** WTNT34 KNHC 211800 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...EYEWALL OF WILMA LASHING COZUMEL AND NEARING THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK... THE CORE OF WILMA WILL BE OVER COZUMEL DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND BE NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER... WILMA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEING EXPERIENCED IN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. CANCUN RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG RAINBANDS OVER COZUMEL AND CANCUN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH... 225 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE WILMA MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES... 140 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES... 325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42056 RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56 MPH... 91 KM/HR... AND 27 FOOT SEAS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 926 MB...27.34 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY THE KEYS... WITH SOME 2 TO 4 INCH RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 86.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 926 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 211816 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 25A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT VIERNES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...LA PARED DEL OJO DE WILMA IMPACTANDO A COZUMEL Y ACERCANDOSE A LA COSTA NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE SAN FELIPE HASTA CHETUMAL EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...INCLUYENDO COZUMEL Y LAS ISLAS VECINAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN CONTINUAN EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DE SAN FELIPE HASTA CELESTUN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...Y LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN EN CUBA PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE MATANZAS AL OESTE HASTA PINAR DEL RIO...Y PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. TODOS LOS INTERESES EN LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA Y EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA PROGRESO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN WILMA. PARA INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA... INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 1 PM CDT...1800Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.7 OESTE O COMO A 15 MILLAS... 25 KILOMETROS...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH.... 7 KILOMETROS POR HORA. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE WILMA ESTARA SOBRE COZUMEL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS HORAS Y ESTARA CERCA DE LA COSTA NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN MAS TARDE HOY O ESTA NOCHE. SINEMBARGO...WILMA TIENE UNA CIRCULACION EXTENSA Y ES POSIBLE QUE YA SE ESTEN EXPERIMENTANDO CONDICIONES HURACANADAS A LO LARGO DE PORCIONES DE LA PARTE NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. EL RADAR DE CANCUN CONTINUA MOSTRANDO FUERTE BANDAS DE LLUVIA SOBRE COZUMEL Y CANCUN. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 140 MPH... 225 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN FLUCTUACIONES ANTES DE QUE WILMA TOQUE TIERRA EN LA COSTA NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KILOMETROS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 200 MILLAS...325 KILOMETROS. LA BOYA DE LA NOAA 42056 RECIENTEMENTE INFORMO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 56 MPH... 91 KM/HR...Y MAREJADAS DE 27 PIES. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL SE ESTIMA EN 930 MILIBARAS...27.24 PULGADAS. SE PUEDEN ESPERAR INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 7 A 11 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO TOQUE TIERRA EN LA PARTE NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 20 PULGADAS HASTA EL DOMINGO A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL OESTE DE CUBA Y LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE HASTA CERCA DE 40 PULGADAS. LAS BANDAS EXTERIORES DE LLUVIAS CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO SECTORES DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA...ESPECIALMENTE LOS CAYOS...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS HASTA EL DOMINGO. LA BOYA DE NOAA 42003 EN EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO INDICA QUE GRANDES MAREJADAS GENERADAS POR WILMA SE HAN PROPAGADO BIEN HACIA EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. ESTAS MAREJADAS POSIBLEMENTE AFECTARAN PORCIONES DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO HOY. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 PM CDT...20.4 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.7 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 14 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 926 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR KNABB $$ TRADUCCION POR WFO SAN JUAN PR ** WTUS82 KEYW 211824 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-212130- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 220 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST...ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 140 MPH...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 926 MB...OR 27.34 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS VOLUNTARILY TO EVACUATE. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN. THE DECISION ON WHEN TO INITIATE A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION CAN ONLY BE MADE ONCE SOLID INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE TIMING OF WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE. MEANWHILE THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS EVERY HALF HOUR. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. GOVERNMENT OFFICES SCHOOLS AND PARKS ARE CLOSED TODAY. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE...AND JGT BUS SERVICE ARE FULLY OPERATIONAL. IF YOU NEED TRANSPORTATION CHECK WITH THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 1-800-955-5504...OR THE CITY OF KEY WEST HOTLINE AT 305-809-1108. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD USE CAUTION. CONDITIONS MERITING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY SET IN SATURDAY NIGHT. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... WE ANTICIPATE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF WILMA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ DFM ** WTNT34 KNHC 212044 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...EYE OF WILMA CROSSING OVER COZUMEL... ...NORTHWESTERN EYEWALL ON THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN END OF THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 926 MB...27.34 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY THE KEYS... WITH SOME 2 TO 4 INCH RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...20.6 N... 86.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 926 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 212044 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 2100Z FRI OCT 21 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 86.9W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 926 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 325SE 175SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 86.9W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 86.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.9N 87.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.2N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.8N 87.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.7N 86.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 25.5N 82.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 125SW 175NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 32.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 42.0N 62.9W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 86.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 212045 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT MON OCT 24 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 21.2N 87.5W 99 X X X 99 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 6 6 21.8N 87.4W 44 X X X 44 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 4 4 22.7N 86.5W 15 4 2 2 23 KEY WEST FL X X 2 10 12 MWCG 193N 814W X X 1 4 5 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 11 11 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 3 3 FT MYERS FL X X X 10 10 MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 7 8 VENICE FL X X X 10 10 MUSN 216N 826W X 2 4 6 12 TAMPA FL X X X 9 9 MUHA 230N 824W X 1 4 8 13 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 7 7 MUAN 219N 850W 11 4 3 2 20 ST MARKS FL X X X 5 5 MMCZ 205N 869W 99 X X X 99 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 6 6 MZBZ 175N 883W X 1 1 1 3 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 6 6 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 4 4 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 6 6 BURAS LA X X X 4 4 MMMD 210N 897W 16 3 1 X 20 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3 MARATHON FL X X 1 10 11 GULF 29N 85W X X X 8 8 MIAMI FL X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 87W X X X 7 7 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 7 8 FT PIERCE FL X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM SAT TO 1AM SUN C FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN D FROM 1PM SUN TO 1PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER KNABB $$ ** WTNT44 KNHC 212101 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 THE EYE OF WILMA HAS BEEN GRADUALLY CONTRACTING DURING THE DAY... WITH THE EYE DIAMETER DOWN TO 25 N MI COMPARED TO 30 N MI THIS MORNING. CONCENTRIC EYEWALLS REMAIN AT RADII OF ABOUT 20 AND 40 N MI... WITH FLIGHT LEVEL WIND DATA INDICATING THAT THE OUTER EYEWALL CONTAINS THE STRONGEST WINDS. SEVERAL EYEWALL DROPSONDES HAVE MEASURED SURFACE WINDS IN THE 110-130 KT RANGE. ONE SUCH SONDE MEASUREMENT MIGHT NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS... BUT A SEQUENCE OF THEM PROBABLY PROVIDES A REASONABLE ESTIMATED OF THE INTENSITY... WHICH IS ESTIMATED TO BE IN THE MIDDLE OF THIS RANGE AT 120 KT. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY 18Z DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES THAT ARE UNANIMOUSLY T6.5/127 KT. WILMA IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... NEARLY ALONG THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK WITH A SLIGHTLY WOBBLY MOTION OF 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT. THE CENTER OF THE EYE IS CROSSING THE NORTHEASTERN END OF THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL AT THIS HOUR... BUT DUE TO THE SLOW MOTION IT WILL PROBABLY TAKE A FEW MORE HOURS FOR THE EYE TO CROSS THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. NEARLY ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST WILMA TO CONTINUE MOVING INLAND AND PROCEED RATHER SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST ANTICIPATES WILMA COULD SPEND ABOUT 24 HOURS OVER LAND... WHICH WILL PROBABLY LEAD TO MORE WEAKENING THAN HAS PREVIOUSLY BEEN FORECAST. OBVIOUSLY THIS WILL INCREASE THE DURATION OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS OVER YUCATAN. IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT WILMA WILL STILL EMERGE NORTH OF THE PENINSULA AS A HURRICANE IN ABOUT 36 HOURS... ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE MODELS SUGGEST IT COULD LINGER FOR LONGER THAN THAT. WHEN IT DOES REACH THE GULF OF MEXICO... CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR A LITTLE RESTRENGTHENING IN THE SHORT TERM. WHEN WILMA MOVES FARTHER NORTHEASTWARD AND WIND SHEAR INCREASES... A WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO PASSAGE OVER FLORIDA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST OF THE INTENSITY AS WILMA APPROACHES FLORIDA IS LESS THAN IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... PRIMARILY DUE TO THE WEAKENING EXPECTED OVER YUCATAN. THE MODELS ARE IN REMARKABLE AGREEMENT... AT LEAST FOR NOW... REGARDING WHERE WILMA WILL PASS OVER FLORIDA... ALTHOUGH THEY COULD OF COURSE ALL BE WRONG TO SOME DEGREE GIVEN THE 3-4 DAY LEAD TIME. SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT REMAINS IN THE TIMING OF THE IMPACT ON FLORIDA... SO THE WHILE THE CONFIDENCE IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS INCREASED A LITTLE WITH RESPECT TO WHERE WILMA WILL EVENTUALLY GO... THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING REMAINS LARGE. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 20.6N 86.9W 120 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 20.9N 87.3W 100 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 22/1800Z 21.2N 87.5W 80 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 23/0600Z 21.8N 87.4W 80 KT 48HR VT 23/1800Z 22.7N 86.5W 90 KT 72HR VT 24/1800Z 25.5N 82.5W 80 KT 96HR VT 25/1800Z 32.0N 75.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 26/1800Z 42.0N 62.9W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 212120 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA NUMERO 26 NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT VIERNES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...LA PARED DEL OJO DE WILMA CRUZANDO SOBRE COZUMEL... ...PARTE NOROESTE DE LA PARED DEL OJO SOBRE LA COSTA DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE SAN FELIPE HASTA CHETUMAL EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...INCLUYENDO COZUMEL Y LAS ISLAS VECINAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN CONTINUAN EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DE SAN FELIPE HASTA CELESTUN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...Y LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN EN CUBA PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE MATANZAS AL OESTE HASTA PINAR DEL RIO...Y PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. TODOS LOS INTERESES EN LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA Y EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA PROGRESO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN WILMA. PARA INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA... INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 4 PM CDT...2100Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.9 OESTE O SOBRE EL EXTREMO NORESTE DE LA ISLA DE COZUMEL. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH.... 7 KILOMETROS POR HORA Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO ADICIONAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE WILA SE MOVERA SOBRE TIERRA EN EL EXTREMO NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN ESTA NOCHE Y PERMANECERA SOBRE TIERRA HASTA EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 140 MPH... 220 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD ANTES DE QUE WILMA TOQUE TIERRA EN LA COSTA NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO ESTA NOCHE Y EL SABADO DESPUES QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KILOMETROS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 200 MILLAS...325 KILOMETROS. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL INFORMADA POR UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 926 MILIBARAS...27.34 PULGADAS. SE PUEDEN ESPERAR INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 7 A 11 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO TOQUE TIERRA EN LA PARTE NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 20 PULGADAS HASTA EL DOMINGO A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL OESTE DE CUBA Y LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE HASTA CERCA DE 40 PULGADAS. LAS BANDAS EXTERIORES DE LLUVIAS CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO SECTORES DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA...ESPECIALMENTE LOS CAYOS...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS HASTA EL DOMINGO. LA BOYA DE NOAA 42003 EN EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO INDICA QUE GRANDES MAREJADAS GENERADAS POR WILMA SE HAN PROPAGADO BIEN HACIA EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. ESTAS MAREJADAS POSIBLEMENTE AFECTARAN PORCIONES DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO ESTA NOCHE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 4 PM CDT...20.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 140 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 926 MB. UNA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 7 PM CDT SEGUIDA POR LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA COMPLETA A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR KNABB $$ TRADUCCION POR WFO SAN JUAN PR ** WTUS82 KEYW 212121 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-210030- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 530 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 140 MPH...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 926 MB...OR 27.34 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS VOLUNTARILY TO EVACUATE. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN. A MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER FOR ALL MOBILE HOME DWELLERS AND SPECIAL NEEDS CLIENTS WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT MADE A DECISION FOR A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION THROUGHOUT THE KEYS. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS EVERY HALF HOUR...BUT THESE BRIDGES WILL BE LOCKED DOWN AT NOON SATURDAY...EVEN IF THERE IS NO GENERAL POPULACE MANDATORY EVACUATION. THIS WILL PREVENT LARGE PROFILE BOATS FROM REQUESTING A BRIDGE OPENING...BUT WILL PROMOTE SMOOTHER TRAFFIC FLOW. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS OPEN AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...COMMERCIAL AIRLINES WILL DISCONTINUE SERVICE THIS EVENING OR SATURDAY. PLEASE CALL THE INDIVIDUAL AIRLINES FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND FLIGHT AVAILABILITY. GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE WILL RUN THEIR REGULARLY SCHEDULED SERVICES THROUGH SATURDAY. DEPARTURES ARE AT 845 AM...1130 AM...AND 545 PM. PLEASE CALL THE GREYHOUND KEYS BUS SHUTTLE AT 1-800-410-KEYS MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. IF YOU NEED TRANSPORTATION CHECK WITH THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 1-800-955-5504...OR THE CITY OF KEY WEST HOTLINE AT 305-809-1108. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD USE CAUTION. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF WILMA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FUTTERMAN/MR ** WTUS82 KEYW 212123 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-220030- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 530 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 140 MPH...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 926 MB...OR 27.34 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS VOLUNTARILY TO EVACUATE. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN. A MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER FOR ALL MOBILE HOME DWELLERS AND SPECIAL NEEDS CLIENTS WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT MADE A DECISION FOR A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION THROUGHOUT THE KEYS. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS EVERY HALF HOUR...BUT THESE BRIDGES WILL BE LOCKED DOWN AT NOON SATURDAY...EVEN IF THERE IS NO GENERAL POPULACE MANDATORY EVACUATION. THIS WILL PREVENT LARGE PROFILE BOATS FROM REQUESTING A BRIDGE OPENING...BUT WILL PROMOTE SMOOTHER TRAFFIC FLOW. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS OPEN AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...COMMERCIAL AIRLINES WILL DISCONTINUE SERVICE THIS EVENING OR SATURDAY. PLEASE CALL THE INDIVIDUAL AIRLINES FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND FLIGHT AVAILABILITY. GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE WILL RUN THEIR REGULARLY SCHEDULED SERVICES THROUGH SATURDAY. DEPARTURES ARE AT 845 AM...1130 AM...AND 545 PM. PLEASE CALL THE GREYHOUND KEYS BUS SHUTTLE AT 1-800-410-KEYS MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. IF YOU NEED TRANSPORTATION CHECK WITH THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 1-800-955-5504...OR THE CITY OF KEY WEST HOTLINE AT 305-809-1108. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD USE CAUTION. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF WILMA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FUTTERMAN/MR ** WTUS82 KEYW 212126 CCB *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-220030- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 530 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 140 MPH...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 926 MB...OR 27.34 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS VOLUNTARILY TO EVACUATE. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN. A MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER FOR ALL MOBILE HOME DWELLERS AND SPECIAL NEEDS CLIENTS WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT MADE A DECISION FOR A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION THROUGHOUT THE KEYS. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS EVERY HALF HOUR...BUT THESE BRIDGES WILL BE LOCKED DOWN AT NOON SATURDAY...EVEN IF THERE IS NO GENERAL POPULACE MANDATORY EVACUATION. THIS WILL PREVENT LARGE PROFILE BOATS FROM REQUESTING A BRIDGE OPENING...BUT WILL PROMOTE SMOOTHER TRAFFIC FLOW. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS OPEN AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...COMMERCIAL AIRLINES WILL DISCONTINUE SERVICE THIS EVENING OR SATURDAY. PLEASE CALL THE INDIVIDUAL AIRLINES FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND FLIGHT AVAILABILITY. GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE WILL RUN THEIR REGULARLY SCHEDULED SERVICES THROUGH SATURDAY. DEPARTURES ARE AT 845 AM...1130 AM...AND 545 PM. PLEASE CALL THE GREYHOUND KEYS BUS SHUTTLE AT 1-800-410-KEYS MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. IF YOU NEED TRANSPORTATION CHECK WITH THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 1-800-955-5504...OR THE CITY OF KEY WEST HOTLINE AT 305-809-1108. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD USE CAUTION. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF WILMA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FUTTERMAN/MR ** WTUS82 KEYW 212129 CCC *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-220030- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 530 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 140 MPH...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 926 MB...OR 27.34 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ENCOURAGES RESIDENTS VOLUNTARILY TO EVACUATE. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN. A MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER FOR ALL MOBILE HOME DWELLERS AND SPECIAL NEEDS CLIENTS WILL GO INTO EFFECT AT 6 AM EDT SATURDAY. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS NOT MADE A DECISION FOR A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION THROUGHOUT THE KEYS. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS EVERY HALF HOUR...BUT THESE BRIDGES WILL BE LOCKED DOWN AT NOON SATURDAY...EVEN IF THERE IS NO GENERAL POPULACE MANDATORY EVACUATION. THIS WILL PREVENT LARGE PROFILE BOATS FROM REQUESTING A BRIDGE OPENING...BUT WILL PROMOTE SMOOTHER TRAFFIC FLOW. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REMAINS OPEN AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...COMMERCIAL AIRLINES WILL DISCONTINUE SERVICE THIS EVENING OR SATURDAY. PLEASE CALL THE INDIVIDUAL AIRLINES FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION AND FLIGHT AVAILABILITY. GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE WILL RUN THEIR REGULARLY SCHEDULED SERVICES THROUGH SATURDAY. DEPARTURES ARE AT 845 AM...1130 AM...AND 545 PM. PLEASE CALL THE GREYHOUND KEYS BUS SHUTTLE AT 1-800-410-5397 FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION. IF YOU NEED TRANSPORTATION CHECK WITH THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY HOTLINE AT 1-800-955-5504...OR THE CITY OF KEY WEST HOTLINE AT 305-809-1108. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. ...MARINE IMPACTS... OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT SHOULD USE CAUTION. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...RAINFALL IMPACTS... RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF WILMA. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 830 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. VISIT OUR KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ FUTTERMAN/MR ** WTNT34 KNHC 212331 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WILMA MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHERN END OF COZUMEL... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR NEAR THE NORTHERN END OF THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL. WILMA IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH... 6 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. AN AUTOMATED STATION IN CANCUN REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 133 MPH... 215 KM/HR...BEFORE CONTACT WITH THE STATION WAS LOST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. AN AUTOMATED STATION ON COZUMEL REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 927.4 MB...27.39 INCHES AROUND 4 PM CDT. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY THE KEYS... WITH SOME 2 TO 4 INCH RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...20.6 N... 89.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT34 KNHC 212343 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...CORRECT LONGITUDE IN REPEAT SECTION... ...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WILMA MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHERN END OF COZUMEL... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST OR NEAR THE NORTHERN END OF THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL. WILMA IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH... 6 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF WILMA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND REMAIN INLAND ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. AN AUTOMATED STATION IN CANCUN REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 133 MPH... 215 KM/HR...BEFORE CONTACT WITH THE STATION WAS LOST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. AN AUTOMATED STATION ON COZUMEL REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 927.4 MB...27.39 INCHES AROUND 4 PM CDT. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY THE KEYS... WITH SOME 2 TO 4 INCH RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...20.6 N... 86.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 212352 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 26A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT VIERNES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...EL OJO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO WILMA MOVIENDOSE LENTAMENTE SOBRE EXTREMO NORTE DE COZUMEL... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE SAN FELIPE HASTA CHETUMAL EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...INCLUYENDO COZUMEL Y LAS ISLAS VECINAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN CONTINUAN EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DE SAN FELIPE HASTA CELESTUN. ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...Y LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN EN CUBA PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE MATANZAS HACIA EL OESTE HASTA PINAR DEL RIO...Y PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. TODOS LOS INTERESES EN LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA Y EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA PROGRESO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN WILMA. PARA INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA... INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 20.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.9 OESTE O SOBRE EL EXTREMO NORTE DE LA ISLA DE COZUMEL. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO ERRATICAMENTE HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 4 MPH.... 6 KILOMETROS POR HORA Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO ADICIONAL CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA EL CENTRO DE WILMA SE MOVERA SOBRE TIERRA EN EL EXTREMO NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN ESTA NOCHE Y PERMANECERA SOBRE TIERRA HASTA EL SABADO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 140 MPH... 220 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. ES POSIBLE QUE OCURRAN LEVES FLUCTUACIONES EN INTENSIDAD ANTES DE QUE WILMA TOQUE TIERRA EN LA COSTA NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA ALGUN DEBILITAMIENTO ESTA NOCHE Y EL SABADO DESPUES QUE EL CENTRO SE MUEVA SOBRE TIERRA. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KILOMETROS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 200 MILLAS...325 KILOMETROS. LA PRESION MINIMA CENTRAL INFORMADA POR UN AVION CAZA HURACANES DE LA RESERVA DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 930 MILIBARAS...27.46 PULGADAS. UNA ESTACION AUTOMATIZADA EN COZUMEL INFORMO UNA PRESION DE 927.4 MB...27.39 PULGADAS ALREDEDOR DE LAS 4 PM CDT. SE PUEDEN ESPERAR INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 7 A 11 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO TOQUE TIERRA EN LA PARTE NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 20 PULGADAS HASTA EL DOMINGO A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL OESTE DE CUBA Y LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE HASTA CERCA DE 40 PULGADAS. LAS BANDAS EXTERIORES DE LLUVIAS CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO SECTORES DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA...ESPECIALMENTE LOS CAYOS...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES DE 2 A 4 PULGADAS HASTA EL DOMINGO. LA BOYA DE NOAA 42003 EN EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO INDICA QUE GRANDES MAREJADAS GENERADAS POR WILMA SE HAN PROPAGADO BIEN HACIA EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. ESTAS MAREJADAS POSIBLEMENTE AFECTARAN PORCIONES DE LA COSTA NORTE DEL GOLFO ESTA NOCHE. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM CDT...20.6 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 4 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 140 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 930 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ TRADUCCION POR WFO SAN JUAN PR