEST. THIS POSITION IS INLAND ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF EVERGLADES CITY. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...AND A CONTINUED INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. WILMA IS A LARGE HURRICANE IN SIZE...WITH SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTENDING UP TO 90 MILES OUT FROM THE CENTER...AND WITH SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS UP TO 230 MILES OUT FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 950 MB...OR 28.05 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ANYONE WHO HAS REMAINED IN THE KEYS SHOULD STAY IN THE SAFEST PLACE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...EITHER AS SUSTAINED WINDS OR AS FREQUENT GUSTS IN SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE KEYS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. RISING TIDE LEVELS WILL BE EXPERIENCED ON THE GULF SIDE AND BAY SIDE OF ISLANDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. DO NOT DRIVE UNTIL WIND...TIDE...AND ROAD CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATER TODAY. MONROE COUNTY OFFICES AND COURTS ARE TO BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOLS ARE TO BE CLOSED TODAY AND TUESDAY. MONROE COUNTY SCHOOL DAYTIME CUSTODIANS SHOULD REPORT TUESDAY. ALL CAMPUSES OF FLORIDA KEYS COMMUNITY COLLEGE ARE TO BE CLOSED TODAY. ...WIND IMPACTS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER...EITHER SUSTAINED OR IN FREQUENT GUSTS...WILL LIKELY AFFECT MUCH OF THE KEYS AREA UNTIL AROUND 1000 AM. THEREAFTER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE WILL AFFECT LOWER KEYS LOCATIONS UNTIL APPROXIMATELY NOON...AND AFFECT MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS LOCATIONS UNTIL AROUND 300 PM. REPORTS ARE NO LONGER AVAILABLE FROM KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT DUE TO COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGE. SOME RECENT PEAK WIND GUST REPORTS FROM OTHER GAUGES INCLUDE 105 MPH AT SOMBRERO KEY...AND 84 MPH AT LONG KEY. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT. WINDS ARE TURNING SOUTHWEST AND WEST...WHICH WILL PRODUCE THE EXPECTED RISE IN WATER LEVELS ON THE GULF AND BAY SIDE OF THE ISLANDS. THESE RISING TIDES WILL CREATE DANGEROUS CONDITIONS IN MARINAS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... STORM TIDES OF NEAR 4 FEET WERE REPORTED EARLIER AT PLACES ON THE ATLANTIC SIDE OF ISLANDS. THESE WATERS MAY BE SLOW TO RECEDE... ESPECIALLY NEAR CHANNELS THAT CONNECT TO THE BAY AND GULF. MEANWHILE...STORM TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE THROUGH 1000 AM ON THE GULF AND BAY SIDE OF ISLANDS...WITH STORM TIDES OF 5 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE FLORIDA KEYS REMAIN WITHIN AN AREA OF POSSIBLE TORNADOES.... ESPECIALLY WITHIN SPIRAL RAINBANDS. A TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE KEYS THROUGH 1100 AM. TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH SPIRAL BANDS FORM AND MOVE VERY RAPIDLY...AND CAN CROSS KEYS ISLAND LOCATIONS WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING THROUGH MIDDAY. IF YOU LIVE IN A HIGHLY FLOOD-PRONE AREA TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 930 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ BROCK/RIZZO ** WTUS82 KMLB 241132 *** HLSMLB AMZ555-575-FLZ047-053-054-058-059-064-241400- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 730 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE WINDS HEADED FOR THE OKEECHOBEE AND TREASURE COAST AREAS... ...GUSTS APPROACHING HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES... AT 730 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THE DAMAGING EYEWALL WINDS OF HURRICANE WILMA MOVING ENTERING HENDRY AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES...JUST SOUTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STARTING BETWEEN 800 AM AND 900 AM...AND CONTINUING THROUGH AROUND NOON...SQUALLS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 TO 80 MPH...GUSTING BETWEEN 80 AND 100 MPH...WILL IMPACT AREAS FROM FORT DRUM AND VERO BEACH SOUTHWARD ACROSS INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...OKEECHOBEE AND MARTIN COUNTIES. ALTHOUGH THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MARTIN COUNTY...COMMUNITIES AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES CAN EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM FORCE..WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 50 MPH AND HURRICANE FORCE. IN ADDITION...THE IMMEDIATE THREAT FOR TORNADOES FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES SOUTH TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND JUPITER IS VERY HIGH! BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF AND YOUR FAMILY FROM THESE WINDS!! AS THESE WINDS APPROACH...TREAT THE SITUATION AS YOU WOULD DURING A DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO. THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE IS IN A STRONG BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...IN AN INTERIOR ROOM SUCH AS A BATHROOM OR CLOSET. KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. $$ CRISTALDI ** WTUS82 KTAE 241153 *** HLSTAE FLZ034-241520- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT (TAE) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 753 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING INLAND DIXIE COUNTY... