** WTSR20 WSSS 201800 *** NO STORM WARNING= ** WTUS82 KEYW 210006 CCA *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-210330- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED UPDATE TIME IN LAST PARAGRAPH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 800 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2005 ...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 800 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND WILMA COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 923 MB...OR 27.26 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE HURRICANE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN FOR EVACUEES. A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR RESIDENTS OF THE KEYS THAT WAS PLANNED FOR FRIDAY HAS BEEN DELAYED. OFFICIALS WILL DETERMINE FRIDAY IF MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE APPROPRIATE FOR SATURDAY. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS ON THE HALF HOUR. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IS FULLY OPERATIONAL TODAY...AND SOME DEPARTING FLIGHTS ARE TENTATIVELY EXPECTED TO OPERATE FRIDAY MORNING. GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE IS OPERATING REGULARLY SCHEDULED SERVICE TODAY AND FRIDAY. GOVERNMENT OFFICES...SCHOOLS...AND PARKS ARE CLOSED TODAY AND FRIDAY. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION HOTLINE IS 1-800-955-5504. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF...LOCALLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE KEYS AS EARLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT. ...MARINE IMPACTS... EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED ON KEYS WATERS TONIGHT. THEREFORE...SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1130 PM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ BS ** WTCA44 TJSJ 210051 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 22A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 7 PM CDT JUEVES 20 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO WILMA MOVIENDOSE LENTAMENTE HACIA EL NOROESTE HACIA COZUMEL Y EL NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN... CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE SAN FELIPE HASTA CHETUMAL EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...INCLUYENDO COZUMEL Y LAS ISLAS VECINAS. TAMBIEN ESTA EN EFECTO UN AVISO PARA LA ISLA SWAN. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN CONTINUAN EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DE SAN FELIPE HASTA CELESTUN. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA BELIZE DESDE LA FRONTERA CON MEXICO HACIA EL SUR HASTA BELIZE CITY. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...Y LA ISLA DE LA JUEVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA EN CUBA PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE MATANZAS AL OESTE HASTA PINAR DEL RIO...Y PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL CONTINUA EN EFECTO PARA HONDURAS DESDE LA FRONTERA HONDURAS/NICARAGUA HACIA EL OESTE HASTA CABO CAMARON. TODOS LOS INTERESES EN LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA Y EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA PROGRESO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN WILMA. PARA INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICAMENTE PARA SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE SEGUIR DE CERCA LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LAS 7 PM CDT...0000Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.9 OESTE O COMO A 120 MILLAS... 195 KILOMETROS...AL SURESTE DE COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH.... 8 KILOMETROS POR HORA Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO GENERAR CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO DE WILMA ESTARA MUY CERCA DE LA LINEA COSTERA DE YUCATAN PARA EL MEDIODIA DE MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...WILMA TIENE UNA EXTENSA CIRCULACION Y CONDICIONES HURACANADAS PODRIAN SENTIRSE MUCHO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DEL CENTRO. INFORMES DE UN AVION CAZAHURACANES DE NOAA INDICAN QUE LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 150 MPH...240 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA ALGUN FORTALECIMIENTO DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y WILMA PODRIA READQUIRIR CATEGORIA CINCO A MEDIDA QUE SE APROXIMA A YUCATAN ESTA NOCHE. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KILOMETROS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 200 MILLAS...325 KILOMETROS. LA BOYA DE NOAA 42056 RECIENTEMENTE INFORMO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 69 MPH...111 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON UNA RAFAGA DE 81 MPH...130 KILOMETROS POR HORA. LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA INFORMADA POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE NOAA FUE DE 923 MILIBARAS...27.26 PULGADAS. SON POSIBLES INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 7 A 11 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO TOQUE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 20 PULGADAS HASTA EL SABADO A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL OESTE DE CUBA Y LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...CON CANTIDADES LOCALES AISLADAS DE HASTA CERCA DE 40 PULGADAS PARTICULARMENTE EN AREAS MONTANOSAS DEL OESTE DE CUBA. CANTIDADES ADICIONALES DE LLUVIA 2 A 4 PULGADAS...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE 8 PULGADAS...SON POSIBLES A TRAVES DE LAS ISLAS CAYMAN...LA ISLA SWAN...Y PORCIONES DE HONDURAS HASTA EL VIERNES. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 7 PM CDT...19.1 NORTE...LONGITUD 85.9 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 5 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 150 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 923 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 10 PM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR BEVEN $$ TRADUCCION POR WFO SAN JUAN PR ** WTNT34 KNHC 210232 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2005 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR WILMA MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD COZUMEL AND BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SWAN ISLAND AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 165 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF WILMA WILL BE VERY NEAR COZUMEL AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY MIDDAY TOMORROW. HOWEVER...WILMA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT WILMA IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND THE HURRICANE COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42056 RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 77 MPH... 124 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 87 MPH... 140 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 923 MB...27.26 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE... PARTICULARLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN CUBA. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE KEYS...WITH SOME 1 TO 3 INCH RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.3 N... 86.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 923 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT24 KNHC 210233 *** TCMAT4 HURRICANE WILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL242005 0300Z FRI OCT 21 2005 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR SWAN ISLAND AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 86.0W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 923 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. 64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT.......110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT.......175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 325SE 175SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 86.0W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 85.8W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.9N 86.4W MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 50 KT...110NE 90SE 75SW 110NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.8N 87.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.5N 87.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 90SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 22.1N 86.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.5N 84.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.5N 79.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 38.5N 69.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 86.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTNT74 KNHC 210233 *** SPFAT4 HURRICANE WILMA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2005 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 20.8N 87.0W 44 X X X 44 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 21.5N 87.1W 31 X 1 X 32 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 22.1N 86.7W 19 4 1 1 25 KEY WEST FL X X X 8 8 MWCG 193N 814W X X 1 5 6 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 6 6 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL X X X 5 5 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 7 7 VENICE FL X X X 5 5 MUSN 216N 826W X 2 3 7 12 TAMPA FL X X X 4 4 MUHA 230N 824W X X 3 8 11 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 MUAN 219N 850W 11 5 2 2 20 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2 MMCZ 205N 869W 51 X X X 51 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 MZBZ 175N 883W X 1 1 2 4 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2 MHNJ 165N 859W X X 1 2 3 BURAS LA X X X 3 3 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3 MMMD 210N 897W 10 4 2 2 18 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4 MARATHON FL X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 89W X X X 6 6 MIAMI FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W X X X 4 4 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT FORECASTER BEVEN $$ ** WTUS82 KEYW 210251 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-210630- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 1100 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2005 ...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION UPDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS UPDATED. WIND IMPACTS UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1100 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 455 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. WILMA COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 923 MB...OR 27.26 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE HURRICANE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN FOR EVACUEES. A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR RESIDENTS OF THE KEYS THAT WAS PLANNED FOR FRIDAY HAS BEEN DELAYED. OFFICIALS WILL DETERMINE FRIDAY IF MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE APPROPRIATE FOR SATURDAY. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS ON THE HALF HOUR. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE ARE FULLY OPERATIONAL. GOVERNMENT OFFICES...SCHOOLS...AND PARKS ARE CLOSED FRIDAY. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION HOTLINE IS 1-800-955-5504. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF...LOCALLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH AT TIMES TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE KEYS AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED ON KEYS WATERS TONIGHT. THEREFORE...SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION TONIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 230 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ BS ** WTNT44 KNHC 210254 *** TCDAT4 HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2005 REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT BEFORE 00Z INDICATED THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF WILMA HAD RISEN TO 923 MB...AND THE MAXIMUM 700 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS HAD DECREASED TO 130-140 KT. SINCE THEN...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPROVED EYE PRESENTATION AND COOLING CLOUD TOPS AROUND THE CENTER..ALTHOUGH NOT ENOUGH TO JUSTIFY AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY. BASED ON THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 130 KT. THE NEXT AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE WILMA AROUND 05Z. WILMA HAS TURNED MORE TO THE RIGHT DURING THE PAST FEW HR...WITH THE INITIAL MOTION NOW 325/5. THE HURRICANE IS MOVING INTO A COL AREA BETWEEN MID-LEVEL RIDGES TO THE EAST AND WEST...WHILE THE STRONGER WESTERLIES REMAIN NORTH OF 26N ACCORDING TO DATA FROM THE NOAA G4 JET. THIS IS A GOOD FORMULA FOR SLOW MOTION...AND ALL MODELS AGREE ON THIS FOR THE NEXT 24-48 HR. HOWEVER...THE DYNAMICAL MODELS STEER WILMA NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HR...A MOTION THAT IS NOT SUPPORTED BY THE CURRENT RIGHT TURN OR THE JET DATA. THEREFORE...THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE WELL TO THE RIGHT OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...WITH THE CENTER FORECAST TO PASS OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN TIP OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THIS TRACK ALSO REQUIRES AN EARLIER RECURVATURE INTO THE WESTERLIES THAN ANY OF THE GUIDANCE AND A FASTER PROGRESS TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...EXCEPT SOMEWHAT SLOWER THROUGH 96 HR. GIVEN THE RADICAL DEPARTURE FROM THE MODEL GUIDANCE...THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS VERY PROBLEMATIC. FIRST...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR WEAKENING DUE TO PASSAGE OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. IF WILMA MOVES AS FAR INLAND AS THE MODELS FORECAST... IT WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY AND LIKELY BE MUCH WEAKER THAN FORECAST ALONG THE REST OF THE TRACK. ON THE OTHER HAND...IF THE EYE MOVES EAST OF THE TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL LIKELY STAY STRONGER THAN FORECAST...AT LEAST FOR THE FIRST 36-48 HR. SECOND...ALL AVAILABLE DATA SHOWS THAT THE OUTFLOW HAS DECREASED TO THE WEST AS WEAK WESTERLY FLOW IMPINGES ON WILMA. THIS WILL LIKELY NOT PREVENT THE INTENSIFICATION FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HR...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE A PRECURSOR TO THE SHEAR FORECAST TO AFFECT THE HURRICANE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SHEAR SHOULD CAUSE WILMA TO WEAKEN REGARDLESS OF HOW STRONG IT IS AFTER PASSING YUCATAN. THIRD...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY DRY MID/UPPER-LEVEL AIR COVERING THE GULF OF MEXICO. AS WILMA INTERACTS WITH THE WESTERLIES...THIS AIR SHOULD BEGIN TO ENTRAIN INTO THE HURRICANE...AND INDEED THERE HAS BEEN SOME EROSION OF THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CLOUD PATTERN DURING THE PAST 6 HR. FINALLY...WILMA SHOULD PASS OVER THE WARM LOOP CURRENT FOLLOWED BY COOLER WATERS NEAR THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE LATTER SHOULD AID THE SHEAR-INDUCED WEAKENING. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES...THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CHANGE LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT IF WILMA MISSES YUCATAN THERE IS A CHANCE THAT IN SPITE OF ALL THE NEGATIVE FACTORS IT COULD BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO REPORTS THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA ARE PROPAGATING TOWARD PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...AND COULD REACH THE COAST ON FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 19.3N 86.0W 130 KT 12HR VT 21/1200Z 19.9N 86.4W 140 KT 24HR VT 22/0000Z 20.8N 87.0W 145 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 22/1200Z 21.5N 87.1W 120 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 23/0000Z 22.1N 86.7W 105 KT...OVER WATER 72HR VT 24/0000Z 23.5N 84.5W 95 KT 96HR VT 25/0000Z 27.5N 79.5W 65 KT 120HR VT 26/0000Z 38.5N 69.5W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL $$ ** WTCA31 MHTG 210337Z *** MHTG SIGMET 3 VALID 210330/210930 MHTG- FIR CENTROAMERICA TC WILMA OBS AT 0000Z LAT 19.1N LOG 85.9 FRQ TS CB TPS FL500 CENTRC MOV NW 5 KNOTS INTSF. FCST 1200Z TC CENTRE LAT 19.8N LOG 87.2W= ** WTNT80 EGRR 210459 *** MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.10.2005 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-SIXTEEN-E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 119.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.10.2005 12.7N 119.5W WEAK 12UTC 21.10.2005 13.0N 120.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2005 13.7N 121.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2005 13.9N 121.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2005 13.7N 120.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2005 13.2N 120.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2005 13.0N 120.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.10.2005 12.2N 121.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.10.2005 11.5N 122.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2005 11.3N 124.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.10.2005 11.2N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2005 11.4N 128.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE WILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 85.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL242005 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.10.2005 18.9N 85.9W INTENSE 12UTC 21.10.2005 19.8N 86.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.10.2005 20.4N 86.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.10.2005 20.5N 86.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.10.2005 20.7N 86.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2005 21.4N 86.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.10.2005 22.7N 85.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.10.2005 24.4N 83.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.10.2005 25.5N 79.1W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.10.2005 28.8N 74.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.10.2005 34.4N 66.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.10.2005 38.2N 57.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.10.2005 39.6N 47.3W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 210459 ** WTNT34 KNHC 210536 *** TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 AM CDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...LARGE EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR WILMA HEADING TOWARD COZUMEL AND NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM THE BORDER WITH MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES... 145 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF WILMA WILL BE VERY NEAR COZUMEL AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY MIDDAY TODAY. HOWEVER...WILMA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE FELT WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WILMA COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42056 RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH...112 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 85 MPH... 137 KM/HR. AN AUTOMATIC STATION FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY LOCATED IN ISLAS MUJERES RECENTLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 58 MPH...93 KM/HR. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7-11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE... PARTICULARLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN CUBA. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE KEYS...WITH SOME 1 TO 3 INCH RAINS POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON FRIDAY. DATA FROM CUBA INDICATE THAT WAVES UP TO 20 FEET ARE BEING EXPERIENCED IN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH. REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...19.5 N... 86.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA $$ ** WTCA44 TJSJ 210550 *** TCPSP4 BOLETIN HURACAN WILMA ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO 23A NWS TCP/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 1 AM CDT VIERNES 21 DE OCTUBRE DE 2005 ...EL GRAN OJO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO WILMA DIRIGIENDOSE HACIA COZUMEL Y EL NORESTE DE YUCATAN... PERMANECE EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN DESDE SAN FELIPE HASTA CHETUMAL EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...INCLUYENDO COZUMEL Y LAS ISLAS VECINAS. UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL Y UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN CONTINUAN EN EFECTO DESDE EL OESTE DE SAN FELIPE HASTA CELESTUN. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA BELIZE DESDE LA FRONTERA CON MEXICO HACIA EL SUR HASTA CIUDAD BELIZE. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...Y LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. CONTINUA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN EN CUBA PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE MATANZAS AL OESTE HASTA PINAR DEL RIO...Y PARA LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. TODOS LOS INTERESES EN LOS CAYOS DE FLORIDA Y EN LA PENINSULA DE LA FLORIDA DEBEN SEGUIR DE CERCA PROGRESO DEL EXTREMADAMENTE PELIGROSO HURACAN WILMA. PARA INFORMACION DE LA TORMENTA ESPECIFICA PARA SU AREA... INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL. A LA 1 AM CDT...0600Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN WILMA ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 19.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.1 OESTE O COMO A 90 MILLAS... 