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND...PARTICULARLY DIXIE COUNTY. ...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING INLAND DIXIE COUNTY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER IN APALACHEE BAY. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND OVER SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. THE HURRICANE WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT NEAR 23 MPH WITH FORWARD SPEED INCREASING. ...PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION THIS TODAY AS WINDS COULD GUST TO OVER 30 MPH TODAY. SOME LIMBS OR WEAK TREES COULD FALL CREATING A HAZARD. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... A STORM SURGE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ALONG THE DIXIE COUNTY COAST...AS ANY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE PRIMARILY OFFSHORE WINDS. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS GUSTING TO OVER 30 MPH THROUGHOUT TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND COULD CAUSE SOME TREES TO LOSE LIMBS OR EVEN DOWN A FEW WEAK TREES. ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL... LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT. ...TORNADO THREAT... DUE TO THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA PASSING WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...THERE IS NO TORNADO THREAT AT THIS TIME. ...RIP CURRENTS... ALONG WITH THE HIGH SURF THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. EVERYONE...INCLUDING EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS...SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE SURF. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 AM EDT. $$ GOREE ** WTUS82 KMFL 241156 *** HLSMFL AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-241330- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 755 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ...WILMA MOVING STEADILY ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE: COLLIER...GLADES... HENDRY...PALM BEACH...BROWARD...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE. ...NEW INFORMATION... UPDATED STORM INFORMATION UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED STORM SURGE IMPACTS ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A HURRICANE WARNING/INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA UNTIL 11 AM EDT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 7 AM EDT...HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST. FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AT MIAMI... THIS IS OVER THE BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE IN EASTERN COLLIER COUNTY OR 75 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WEST PALM BEACH OR 55 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF MIAMI. WILMA IS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK THE EYE OF WILMA SHOULD BE MOVING OFFSHORE THE SOUTH FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST AROUND NOON TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE LARGE EYE OF WILMA IS NOW MOVING ACROSS THE EVERGLADES AND WILL BE MOVING ACROSS BROWARD...PALM BEACH AND NORTH MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC AROUND NOON TODAY. THIS WILL PROVIDE A SHORT WINDOW OF ABOUT 30 MINUTES OR SO FOR ANY EMERGENCY REPAIRS BEFORE THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE EYEWALL COMES BACK ONSHORE TO RENEW HURRICANE CONDITIONS FROM THE OPPOSITE DIRECTION. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE DURING THE EYE UNLESS EMERGENCY REPAIRS ARE ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY TO PROTECT LIFE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...PRIMARILY IN GUSTS...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL RAISE PROJECTILES WHICH WILL BECOME POTENTIAL DEADLY MISSILES AND PERSONS MUST NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE. PUT AS MANY WALLS AS POSSIBLE BETWEEN PEOPLE AND THE OUTSIDE...SUCH AS AN INTERIOR CLOSET OR BATHROOM. STAY AWAY FROM UNSHUTTERED WINDOWS OR WEAK GARAGE DOORS. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... HURRICANE WILMA IS NOW INLAND OVER MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. THE STORM SURGE MAXIMIZED AROUND 6 TO 7 AM EDT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COAST ESPECIALLY THE TEN THOUSAND ISLANDS OF EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK AND SHOULD NOW BE DIMINISHING. AS THE STORM MOVES FURTHER INLAND...THE WIND WILL BECOME OFFSHORE AND THE SURGE WILL RECEDE STEADILY. STORM SURGE IS STILL OCCURRING INTO FLORIDA BAY...INCLUDING CAPE SABLE... FLAMINGO AND THE SOUTH COAST OF MIAMI-DADE. A STORM TIDE OF 8 TO 13 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS NOW OCCURRING ON CAPE SABLE AND IN FLAMINGO. MUCH OF FLAMINGO IS NOW LIKELY FLOODED AND FLOODING IS LIKELY OCCURRING ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 1 AND CARD SOUND ROAD. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...PARTICULARLY BISCAYNE BAY... TIDES ARE RUNNING 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. A STORM TIDE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED AROUND 8 TO 9 AM EDT...WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN CANALS AND WATERWAYS. SOUTH WINDS WILL PILE SOME WATER INTO THE NORTH END OF BISCAYNE BAY CAUSING SOME FLOODING OF CAUSEWAYS AND LOW LYING BEACH ACCESS ROADS FOR A SHORT TIME FROM EARLY TO MID MORNING MONDAY. SOME FLOODING FROM SURGE WILL OCCUR IN LOW LYING AREAS OF MATHESON HAMMOCK AND FAIRCHILD TROPICAL GARDENS AND PARTS OF CORAL GABLES AND COCONUT GROVE AND ALONG THE MOUTH OF THE MIAMI RIVER. LOW LYING AREAS ON THE BAY SIDES OF KEY BISCAYNE AND VIRGINIA KEY CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. OVER THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY COASTS...STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED MID MORNING. FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS IS EXPECTED FROM EARLY MORNING TO AROUND NOON MONDAY OVER AREAS INSIDE THE DIKE FROM LAKEPORT TO CLEWISTON...WITH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE CURRENT LAKE LEVELS ELSEWHERE FROM BUCKHEAD RIDGE SOUTH TO LAKEPORT...AND FROM CLEWISTON THROUGH PORT MAYACA. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW AREAS OUTSIDE HOOVER DIKE PROTECTION INCLUDING TORRY...KREAMER AND RITTA ISLANDS AND SOME ACCESS ROADS. THE LAKE LEVEL ON SUNDAY WAS 15.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. ...WIND IMPACTS... THE MOST DANGEROUS TIME IS NOW AND LASTING FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 6 HOURS ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ALL PEOPLE SHOULD STAY SECURE INDOORS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE AND STAY AWAY FROM UNSHUTTERED WINDOWS AND DOORS. SEVERAL REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 90 MPH AND ONE REPORT OF A WIND GUST TO 107 MPH AT THE MICCOSUKEE SCHOOL NEAR FORTYMILE BEND HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS ARE NOW BEING REPORTED ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE MOVING ACROSS WESTERN BROWARD...EASTERN HENDRY...EASTERN COLLIER...AND NORTHWEST DADE INTO THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SUBSIDING OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS AND ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND METRO ATLANTIC COAST AREAS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE SUBSIDING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FINALLY ENDING ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY BY ABOUT 6 PM EDT. PERSONS MUST NOT DRIVE OR WALK AROUND IN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. SEVERAL SOUTH FLORIDA DEATHS OCCURRED IN KATRINA WHEN PEOPLE DECIDED TO WALK AROUND TO WATCH TREES FALL IN STRONG WINDS. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. WHEN USING GENERATORS...REMEMBER TO ALLOW FOR ADEQUATE VENTILATION. DO NOT RUN GENERATORS IN ENCLOSED AREAS BECAUSE CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING CAN EASILY KILL PEOPLE WITH NO WARNING. EVERY HURRICANE SITUATION IN THE LAST FEW YEARS HAS RESULTED IN CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING DEATHS. ...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS... EXTREME HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. SLOWLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BY LATE AFTERNOON AND CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE THROUGH TONIGHT. ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW OCCURRING. THE WINDS SHOULD START DIMINISHING BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SUBSIDING BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE NOW SPREADING ACROSS THE MIAMI-DADE, BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTY WATERS. THE WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING AS WILMA MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC AND AWAY FROM FLORIDA. ...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR FROM MIAMI ESTIMATES AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL ACROSS METRO COLLIER COUNTY. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE OCCURRING WITH THE STRONGEST SPIRAL BANDS. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA. ...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. WILMA HAS ALREADY PRODUCED SEVERAL SPIRAL BANDS WITH TORNADIC SIGNATURES ON RADAR...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. TROPICAL CYCLONE INDUCED TORNADOES ARE QUICK FORMING AND QUICK MOVING...AND USUALLY ONLY LAST A FEW MINUTES. DAMAGING TORNADOES ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THE EYE WALL AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE PENINSULA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 10 AM. $$ PFOST ** WTNT54 KNHC 241159 *** TCEAT4 HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF EVERGLADES CITY FLORIDA. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FORECAST OFFICE RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 104 MPH. FORECASTER KNABB $$