145 KILOMETROS...AL SURESTE DE COZUMEL MEXICO. WILMA SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL NOROESTE A CERCA DE 6 MPH.... 9 KILOMETROS POR HORA Y SE ESPERA QUE CONTINUE CON UN MOVIMIENTO LENTO HACIA EL NOROESTE O NORTE NORORESTE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...EL CENTRO DE WILMA ESTARA MUY CERCA DE COZUMEL Y EN LA COSTA NORESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN PARA EL MEDIODIA DE MANANA. SIN EMBARGO...WILMA TIENE UNA EXTENSA CIRCULACION Y CONDICIONES HURACANADAS PODRIAN SENTIRSE MUCHO ANTES DE LA LLEGADA DEL CENTRO. LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN CERCA DE 150 MPH...240 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. WILMA ES UN HURACAN CATEGORIA CUATRO EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. WILMA PODRIA READQUIRIR CATEGORIA CINCO A MEDIDA QUE SE APROXIMA A YUCATAN MAS TARDE HOY. LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 85 MILLAS...140 KILOMETROS...FUERA DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 200 MILLAS...325 KILOMETROS. LA BOYA DE NOAA 42056 RECIENTEMENTE INFORMO VIENTOS SOSTENIDOS DE 70 MPH...112 KILOMETROS POR HORA...CON UNA RAFAGA DE 85 MPH...137 KILOMETROS POR HORA. UNA ESTACION AUTOMATICA DESDE LA MARINA DE MEXICO LOCALIZADA EN ISLAS MUJERES RECIENTEMENTE REPORTO RAFAGAS DE VIENTOS DE 58 MPH...93 KM/HR. LA ULTIMA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA REPORTADA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 930 MILIBARAS...27.46 PULGADAS. SE PUEDEN ESPERAR INUNDACIONES POR MAREJADA CICLONICA DE 7 A 11 PIES SOBRE LOS NIVELES NORMALES DE LA MAREA...JUNTO CON GRANDES Y PELIGROSAS OLAS ROMPIENTES...CERCA Y AL NORTE DEL LUGAR DONDE EL CENTRO TOQUE TIERRA EN LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN. SE ESPERA QUE WILMA PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 10 A 20 PULGADAS HASTA EL SABADO A TRAVES DE SECTORES DEL OESTE DE CUBA Y LA PENINSULA DE YUCATAN...CON CANTIDADES AISLADAS DE HASTA CERCA DE 40 PULGADAS PARTICULARMENTE EN AREAS ALTAS DEL OESTE DE CUBA. LAS BANDAS EXTERIORES DE LLUVIAS CONTINUARAN AFECTANDO SECTORES DEL SUR DE LA FLORIDA...ESPECIALMENTE LOS CAYOS...CON POSIBLES CANTIDADES DE 1 A 3 PULGADAS HASTA EL SABADO. LA BOYA DE NOAA 42003 EN EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO INDICA QUE GRANDES MAREJADAS GENERADAS POR WILMA SE HAN PROPAGADO BIEN HACIA EL ESTE DEL GOLFO DE MEXICO. ESTAS MAREJADAS POSIBLEMENTE AFECTARAN PORCIONES DE LA COSTA NORTE DEOL GOLFO EL VIERNES. INFORMACION DESDE CUBA INDICA QUE SE ESTAN EXPERIMENTANDO OLAS DE HASTA 20 PIES EN PORCIONES DE LA COSTA SUR DE LA ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD. REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LA 1 AM CDT...19.5 NORTE...LONGITUD 86.1 OESTE. MOVIMIENTO HACIA EL...NOROESTE A CERCA DE 6 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 150 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 930 MB. LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 4 AM CDT. PRONOSTICADOR AVILA $$ TRADUCCION POR WFO SAN JUAN PR ** WTUS82 KEYW 210552 *** HLSEYW FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-210930- HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL 200 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2005 ...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS... ...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE... STORM INFORMATION UPDATED. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT IS SPECIFIC TO THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE NOT YET IN EFFECT. WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED WHEN TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 36 HOURS. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 200 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST...OR ABOUT 445 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING WILMA A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. WILMA COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 930 MB...OR 27.46 INCHES OF MERCURY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE HURRICANE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT HOMES AND BUSINESSES. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ORDERED A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR ALL FLORIDA KEYS RESIDENTS. THE SHELTER AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY IS OPEN FOR EVACUEES. A PHASED MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR RESIDENTS OF THE KEYS THAT WAS PLANNED FOR FRIDAY HAS BEEN DELAYED. OFFICIALS WILL DETERMINE LATER TODAY IF MANDATORY EVACUATIONS ARE APPROPRIATE FOR SATURDAY. THE BRIDGES AT SNAKE CREEK AND JEWFISH CREEK WILL OPEN FOR VESSELS ON THE HALF HOUR. TOLLS ON CARD SOUND ROAD HAVE BEEN SUSPENDED. KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND GREYHOUND BUS SERVICE ARE FULLY OPERATIONAL. GOVERNMENT OFFICES...SCHOOLS...AND PARKS ARE CLOSED FRIDAY. THE MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY INFORMATION HOTLINE IS 1-800-955-5504. ...WIND IMPACTS... WINDS WILL REMAIN SAFE FOR TRAVEL OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF...LOCALLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH AT TIMES TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE KEYS AS EARLY AS SUNDAY EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. ...MARINE IMPACTS... EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED ON KEYS WATERS TODAY... AND THEREFORE OPERATORS OF SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY SET IN FRIDAY NIGHT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE WILMA LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KEY WEST WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 AM...OR SOONER IF NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE KEY WEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/KEYWEST. $$ CB